1. #36
    Ted Sheckler
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    Quote Originally Posted by JC1186 View Post
    It would be impossible not to.


    Well if he's betting 1300 on this...15K probably isn't much money to him. The bet is only +1100 odds.
    Would you hedge on 50 to win 550?

    Guy probably lost a parlay similar to this on the first day of Wimbledon. Always nice to hit a +1100 play though, but not sure it's worth hedging.

  2. #37
    dlweaver
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    I had hedged slightly on Beck should she come back and beat Zheng.

  3. #38
    dlweaver
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    Zheng wins! 18 of 19 completed. Giorgi is warming up for her match.

  4. #39
    dlweaver
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    Giorgi match has started. Giorgi holds and leads 1-0.

  5. #40
    Ted Sheckler
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    Any hedge or just playing it out?

  6. #41
    dlweaver
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    playing it out. 2 holds apiece now it's 2-1 Giorgi on serve.

  7. #42
    JC1186
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    Quote Originally Posted by Ted Sheckler View Post
    Well if he's betting 1300 on this...15K probably isn't much money to him. The bet is only +1100 odds.
    Would you hedge on 50 to win 550?

    Guy probably lost a parlay similar to this on the first day of Wimbledon. Always nice to hit a +1100 play though, but not sure it's worth hedging.
    I hear what you're saying, but we're talking 15K here. Regardless what his unit size is, it's a big win and we all know that's a lot of money in anyone's language.

    The question I have for you is would you wager 14K on Giorgi of all people?

  8. #43
    dlweaver
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    I understand I should have hedged potentially on Giorgi however since I had already hedged some on Beck I decided not to hedge twice.

  9. #44
    dlweaver
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    Giorgi BREAKS and now leads 3-1.

  10. #45
    JC1186
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    Up a break now.

    dlweaver, care to share with us your motivation for this play? It's clearly a very confident play at very high odds. Do you do this regularly early on in Grand Slams? Had much success?

  11. #46
    Ted Sheckler
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    Quote Originally Posted by JC1186 View Post
    I hear what you're saying, but we're talking 15K here. Regardless what his unit size is, it's a big win and we all know that's a lot of money in anyone's language.

    The question I have for you is would you wager 14K on Giorgi of all people?

    I hit my +1950 parlay...Didn't think twice of hedging.
    I won 1300, maybe 1300 to me means the same as 15K to him?
    If A guy bets 1300 on a parlay, what do you assume his regular wager size is? I would have to guess AT LEAST 2500. So is 15K really that much to him? 7 units?

    So it's not a big win. He's betting 1300 on a parlay, you think he cares about 15K? I'm sure he lost a 1300 parlay or more on the first day. I know I lost a parlay with Sloane Stephens involved in it. Came back and put down another parlay for the rest of the day and today. I assume he's done the same thing that I did.


    7units on Giorgi? sure I'd probably hedge for .5 unit to win 3.5...pretty simple if you don't trust the person.

  12. #47
    NguyenImproved
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    Quote Originally Posted by Ted Sheckler View Post
    Well if he's betting 1300 on this...15K probably isn't much money to him. The bet is only +1100 odds.
    Would you hedge on 50 to win 550?

    Guy probably lost a parlay similar to this on the first day of Wimbledon. Always nice to hit a +1100 play though, but not sure it's worth hedging.


    15k is substantial for any punter.

    Especially any punters on this borad.

  13. #48
    dlweaver
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    yea 15k is substantial for me. i'd say an average bet is between 500-1000 however I DO try these early on slams (first/second round) and have had relatively good success but nothing like this.

  14. #49
    JC1186
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    I get you. It's all logical what you're saying.

    I think it's just that.

    1) It's WTA
    2) It's WTA + Giorgi

    If you know what I mean. There are a heap of players in a multi like that I'd let run. But of everyone on his list, she's probably the least trustworthy. So that reflected in my opinion laying off was a foregone conclusion.

