1. #526
    girlscoutcookies
    girlscoutcookies's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 12-19-14
    Posts: 765
    Betpoints: 1899

    Quote Originally Posted by girlscoutcookies View Post
    ivanovic/safarova over 22.5 +109
    bacsinszky +1.5 sets +158
    2-0 +2.67u

    FO overall

    25 - 25 +12.69u
    *including losing nishikori future

  2. #527
    fitguy67
    blessed be the cheesemakers
    fitguy67's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 03-13-11
    Posts: 5,091
    Betpoints: 115

    something appropriate to the occasion (winning a gash-rackets bet...sweeping two of 'em in fact)...

    Points Awarded:

    girlscoutcookies gave fitguy67 2 Betpoint(s) for this post.


  3. #528
    girlscoutcookies
    girlscoutcookies's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 12-19-14
    Posts: 765
    Betpoints: 1899


  4. #529
    girlscoutcookies
    girlscoutcookies's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 12-19-14
    Posts: 765
    Betpoints: 1899

    tsonga +1.5 sets +130
    tsonga +4.5 +107
    tsonga +229
    tsonga/wawa over 41 +102
    Last edited by girlscoutcookies; 06-05-15 at 12:54 AM.

  5. #530
    fitguy67
    blessed be the cheesemakers
    fitguy67's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 03-13-11
    Posts: 5,091
    Betpoints: 115

    lots and lots of early rounds of non-slam action now to turn our attention...far more likely to have misplaced lines to take advantage of

    when we're down to the last few rounds of a slam like this the lines get so sharp (aka. accurate) from action that the chalk spread between the two sides of most plays amount to a pure 5% "rake" (at Pinny, the best of the lot...much more elsewhere...
    see http://www.beatingbonuses.com/calc_take.htm
    pretty well eclipsing any "edge" we might be lucky enough to find on a slightly-misplaced line)

    the linesmakers will make lots more (and much bigger) line-setting mistakes on the early rounds of new non-marquis tourneys

    ...just thinkin' out loud again scouter...if you think you've found something sweet on wawa-tsonga/joker-murray, post away...

    as for safa vs. thunder-thighs, i'll give that one a miss...safa payouts should be a lot higher than they are to compensate for their unlikelihood of cashng but who wants to put up a lot to win a unit on a pouty drama queen...only way to capitalize on the fave-value here would be to put exactly 1u on Serena to win just 0.35u, treating it as the first leg of an all-fave sequential parlay, so if/when it hits you can earmark 1.35 for the next fave you'd like to play...and snowball (aka. parlay) your winnings one-fave at a time

    continued good luck to the good guys
    Last edited by fitguy67; 06-05-15 at 01:01 AM.

  6. #531
    fitguy67
    blessed be the cheesemakers
    fitguy67's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 03-13-11
    Posts: 5,091
    Betpoints: 115

    while i'm word-blizzarding, see u already snuck in a play on tsonga...the side i'd prefer, gun to the head, long-term value-wise and just "pulling for the underdog/usually hapless froggy"-wise...

    would be nice if a frenchman actually made the French Open final once every quarter-century or so, lol

  7. #532
    girlscoutcookies
    girlscoutcookies's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 12-19-14
    Posts: 765
    Betpoints: 1899

    gonna skip the murray/novak match.
    agree with your thoughts on the sharpness of the last rounds of semi's. i always get ass blasted in these later rounds & I also always lose my wta bets so hopefully I'm turning the tide?

    can only handle so many tennis bets..thankfully passed on krajinovic last night so I'm just ignoring that shit for now.

  8. #533
    brodie
    you got the juice now
    brodie's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 11-25-13
    Posts: 2,212
    Betpoints: 416

    what do you see in tsonga? stan has been lights out.

  9. #534
    girlscoutcookies
    girlscoutcookies's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 12-19-14
    Posts: 765
    Betpoints: 1899

    Quote Originally Posted by brodie View Post
    what do you see in tsonga? stan has been lights out.
    u still trust him? so he beats simon and federer, meh.
    joe has been lights out too. crowd should be nice tomorrow. they were cheering mid rally during the nishikori match. french tards

  10. #535
    girlscoutcookies
    girlscoutcookies's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 12-19-14
    Posts: 765
    Betpoints: 1899

    not to mention the aclectic acid buildup strongly favoring tsonga
    Nomination(s):
    This post was nominated 1 time . To view the nominated thread please click here. People who nominated: SirtySree

  11. #536
    SirtySree
    SirtySree's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 12-19-13
    Posts: 2,331
    Betpoints: 156

    Quote Originally Posted by girlscoutcookies View Post
    not to mention the aclectic acid buildup strongly favoring tsonga
    cant forget about that alaric acid angle

