[kenz]

1. In 2013 the game was tight but Nadal was at his best. Scoreline may look a comfy win but it was not.

2. Nadal is on decline since 2013 US Open. Since then these 2 played 4 times, Ferrer won 3 of them

3. Nadal is playing one-handed BH players this week, they are Nadal's prey. He did not face a 2-handed BH rally-guy yet.

4. Nadal's self claims on he is doing his best to cope with what he is going through.

I am sure Nadal will be more than happy to win today by any margin, and 8 is a huuuuggge margin to cover

[Marillion]

GL should be good. I'm simply taking the Ferrer ML at 6.00.

[Tmuston Beltics]

same here. Heard Nadal was a bit injured so I'll grab a bookie that has 1-ball rule.

[SirtySree]

same here. Heard Nadal was a bit injured so I'll grab a bookie that has 1-ball rule.

Nadal doesn't retire when injured nowadays so best to just find a book with the best odds.

[Tmuston Beltics]

Nadal doesn't retire when injured nowadays so best to just find a book with the best odds.

oh, well can't find better odds than 6.00

[kenz]

same here. Heard Nadal was a bit injured so I'll grab a bookie that has 1-ball rule.

bwin

[kenz]

And dont think Nadal will retire at all no matter what

[Marillion]

The more I think about that, the more I like Ferrer ML (and a bit less Ferrer to cover the spread although it's probably still good). GL to all who are not going to take Nadal 1.10 lol.

[shari91]

I'm on the Ferrer handicap and ML also but I'm a bit worried that so many people here and elsewhere seem to like these bets. That rarely bodes well for me. Either way I figure if he can beat Nadal in Monte Carlo and has won 3 out of their last 4, he can do it again. At least if he loses he'll go down fighting.

[SirtySree]

Only thing I am worried about is the fact that Nadal will come out with a tactic to combat what Ferrer has been doing. Ferrer has beaten Nadal past few times by just hitting to Nadal's backhand and waiting for Nadal to just make the unforced error. Think Nadal will be well aware of this and come up with a plan to beat that strategy.

[kenz]

The game he lost was in London which was very fast and Ferrer could not deal with high-bouncing balls taht week.

I really like this bet and even when Nadal was @his best last year, the game was tight.

[Marillion]

I'm on the Ferrer handicap and ML also but I'm a bit worried that so many people here and elsewhere seem to like these bets. That rarely bodes well for me. Either way I figure if he can beat Nadal in Monte Carlo and has won 3 out of their last 4, he can do it again. At least if he loses he'll go down fighting.

IMO this should not bother you too much, in my short experience in tennis betting, I have found such matches to occur often. A huge favourite/mainstream name like Nadal/Serena/Na Li is facing a tough (but not very well known to the wide public) opponent and odds are like 1.10 for the favourite. Every semi-decent regular tennis bettor you read from in the forums is on the underdog, it's so strange that you wonder wtf isn't there anything wrong? No, it's just that there will always be guys out there who'll be on the favourite.

(I know today's match is a bit different, as Ferrer is a pretty well known name as well but the situation is so-so the same.)

[w@lt]

Dave takes the first set. Is looking very good.

[kenz]

Ferru looking good

[w@lt]

Man, he could have had that set. He blew break points.

[w@lt]

God damn it. Fuking UE machine all of a sudden.

[kenz]

Unfortunately

[kenz]

Now Ferrer is in free fall

[w@lt]

Fuk you Ferrer. What the hell.

[kenz]

we need a break

[nocturnal012]

About to get bageled smh..

[Marillion]

I'm switching to Monfils - Murray this is getting boring.

[kenz]

tough loss

[w@lt]

I stopped watching. Did stupid ass Dave get hurt or something? He's now lost 9 fuking games in a row.

[letsgo]

No he is healthy, just got raped.

[poet]

Mental midget.