1. 06-14-14 02:39 PM #1
    baconbets
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    federer vs falla

    falla +4.5 games + 115
    over 20.5 games -110

    anybody like these for tomorrow? seems that as long as one of the first 2 sets is a tiebreaker, these will both be almost guaranteed.

    having said that, federer set score props of 7-6 are paying +550 in the first and second set. maybe that is a different way to play the same outcome.
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  2. 06-14-14 03:02 PM #2
    kenz
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    Falla 2-0




























    JK of course I watched Falla every game this week. He is very ambitious. Every set he played was tight and he fought, he deserved to be in final. But I wont bet on this game, have no idea if Federer will cruise or have a harder time.
    BOL
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  3. 06-14-14 03:38 PM #3
    matt1216
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    Falla has been solid but I get a bit nervous as he makes a solid serve and volley but he also makes a bunch of boneheaded forehand errors.... If kohl was on with his backhand at all I think he wins in 2 sets no problem. Unless there's a deal beforhand I don't see Falla winning a set here.
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  4. 06-14-14 07:15 PM #4
    baconbets
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    he doesn't need to win a set for +4.5 or over 20.5, that part of the point. if i thought he would win a set, then +1.5 sets +185 or over 2.5 sets +230 would be more attractive. +4.5 and over 20.5 cover a good amount of federer 2-0 outcomes, whereas federer 2-0 itself is -250. no value there.
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  5. 06-14-14 07:53 PM #5
    matt1216
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    Dude if he loses serve atleast 1 time in either set your +4.5 is a loss. Kohl had Falla @ Duece most of this morning and his backhand was shit. Federer's back hand is miles better. I think Falla gets smoked here
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  6. 06-14-14 08:15 PM #6
    SirtySree
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    Quote Originally Posted by matt1216 View Post
    Dude if he loses serve atleast 1 time in either set your +4.5 is a loss. Kohl had Falla @ Duece most of this morning and his backhand was shit. Federer's back hand is miles better. I think Falla gets smoked here
    Not true. If u serve first and get broken once in each set, u lose 6-4 6-4 meaning +4.5 wins.

    A factor which I've mentioned in the past is that finals and even semi-finals at times result in closer results then if the same two player played in earlier rounds.
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  7. 06-14-14 08:23 PM #7
    baconbets
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    fed now down to -1600 from -900 on my book. hopefully the point spread will move as well.
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