  12. #537
    brodie
    you got the juice now
    brodie's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 11-25-13
    Posts: 2,212
    Betpoints: 416

    Quote Originally Posted by girlscoutcookies View Post
    u still trust him? so he beats simon and federer, meh.
    joe has been lights out too. crowd should be nice tomorrow. they were cheering mid rally during the nishikori match. french tards
    the last 3 sets of the nishikori match jojowillie looked like complete shit. his serve is the only thing that won him that match. he's not going to be able to pull that shit with stanny. I think first set is close and then stan rolls him after that. stan LOOKS great to me. and it's on both sides of the ball, I'm telling you he's gonna force it to tsonga's back hand the whole match (similar to what sushikori was doing) but he's going to do it with the ability to finish points and come to the net.

    but in the end... both were seen practicing their shots so it's really a toss up

  13. #538
    girlscoutcookies
    girlscoutcookies's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 12-19-14
    Posts: 765
    Betpoints: 1899

    Quote Originally Posted by brodie View Post
    the last 3 sets of the nishikori match jojowillie looked like complete shit. his serve is the only thing that won him that match. he's not going to be able to pull that shit with stanny. I think first set is close and then stan rolls him after that. stan LOOKS great to me. and it's on both sides of the ball, I'm telling you he's gonna force it to tsonga's back hand the whole match (similar to what sushikori was doing) but he's going to do it with the ability to finish points and come to the net.

    but in the end... both were seen practicing their shots so it's really a toss up


    really tho I'm betting against wawa playing how you think he should play. i know he's considered a grand slam wizard but counting on him to be flawless tomorrow after he destroys federer is square imo

  14. #539
    matt1216
    matt1216's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-27-11
    Posts: 14,683
    Betpoints: 231

    Acid won't matter with the extra day off
    Points Awarded:

    mrlif1 gave matt1216 1 SBR Point(s) for this post.


  15. #540
    girlscoutcookies
    girlscoutcookies's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 12-19-14
    Posts: 765
    Betpoints: 1899

    novak -7 +130

    said id skip but gotta fade wizzle

  16. #541
    girlscoutcookies
    girlscoutcookies's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 12-19-14
    Posts: 765
    Betpoints: 1899

    Quote Originally Posted by girlscoutcookies View Post
    tsonga +1.5 sets +130
    tsonga +4.5 +107
    tsonga +229
    tsonga/wawa over 41 +102
    1 - 3 -1.98u

    FO overall

    26 - 28 +10.71u
    *pending losing novak play

  17. #542
    girlscoutcookies
    girlscoutcookies's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 12-19-14
    Posts: 765
    Betpoints: 1899

    safarova to win 2-1 +580

  18. #543
    matt1216
    matt1216's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-27-11
    Posts: 14,683
    Betpoints: 231

    GS in 4 games

  19. #544
    girlscoutcookies
    girlscoutcookies's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 12-19-14
    Posts: 765
    Betpoints: 1899

    Copil +171

    In the Dominican on my phone so no record for now.

  20. #545
    matt1216
    matt1216's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-27-11
    Posts: 14,683
    Betpoints: 231

    Cavaliers!!
    Points Awarded:

    girlscoutcookies gave matt1216 1 SBR Point(s) for this post.


  21. #546
    fitguy67
    blessed be the cheesemakers
    fitguy67's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 03-13-11
    Posts: 5,091
    Betpoints: 115

    Quote Originally Posted by matt1216 View Post
    GS in 4 games
    Quote Originally Posted by matt1216 View Post
    Cavaliers!!
    gotta love flexibilty...

  22. #547
    fitguy67
    blessed be the cheesemakers
    fitguy67's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 03-13-11
    Posts: 5,091
    Betpoints: 115

    Quote Originally Posted by girlscoutcookies View Post
    Copil +171

    In the Dominican on my phone so no record for now.
    cool, what's her name? that high-school Spanish turns out to be good for something

  23. #548
    matt1216
    matt1216's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-27-11
    Posts: 14,683
    Betpoints: 231

    Quote Originally Posted by fitguy67 View Post
    gotta love flexibilty...
    I handnt watched The cavaliers much befor Irving got hurt. I had a feeling Lebron would put the team on his shoulders. Let's be real though, if GS wasn't so putrid from 3 point range, they probably win by 15

  24. #549
    fitguy67
    blessed be the cheesemakers
    fitguy67's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 03-13-11
    Posts: 5,091
    Betpoints: 115

    let's be honest...NBA is a hi-variance crap-shoot (eg. 3-point shooting is a carnival-game reward for failing to/opting to move the ball, and officiating is a goddam series of 50-50 pinball jumps/excuses to review)

    how anybody can actually form an opinion on a game, let alone a series, is beyond me...

