1. #1
    professionalAD
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    found my gem tomorrow

    2-0 gems +2000

    whatever the lopez isner match is take the god damn over. cant tell u how many times ive seen overs hit for big john in late rounds through grand slams. no one will win in 3 tomorrow. pound the over, lopez is also nasty at grass.

    cheers

  2. #2
    JC1186
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    Very high 40's surely.

  3. #3
    matt1216
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    Lopez 18-2 on grass over the last 12 months

  4. #4
    FlipsideRM
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    43.5

  5. #5
    professionalAD
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    46. -125

    1250/1000

    lets ride

  6. #6
    matt1216
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    Good luck, I see this ending in 4 sets... That's not a bad number imo

  7. #7
    matt1216
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    Quote Originally Posted by FlipsideRM View Post
    43.5
    If u gave this an honest thought, I would play the under

  8. #8
    professionalAD
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    4 sets for sure will still get the over. dont see more than one break tomorroe to be honest, lets gooo

  9. #9
    kenz
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    10.5/12.5 overs for me

  10. #10
    zec
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    46 is tough. If you get a 6-3 set you are in trouble unless it goes 5 sets..

  11. #11
    baconbets
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    Quote Originally Posted by zec View Post
    46 is tough. If you get a 6-3 set you are in trouble unless it goes 5 sets..
    agreed, i dont see the over as being the right play. it is fairly tough to go over 47

    by comparison, lopez 3-2 is +500 and isner 3-2 is +600 (there is no over 4.5 sets prop, currently, but taking both 3-2 props is the same thing). if you split the same amount of money on both 3-2 props, you get a better payoff than over 47 games.

    over 47 -110
    bet 100 to win 90

    -versus-

    lopez 3-2 +500
    bet 50 to win 250

    isner 3-2 +600
    bet 50 to win 300

  12. #12
    matt1216
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    Quote Originally Posted by zec View Post
    46 is tough. If you get a 6-3 set you are in trouble unless it goes 5 sets..
    I was thinking that too but even Pavic kept it close.....

  13. #13
    matt1216
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    Quote Originally Posted by baconbets View Post
    agreed, i dont see the over as being the right play. it is fairly tough to go over 47

    by comparison, lopez 3-2 is +500 and isner 3-2 is +600 (there is no over 4.5 sets prop, currently, but taking both 3-2 props is the same thing). if you split the same amount of money on both 3-2 props, you get a better payoff than over 47 games.

    over 47 -110
    bet 100 to win 90

    -versus-

    lopez 3-2 +500
    bet 50 to win 250

    isner 3-2 +600
    bet 50 to win 300
    7-6 7-6 6-7 6-4 could easily happen which is 49..... I doubt this goes 5 sets

  14. #14
    tipsadontlikehim
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    i took the over 46 i can easily see 3 tie breaks and 4 sets

  15. #15
    zec
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    I am more concerned with Lopez here than Isner. Isner will get the games and sets but Lopez played a ton of tennis. He plays doubles with Melzer tomorrow too.. We shall see, GL

  16. #16
    professionalAD
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    some of you are overthinking this way too much, i see in the future 3 tiebreaks and a 6-4 or 7-5 set. they went 5 in australia. this is a much faster surface. isner had trouble breaking jarko the joke. believe in me guys this is going over 46, line already up to 47

    lets ride

  17. #17
    tipsadontlikehim
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    the only way i see this one not hitting is if Lopez wins 3-0 but i doubt it, Isner is the king of tie breaks.

  18. #18
    baconbets
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    people counting on tiebreaks need to remember that isner wont be breaking back easily in this match. so its very possible he loses serve early in a set and then takes the rest of the set off, which means the possibility of double breaks. when big john becomes disenchanted, he starts to get all mopey and hang-dog. players are very incentivized to win the match, somewhat incentivized to win sets, not very incetivized to win games in sets that are out of reach.
    Last edited by baconbets; 06-27-14 at 11:17 PM.
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  19. #19
    Spinny
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    On grass I don't like the high over here

  20. #20
    professionalAD
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    how can u not count on isner matches having tiebreaks?

  21. #21
    boss_of_um
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    Quote Originally Posted by professionalAD View Post
    how can u not count on isner matches having tiebreaks?
    It isn't that there won't be tiebreakers but you need a minimum of 2 to hit this over and that still may not be enough.

  22. #22
    Cappinpicks
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    over 3.5 sets is +185 how can that be?

  23. #23
    baconbets
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    goofed line. will be fixed by morning, probably. sometimes exotic props dont get fixed but for a "main page" line like sets over on a grand slam match, it will almost certainly be fixed.

  24. #24
    Simon Gruber
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    Jun 28, 2014 12:46:46 AM Single #353845173
    Tennis - All tournaments for men (Game) Total
    If either player retires before the match is completed then the event will be settled as no action.
    ATP - Wimbledon, London, Great Britain
    Feliciano Lopez vs. John Isner
    Over 3½ (+185) Jun 28/14@07:45a
    Web US$ 1000.00 US$ 1850.00

  25. #25
    Simon Gruber
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    ^^^^^ dumbest fckn book around

  26. #26
    Cappinpicks
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    Quote Originally Posted by Simon Gruber View Post
    Jun 28, 2014 12:46:46 AM Single #353845173
    Tennis - All tournaments for men (Game) Total
    If either player retires before the match is completed then the event will be settled as no action.
    ATP - Wimbledon, London, Great Britain
    Feliciano Lopez vs. John Isner
    Over 3½ (+185) Jun 28/14@07:45a
    Web US$ 1000.00 US$ 1850.00
    LOL! lets hope bovada lets another one slide

  27. #27
    Simon Gruber
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    I've bet bad lines with them before - they're not doing shit. I mean how stupid are they to put that out there in the first place. It's almost a free 2 grand.

  28. #28
    Simon Gruber
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    Over 4' sets should be +185

  29. #29
    Cappinpicks
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    Quote Originally Posted by Simon Gruber View Post
    Over 4' sets should be +185
    nice, I hope they count my mariners live +105 WINNING 2-1 in the 5th LOL

  30. #30
    Simon Gruber
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    I should bet more - a whole hell of a lot more to be honest...

  31. #31
    Cappinpicks
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    only problem is isner might lose 3-0 if playing bad

  32. #32
    Simon Gruber
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    Quote Originally Posted by Cappinpicks View Post
    nice, I hope they count my mariners live +105 WINNING 2-1 in the 5th LOL
    I hope you hammer the f\*\*k out of that over sets bet...then we can both have a good laugh at everyone who was tucked into bed.

  33. #33
    Simon Gruber
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    Quote Originally Posted by Cappinpicks View Post
    only problem is isner might lose 3-0 if playing bad
    His form right now sucks, but this will be Lopez's third day in a row. I'm not betting everything in my account on it, but it's worth stepping out and hammering.

  34. #34
    Cappinpicks
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    Quote Originally Posted by Simon Gruber View Post
    I hope you hammer the f\*\*k out of that over sets bet...then we can both have a good laugh at everyone who was tucked into bed.
    they shouldn't change it right? only time ive seen them was when it was a backwards line (wrong team favored) hope not for this M's game

  35. #35
    Simon Gruber
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    Quote Originally Posted by Cappinpicks View Post
    they shouldn't change it right? only time ive seen them was when it was a backwards line (wrong team favored) hope not for this M's game
    Even when they change it, and they will change it the worst they can do is void your bet, they can't assume that you accept changes. I don't think they'll void it though. I bet one of there bad lines on an NHL game during the regular season and I got paid.

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