Andrey Rublev vs Carlos Alcaraz prediction from SBR's Gary Pearson for their Round 3 Wimbledon match on Sunday, July 6th:
Pick to win: Alcaraz 3-1 (+250 via BetMGM)
"As Fabio Fognini found out, it's almost impossible to win three sets against Alcaraz at Wimbledon.
The two-time defending champion hasn't, however, been flawless thus far at the All England Club, winning only one of his three matches in straight sets.
That sweep came against qualifier Oliver Tarvet, who was more out of his depth than a calculus major writing a romance novel.
Meanwhile, Rublev has found some consistency. After battling through four-set matches in the first two rounds, he dominated Frenchman Adrian Mannarino 7-5, 6-2, 6-3. With a fairly impressive 23-12 record, grass is arguably the Russians' best surface."
Best prop bet: Carlos Alcaraz Over 19.5 games (-105 via BetMGM)
"Although they have only played each other three times, Rublev has enjoyed some success against the sensational Spaniard, winning at the ATP Masters 1000 in Madrid by two sets to one. That victory was on clay, which Rublev slightly prefers to grass.
Alcaraz won the other two matches on hard court, both in straight sets. However, Rublev took Alcaraz to a tiebreak during the last meeting at the Nitto ATP Finals in 2024.
While a four-set victory is the best and most likely way to cash this prop, Alcaraz can go over the total in a straight-sets win if there are two tiebreaks."
Pick to win: Alcaraz 3-1 (+250 via BetMGM)
"As Fabio Fognini found out, it's almost impossible to win three sets against Alcaraz at Wimbledon.
The two-time defending champion hasn't, however, been flawless thus far at the All England Club, winning only one of his three matches in straight sets.
That sweep came against qualifier Oliver Tarvet, who was more out of his depth than a calculus major writing a romance novel.
Meanwhile, Rublev has found some consistency. After battling through four-set matches in the first two rounds, he dominated Frenchman Adrian Mannarino 7-5, 6-2, 6-3. With a fairly impressive 23-12 record, grass is arguably the Russians' best surface."
Best prop bet: Carlos Alcaraz Over 19.5 games (-105 via BetMGM)
"Although they have only played each other three times, Rublev has enjoyed some success against the sensational Spaniard, winning at the ATP Masters 1000 in Madrid by two sets to one. That victory was on clay, which Rublev slightly prefers to grass.
Alcaraz won the other two matches on hard court, both in straight sets. However, Rublev took Alcaraz to a tiebreak during the last meeting at the Nitto ATP Finals in 2024.
While a four-set victory is the best and most likely way to cash this prop, Alcaraz can go over the total in a straight-sets win if there are two tiebreaks."