    NBA=constantly-interrupted legal proceedings (last 3 mins of reg-time, refs spend more time evaluating vid-replays than actual live play...expaining why that 3 minutes lasts an hour) in pajamas with slickly-produced TV-backup

    NHL playoffs are competitive flowing sport...NBA is a marketed product you can bet on (which i'll do, based primarily on "story arc" =WWE-logic = "what result is best for the company")...but i won't waste any time watching that shit, especially the orchestrated bullshit "endings"...I just grade my bet, and adjust the story-arc accordingly
    Points Awarded:

    girlscoutcookies gave fitguy67 1 SBR Point(s) for this post.


  25. #550
    matt1216
    matt1216's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-27-11
    Posts: 14,683
    Betpoints: 231

    Quote Originally Posted by fitguy67 View Post
    let's be honest...NBA is a hi-variance crap-shoot (eg. 3-point shooting is a carnival-game reward for failing to/opting to move the ball, and officiating is a goddam series of 50-50 pinball jumps/excuses to review)

    how anybody can actually form an opinion on a game, let alone a series, is beyond me...

    NBA=constantly-interrupted legal proceedings (last 3 mins of reg-time, refs spend more time evaluating vid-replays than actual live play...expaining why that 3 minutes lasts an hour) in pajamas with slickly-produced TV-backup

    NHL playoffs are competitive flowing sport...NBA is a marketed product you can bet on (which i'll do, based primarily on "story arc" =WWE-logic = "what result is best for the company")...but i won't waste any time watching that shit, especially the orchestrated bullshit "endings"...I just grade my bet, and adjust the story-arc accordingly
    Fitguy, for the reason above, I love wagering on big dogs... Aside from to Houston wagers I had lost i thought Mephis @+400 game in GS was a steal along with +265 last night on Cleveland. I wouldn't be surprised if Clevland won this series without Irving. This would only cement Labrons legacy. The inexperience of GS may kill them in the end. Not to mention that insane defence

  26. #551
    fitguy67
    blessed be the cheesemakers
    fitguy67's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 03-13-11
    Posts: 5,091
    Betpoints: 115

    on a game to game basis, ML dogs the way to go with that horseshit...

    playing spreads in baskets, with either plus- or minus-points...you're just begging Murphy's Law to fukk you to in the ear...the last two minutes of any NBA game is like goddam Vince-McMahon orchestrated shit...teams "deciding" to foul/not foul exactly contrary to common sense etc. etc. et-fukking-cetra

    at least with the ML, especially in the playoffs, if you read the "story arc" angle correctly u cash

  27. #552
    girlscoutcookies
    girlscoutcookies's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 12-19-14
    Posts: 765
    Betpoints: 1899

    Bachinger +127
    Kush +120

  28. #553
    girlscoutcookies
    girlscoutcookies's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 12-19-14
    Posts: 765
    Betpoints: 1899

    Ito +2.5 -105
    Pospisil +1.5 +121

  29. #554
    EaglesPhan36
    EaglesPhan36's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 12-06-06
    Posts: 71,664



    I got this picture from girlscoutcookies on his Dominican vacation. This is how he powers their wiFi so he can post picks. Solid dude. Runs in a hamster wheel just so you guys can have picks.
    Points Awarded:

    girlscoutcookies gave EaglesPhan36 1 SBR Point(s) for this post.

    girlscoutcookies gave EaglesPhan36 1 SBR Point(s) for this post.


  30. #555
    girlscoutcookies
    girlscoutcookies's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 12-19-14
    Posts: 765
    Betpoints: 1899

    😂😁👏👏

  31. #556
    girlscoutcookies
    girlscoutcookies's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 12-19-14
    Posts: 765
    Betpoints: 1899

    Goffin -1.5 sets +154
    Chiudellini +314

  32. #557
    girlscoutcookies
    girlscoutcookies's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 12-19-14
    Posts: 765
    Betpoints: 1899

    Goffin always cashes for me

  33. #558
    girlscoutcookies
    girlscoutcookies's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 12-19-14
    Posts: 765
    Betpoints: 1899

    Monfils +1.5 +102

  34. #559
    girlscoutcookies
    girlscoutcookies's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 12-19-14
    Posts: 765
    Betpoints: 1899

    Groth +112

  35. #560
    Honeybadger44
    Update your status
    Honeybadger44's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-03-14
    Posts: 1,686
    Betpoints: 388

    Quote Originally Posted by girlscoutcookies View Post
    Groth +112
    Seems like a solid line. Only thing bothering me with this play is Troicki's return. It was outstanding in first two rounds. Alsmost no free points on serve for opponent. And when you are able to limit Groth in that area, he could find himself in trouble. GL with the play!

First ... 131415161718 Last
Top