1. #1
    brodie
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    3 finals matches tomorrow...

    my leans on all 3

    sousa+100
    over 22 games

    Bautista agut -185
    under 22(?)
    (i think theres a good chance rba rolls him in straights 6-4 6-3 or something)

    karlovic +105
    over 25.5 games

    post your thoughts

  2. #2
    Spinny
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    I think Karlovic win holds most value
    Nomination(s):
    This post was nominated 1 time . To view the nominated thread please click here. People who nominated: lucasdawg

  3. #3
    brodie
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    Quote Originally Posted by Spinny View Post
    I think Karlovic win holds most value
    yeah i like karlo and rba the best. the cuevas/sousa match could go either way but i think sousa could take it easy if his head is in it. i always talk myself out of betting totals

  4. #4
    Spinny
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    I just went ML for Karlovic match, id probably go Augut as well but not good enough odds

  5. #5
    lucasdawg
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    like karlovic also, serves too strong of old hewitt.

  6. #6
    cryptocap
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    ivo train getting too big...get off his back boys

  7. #7
    GoBlue77
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    hewitt for me

  8. #8
    Demonata
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    Hewitt has been playing great. Also Like Sousa and Agut.

  9. #9
    brodie
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    Quote Originally Posted by Demonata View Post
    Hewitt has been playing great. Also Like Sousa and Agut.
    has he though? i've watched every one of his matches aside from the sock match and he's hasn't looked that impressive. isner would've beat him easy if he didnt throw his match against sock

  10. #10
    Cappinpicks
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    cuevas now -165 from dogged.. a lock?

  11. #11
    Cappinpicks
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    lol 4/6 upsets in hamburg, what else is new

  12. #12
    Dmoneytx
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    Quote Originally Posted by Cappinpicks View Post
    lol 4/6 upsets in hamburg, what else is new
    Are you talking about "Qualies"???? The tment hasn't even started yet, lol...

    Qualies is qualies, bad to bet on those matches IMO...

  13. #13
    Cappinpicks
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    Quote Originally Posted by Dmoneytx View Post
    Are you talking about "Qualies"???? The tment hasn't even started yet, lol...

    Qualies is qualies, bad to bet on those matches IMO...
    ya qualies but still Lot of $ to be made on obvious dogs.. loved Marsel/Krajino/Delic/etc

  14. #14
    Cappinpicks
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    Quote Originally Posted by Dmoneytx View Post
    Are you talking about "Qualies"???? The tment hasn't even started yet, lol...

    Qualies is qualies, bad to bet on those matches IMO...
    what was the site with good Pods? PM if u can pls

  15. #15
    Dmoneytx
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    Quote Originally Posted by brodie View Post
    has he though? i've watched every one of his matches aside from the sock match and he's hasn't looked that impressive. isner would've beat him easy if he didnt throw his match against sock
    Isner might have, but it didn't go that way obviously...

    Do you understand that Hewitt prob won't get broken today??? I have watched Ivo's matches & watching him a ton in the past, the guy has NO return Brodie. It is UGLY as fuk... Hewitt should be holding serve with SMART serving & moving Ivo around the court...

    On the flip side, IF, Hewitt can get that giganto serve back in play and gets Ivo in ANY sort of rally, Ivo is fukked.. That is all that worries me about Ivo. This will be a good match & I want to pull the trigger on Ivo at -103 I think now???

    But IF Hewitt is on & has any kind of read on Ivo's serve today, I feel old man fukker Hewitt wins a title... He has been sharp this week & we all know when an old guy gets hot for one week, he can win a small tourney for sure..

    Over looks trappy at that 25.5 again, like Groth yest, that 26 was a joke line... BOL ya'll..

  16. #16
    Dmoneytx
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    Quote Originally Posted by Demonata View Post
    Hewitt has been playing great. Also Like Sousa and Agut.
    What's up D???? Been too long man, gonna hit you up on the way home from San Antonio. Played my second tment this year, my right foot had me out 5 months!!! Retired in semi's man, had a good run I hope you are doing great man, talk to ya soon..

  17. #17
    Simon Gruber
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    I'll be on Karlovic or nothing today. Probably nothing since I feel that Karlovic being made the dog is kind of trappy. For what its worth last time they played on grass Hewitt lost 6-3 6-2 so he can get into Hewitt's service games.

  18. #18
    brodie
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    Quote Originally Posted by Dmoneytx View Post
    Isner might have, but it didn't go that way obviously...

    Do you understand that Hewitt prob won't get broken today??? I have watched Ivo's matches & watching him a ton in the past, the guy has NO return Brodie. It is UGLY as fuk... Hewitt should be holding serve with SMART serving & moving Ivo around the court...

    On the flip side, IF, Hewitt can get that giganto serve back in play and gets Ivo in ANY sort of rally, Ivo is fukked.. That is all that worries me about Ivo. This will be a good match & I want to pull the trigger on Ivo at -103 I think now???

    But IF Hewitt is on & has any kind of read on Ivo's serve today, I feel old man fukker Hewitt wins a title... He has been sharp this week & we all know when an old guy gets hot for one week, he can win a small tourney for sure..

