Carlos Alcaraz vs. Taylor Fritz prediction for their Wimbledon semifinal match on Friday, July 11th:
Pick to win: Carlos Alcaraz 3-1 (+240 via Caesars)
"Against anyone else, Fritz would have a solid chance of advancing to his first Wimbledon final. The American won at Eastbourne and at the Boss Open before entering play at Wimbledon.
While he survived two five-set scares, the no. 5 seed has shown his outstanding quality, especially with one of the tour's best serves on the surface.
We picked him as our favorite Wimbledon sleeper and long-shot pick, and he hasn't disappointed.
However, his opponent may eventually become the best player ever to grace the All England Club. And that's saying a lot considering the Wimbledon exploits of legends like Federer, Rafael Nadal, Bjorg, and Novak Djokovic.
Alcaraz received a five-set wake-up call in the first round and reacted accordingly. While he hasn't been at his immaculate best throughout, I can't see Fritz upending a player who hasn't lost at the All England Club in 19 matches.
Due to Fritz playing at the peak of his grass-court powers, I'm giving him the benefit of winning a set, but expecting more than that is ambitious, if not unrealistic."
Best prop bet: Carlos Alcaraz Over 20.5 games (-110 via FanDuel)
"Alcaraz has shown a few vulnerabilities, with three of his five matches requiring at least four sets.
Fritz is 8-1 on grass this season and avoided a straight-sets defeat in his final loss to Corentin Moutet at the Queen's Club Championships.
I am concerned about his blisters and overall fatigue level, though, which was an issue at times against Karen Khachanov in the quarterfinal.
He should have enough to win a set, but that will be the extent of his success against the seemingly indefatigable Alcaraz. FanDuel's -110 odds offer the best value, while DraftKings' -125 odds provide the least value."
Pick to win: Carlos Alcaraz 3-1 (+240 via Caesars)
"Against anyone else, Fritz would have a solid chance of advancing to his first Wimbledon final. The American won at Eastbourne and at the Boss Open before entering play at Wimbledon.
While he survived two five-set scares, the no. 5 seed has shown his outstanding quality, especially with one of the tour's best serves on the surface.
We picked him as our favorite Wimbledon sleeper and long-shot pick, and he hasn't disappointed.
However, his opponent may eventually become the best player ever to grace the All England Club. And that's saying a lot considering the Wimbledon exploits of legends like Federer, Rafael Nadal, Bjorg, and Novak Djokovic.
Alcaraz received a five-set wake-up call in the first round and reacted accordingly. While he hasn't been at his immaculate best throughout, I can't see Fritz upending a player who hasn't lost at the All England Club in 19 matches.
Due to Fritz playing at the peak of his grass-court powers, I'm giving him the benefit of winning a set, but expecting more than that is ambitious, if not unrealistic."
Best prop bet: Carlos Alcaraz Over 20.5 games (-110 via FanDuel)
"Alcaraz has shown a few vulnerabilities, with three of his five matches requiring at least four sets.
Fritz is 8-1 on grass this season and avoided a straight-sets defeat in his final loss to Corentin Moutet at the Queen's Club Championships.
I am concerned about his blisters and overall fatigue level, though, which was an issue at times against Karen Khachanov in the quarterfinal.
He should have enough to win a set, but that will be the extent of his success against the seemingly indefatigable Alcaraz. FanDuel's -110 odds offer the best value, while DraftKings' -125 odds provide the least value."
