Jannik Sinner vs Ben Shelton Wimbledon prediction from SBR's Gary Pearson for their Wimbledon quarterfinal match on Wednesday, July 9th:
Pick to win: Ben Shelton (+255 via FanDuel)
"Thanks to the concern over Sinner's health, Shelton's odds to win today's quarterfinal have improved from +385 to +255 in the last 24 hours. That's an implied probability shift of 20.62% to 28.17%. My confidence level in Shelton's ability to pull off the upset has increased from two to three stars in that same timeframe.
I cannot stress this point enough: Sinner will most likely advance to the semifinals if his elbow isn't an issue.
However, he missed one training session on Tuesday, with speculation about his injured elbow ramping up. He did hit a few balls for between 20 to 30 minutes in an abbreviated indoor session.
Shelton has lost five straight matches and 12 consecutive sets against Sinner, so it's imperative he gets a leg up somehow. There's a chance Sinner will forfeit the match, but there's as good of a chance that he'll play.
Even the slightest issue, though, will be severely detrimental to the Italian's hopes, as one's elbow is instrumental in every single tennis action, especially as it's impacting his dominant right arm."
Best prop bet: Ben Shelton Over 18.5 games (-120 via FanDuel)
"While Shelton likes playing Sinner as much as someone with a gluten intolerance enjoys a towering stack of pancakes, the 10th seed is tailor-suited to the lawns of Wimbledon.
He made it to the Round of 16 last year in his second appearance and has a 7-1 record at the All England Club in the previous eight matches.
Shelton won't relent, and Sinner must be healthy to repel his constant barrage of hits. Even if Sinner is at 80% or so, I expect Shelton to win his first set in six matches against the Italian while cashing the Over 18.5 games.
FanDuel offers the longest odds, while DraftKings has set the total at 19.5 games. I'm erring on the side of caution as a hedge, just in case Sinner's elbow is no worse for wear."
Pick to win: Ben Shelton (+255 via FanDuel)
"Thanks to the concern over Sinner's health, Shelton's odds to win today's quarterfinal have improved from +385 to +255 in the last 24 hours. That's an implied probability shift of 20.62% to 28.17%. My confidence level in Shelton's ability to pull off the upset has increased from two to three stars in that same timeframe.
I cannot stress this point enough: Sinner will most likely advance to the semifinals if his elbow isn't an issue.
However, he missed one training session on Tuesday, with speculation about his injured elbow ramping up. He did hit a few balls for between 20 to 30 minutes in an abbreviated indoor session.
Shelton has lost five straight matches and 12 consecutive sets against Sinner, so it's imperative he gets a leg up somehow. There's a chance Sinner will forfeit the match, but there's as good of a chance that he'll play.
Even the slightest issue, though, will be severely detrimental to the Italian's hopes, as one's elbow is instrumental in every single tennis action, especially as it's impacting his dominant right arm."
Best prop bet: Ben Shelton Over 18.5 games (-120 via FanDuel)
"While Shelton likes playing Sinner as much as someone with a gluten intolerance enjoys a towering stack of pancakes, the 10th seed is tailor-suited to the lawns of Wimbledon.
He made it to the Round of 16 last year in his second appearance and has a 7-1 record at the All England Club in the previous eight matches.
Shelton won't relent, and Sinner must be healthy to repel his constant barrage of hits. Even if Sinner is at 80% or so, I expect Shelton to win his first set in six matches against the Italian while cashing the Over 18.5 games.
FanDuel offers the longest odds, while DraftKings has set the total at 19.5 games. I'm erring on the side of caution as a hedge, just in case Sinner's elbow is no worse for wear."