    Over looks trappy at that 25.5 again, like Groth yest, that 26 was a joke line... BOL ya'll..
    karlo is a better returner than you're making him out to be, and hewitt's serve has been wildly inconsistent this tourney. obviously karlo isnt gonna beat this guy in a lot of rallies, but i could see 6-4 7-6 karlo. i cant see hewitt beating this guy in straights... and i got karlo at +105 so im happy about that

    to me 25.5 is supposed to look trappy so the public pounds under but that's a major sign imo that it's either going 2 tie breaks or 3 sets

    definitely appreciate the insight though dmoney!

  19. #19
    brodie
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    damn lol Karlo is 2 years older than hewitt haha, thought they were the same age. battle of the old men in this one

  20. #20
    Dollars2Donuts
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    I was on RBA this morning and didn't mind laying the -185, I felt that good about him.

    As as for the other two matches, I am on Ivo here. He is 4-1 lifetime in this matchup, although not all on grass of course. I love how Sock got trashed by Hewitt (my biggest play of the year in the ATP, as Isner let him walk through IMO), but I think that works against Hewitt here. My feeling is a hard fought battle with at least one tie break, Ivo victory.

    The other match is why I am here in the first place. Sousa is now a +140 dog.....wtf?? I grabbed him at even money and thought I was getting great odds. Is there something I don't know about in this match? They are playing equally well, but I think Cuevos is getting too much credit for beating Verdasco, a player that he took to 5 sets at the French, because of a good matchup. Anyone have any insight? I am thinking of hitting this again hard.

  21. #21
    brodie
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    yeah i waited on sousa because he was my lean but i wanted to see what the line would do... looks like some money came in on cuevas then the public jumped on him... i still think sousa wins this but over 22 looks good too

    i have a really small play on sousa +137

  22. #22
    sluggy1616
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    Too many possible outcomes in this match IMO to come up with a play.

    If Hewitt didn't choke up the tourney last year against Mahut then I would be on him. All lines are fair and the over under is just too unpredictable.

  23. #23
    Dollars2Donuts
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    I just doubled my initial bet on Sousa at +142. I agree, I think some early movement here has majorly influenced this line. +142 for a player that IMO is as good, is 1-0 in the heads up match, is playing as well, is younger and has a better overall record....just too tough to not hop on.

  24. #24
    Dollars2Donuts
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    I guess it is raining in Bastad....I wonder if they get this in today.

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    I love that Sweden has a fishing forecast. Lol. So awesome.

  25. #25
    brodie
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    3 early breaks in the cuevas/sousa match... kind of expected with these 2 not having crazy serves and especially after sousa's last match

    still think this goes sousa's way ... just put a decent wager on sousa +414 down a break

  26. #26
    brodie
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    sousa to win 2nd set +194?? hmmmm

  27. #27
    Dollars2Donuts
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    Lol. This is why I was asking. Apparently somebody knew something that we don't. He is getting killed.

  28. #28
    Cappinpicks
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    Quote Originally Posted by brodie View Post
    my leans on all 3

    sousa+100
    over 22 games

    Bautista agut -185
    under 22(?)
    (i think theres a good chance rba rolls him in straights 6-4 6-3 or something)

    karlovic +105
    over 25.5 games

    post your thoughts
    what made u think sousa would do shit? delusional old man

  29. #29
    brodie
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    Quote Originally Posted by Cappinpicks View Post
    what made u think sousa would do shit? delusional old man
    making a wrong pick doesnt make someone a delusional old man

    making delusional old man posts makes someone a delusional old man

  30. #30
    Cappinpicks
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    Quote Originally Posted by brodie View Post
    making a wrong pick doesnt make someone a delusional old man

    making delusional old man posts makes someone a delusional old man
    haha jelly I went 3-0 again with 2 nice dogs in challengers... get over it

  31. #31
    brodie
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    Quote Originally Posted by Dollars2Donuts View Post
    Lol. This is why I was asking. Apparently somebody knew something that we don't. He is getting killed.
    yeah sometimes following the money pays off. im not even watching the match but he is getting rocked out there haha... this challenger with muller is much more entertaining

    Quote Originally Posted by Cappinpicks View Post
    haha jelly I went 3-0 again with 2 nice dogs in challengers... get over it
    karlovic or hewitt?

  32. #32
    Cappinpicks
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    Quote Originally Posted by brodie View Post
    yeah sometimes following the money pays off. im not even watching the match but he is getting rocked out there haha... this challenger with muller is much more entertaining



    karlovic or hewitt?
    been a great day already last one tough to call with karlovic owning hewitt and a dog at that... take brewers instead those shit stains oughta be due

  33. #33
    SSVIR
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    Quote Originally Posted by Dollars2Donuts View Post
    Lol. This is why I was asking. Apparently somebody knew something that we don't. He is getting killed.
    What a joke getting his serve broken 5 times in 7 service games.

  34. #34
    sluggy1616
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    Quote Originally Posted by sluggy1616 View Post
    Too many possible outcomes in this match IMO to come up with a play.

    If Hewitt didn't choke up the tourney last year against Mahut then I would be on him. All lines are fair and the over under is just too unpredictable.
    Bulldog serving at 5-3 in 2nd set to win in straights...choker!!!

  35. #35
    Cappinpicks
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    4-0 day after brewers BLOWOUT WINNER!! on fire 2/4 picks were doggies other 2 pcik ems

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