Hello guys,
This is my first post here on this website so allow me to introduce myself.
I am Ryan Mozambique from the Netherlands. I have been gambling for quite some while now on tennis and I decided to put my picks and profit down on this forum.
I will use this thread for the US open, both men and women.
Here are my first potential plays and picks for monday:
Bolelli vs Goffin over 31.5 games @1.40, I think Bolelli is underrated here, he's a good player and in decent form. He already beat Goffin in straight sets on hard courts earlier this year. I can definitely see him grabbing at least a set here. Even if he loses in straight sets he can stil cover the over(5-7 4-6 4-6)
Y-H Lu vs Kukushkin, Kukushkin @1.63, Lu has played pretty well at Cinci and Winston-Salem but he withdrew against Johnson because of a wrist injury/problems with his wrist. Purely based of that I'm going with Kukushkin, who is not a bad player.
Bautista-Agut vs P-H Herbert, Bautista-Agut @1.21, I really like this play with decent odds. Herbert has played a lot of matches recently(9 in 8 days). Bautista has played decent lately only losing to Tsonga in 3 tight sets in Montreal and to Federer in Cinci. Bautista really makes you work for the points and I dont think Herbert
can physically keep up with Bautista and win 3 sets. Besides that factor, Bautista is just an overal better player.
Pospisil vs Haider-Maurer, Pospisil @1.16, another obvious one imo. Haider-Maurer hasn't played any matches on hard courts since march this year. Plus the fact that he has a bad record against Top50 players on hard courts. Pospisil is obviously the better player and should win here pretty comfortably.
I might take Bautista+Pospisil together @1.40
Linette vs U.Radwanska, Linette +1.5 set @1.51, Radwanska lost all of her last four matches while Linette has some good wins under her belt against Vesnina and Dulgheru at New Haven. These players have never faced eachother and I can see Linette winning at least 1 set here.
Stephens vs Vandeweghe, Stephens @1.30, Vandeweghe has lost four of her five last matches on hard courts while Stephens has played average. Stephens should be very motivated here to make at least the third round.
Keys to win 2-0 against Koukalova @1.28, koukalova hasn't played on hard courts since april this year. Keys has already beat Koukalova this year in straights sets 6-2 6-3. Keys is a potential Top 5 player and she wants to make a impact here on home soil. She should win this match pretty easily.
Fish vs Cecchinato, Fish @1.25, Cecchinato is a clay-court challenger player and has no business here at the US open imo. Fish played surprisingly well at Cinci, beating Troicki and giving Murray a real run for his money. Fish will be backed by the crowd and should win this match.
Gabashvili vs Andujar, Gabashvili @1.53, Andujar has a terrible hard court record this year: 2-12. Gabashvili in contrast had been playing well on hard courts this year. The russian already beat Andujar this this year ond hard courts and I think he can do it again. He is defending his 3 round points from last year.
These are my opening picks for the first day of the US open. I might parlay some picks with eachother just to get better odds.
Feel free to discuss and lets make some money together!
Ryan Mozambique