Well here we go, embarking on a long season of tennis. Don't proclaim to know shit from shit as I make most of my wagers based on form and gut instincts. Some will be good. Some bad and plenty ugly I'm sure. But let's focus on winning.
1.17.10
AUSTRALIAN OPEN: Serra +140 (Mayer)
Melzer has never been great down under with three 3rd round appearances as his best efforts in 7 tries. He had a decent lead-up in form with a couple wins in Auckland, but also lost to a qualifier in Brisbane. Serra is no superstar, but he played Troicki and Monfils tough already this year. Serra also beat Melzer in the only career meeting last year in Brisbane. He's won his Aussie Opener every other year and this is the odd year where if form holds, he would win. Solid odds here as this seems more like a toss-up to me.