    But alas, it's looking like the right call to see it through.

  15. #50
    NguyenImproved
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    Quote Originally Posted by dlweaver View Post
    yea 15k is substantial for me. i'd say an average bet is between 500-1000 however I DO try these early on slams (first/second round) and have had relatively good success but nothing like this.


    Good get.


    I think you're the first guy I've seen on this forum to get a parlay through.

  16. #51
    Ted Sheckler
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    Quote Originally Posted by JC1186 View Post
    I get you. It's all logical what you're saying.

    I think it's just that.

    1) It's WTA
    2) It's WTA + Giorgi

    If you know what I mean. There are a heap of players in a multi like that I'd let run. But of everyone on his list, she's probably the least trustworthy. So that reflected in my opinion laying off was a foregone conclusion.

    But alas, it's looking like the right call to see it through.

    I agree, it's a nice parlay.
    And I agree, I'd hedge on every WTA woman in the 1st round not named Serena/Na/Azarenka(when healthy).

  17. #52
    dlweaver
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    6-1 first set to GIORGI.

  18. #53
    JC1186
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    *edit. Meh not worth it.
    Last edited by JC1186; 06-24-14 at 02:00 PM.

  19. #54
    Regul8er
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    Dang....looks like you got this weaver. I likely would have lost on the first play, haha.

  20. #55
    dlweaver
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    Wow. Giorgi not looking good. Down a break 1-3 in the 2nd set.

  21. #56
    Regul8er
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    A break in WTA doesn't mean much......Giorgi will get that break back in no time.

  22. #57
    Cappinpicks
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    what a way to lose a 20 teamer if girogi were to suck/blow it as usual... Silvia was the gift of the century vs some no name -230 kunt

  23. #58
    Ted Sheckler
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    You got a link to the match?

  24. #59
    JC1186
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    I'd just lay off now at pretty much pre-match odds.

    The bitch cannot be trusted. Trust me, she's all or nothing. Quite often nothing. She has no plan B. It's belt the ball every time.

    Chicks like that can lose to anyone on off days.

  25. #60
    dlweaver
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    Giorgi trails in 2nd set 1-4. AHHHHHHHHHHhhh

  26. #61
    dlweaver
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    Finally a hold now down 2-4. I need a BREAK!

  27. #62
    dlweaver
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    Giorgi doing nothing right now down 2-5.

  28. #63
    NguyenImproved
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    Quote Originally Posted by dlweaver View Post
    Giorgi trails in 2nd set 1-4. AHHHHHHHHHHhhh

    So you seriously didn't hedge when she won the first set..
    PLayer B was 41.00. woulda cost $300 to insure a 12k collect
    Dang man

  29. #64
    Regul8er
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    Cadantu was +4100 after the 1st set?

  30. #65
    Ted Sheckler
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    Quote Originally Posted by NguyenImproved View Post
    So you seriously didn't hedge when she won the first set..
    PLayer B was 41.00. woulda cost $300 to insure a 12k collect
    Dang man


    His bet original bet was at 5dimes, if that's the only place he has money, they don't offer the match live.
    After dominating the first set, probably just start counting my money.
    Although it is WTA.

  31. #66
    NguyenImproved
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    Quote Originally Posted by Regul8er View Post
    Cadantu was +4100 after the 1st set?
    Yes. with sportsbet.
    they had some weird prices today. eg. SW opponent was 67.00 after losing first game (service game by SW). Then after losing the set 6-1 she FIRMED into 13.00. weird..

  32. #67
    NguyenImproved
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    Quote Originally Posted by Ted Sheckler View Post
    His bet original bet was at 5dimes, if that's the only place he has money, they don't offer the match live.
    After dominating the first set, probably just start counting my money.
    Although it is WTA.

    true looks like giorgi has comeback anyway.

  33. #68
    ayororick
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    Awesome hit, congrats!!

  34. #69
    Ted Sheckler
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    Nice hit.

  35. #70
    kenz
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    Grats!

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