[Boner_18]

I know it is early and we don't know how many questionable players are training this winter but anyone see any value in the AO '10 lines?

I might play Monfils now and take out some if he makes the round of 16 or greater...

ATP
Australian Open 2010
Mon 1/18 6:00AM
*Note: All Players Have Action
Roger Federer +245
Juan Martin Del Potro +480
Andy Murray +625
Rafael Nadal +700
Novak Djokovic +700
Nikolay Davydenko +2200
Jo Wilfried Tsonga +3000
Marin Cilic +4000
Andy Roddick +4200
Robin Soderling +4200
Fernando Verdasco +6000
Gael Monfils +9000
Lleyton Hewitt +10500
Fernando Gonzalez +12000
Marcos Baghdatis +14000
David Nalbandian +20000
Gilles Simon +25000
Tomas Berdych +27000
Tommy Haas +28000
Nicolas Almagro +30000
Stanislas Wawrinka +38000
Ivo Karlovic +39000
Mikhail Youzhny +39000
Richard Gasquet +40000
David Ferrer +40000
Sam Querrey +40000
John Isner +44000
Radek Stepanek +49000
Tommy Robredo +52500
James Blake +62500
Janko Tipsarevic +63000
Juan Carlos Ferrero +65000
Philipp Kohlschreiber +65000
Paul Henri Mathieu +100000
Victor Hanescu +100000
Dudi Sela +100000
Victor Troicki +100000
Jeremy Chardy +100000
Feliciano Lopez +100000
Philipp Petzschner +100000
Julien Benneteau +100000
Juan Monaco +100000
Dmitry Tursunov +100000
Jurgen Melzer +100000
Fabrice Santoro +100000
Benjamin Becker +100000
Igor Andreev +100000
Andreas Beck +100000
Igor Kunitsyn +100000
Albert Montanes +100000
Ivan Ljubicic +100000
Martin Vassallo Arguello +100000
Mischa Zverev +100000
Mardy Fish +100000

[ji03]

I would take a stab at Fernando Gonzalez at +12000

[iceminers26]

My 2 value plays

Lleyton Hewitt +10500

Andy Roddick +4200

[Boner_18]

James Blake, bet $100, he wins you get $62,500...

[Domestic]

Andy Roddick, very good chance this year around I reckon.

[mihaita666]

i think rafa nadal will recover from his injury, and he will make the final,

[AlwaysDrawing]

James Blake, bet $100, he wins you get $62,500...

James Blake is garbage. Betting against James Blake is highly +EV.

I see value in Robin Soderling +4200. He's been playing really well, and has a chance to finally win a major in Australia.

Djokovic always plays well on hard court, but there's little value at +700.

I'd definitely lay off Nadal, whose knees might shorten his career permanently soon. He doesn't have the sick mobility he used to, and that's what made him great.

Del Potro is overrated. +480 is a joke for him.

There might be value in Federer +245. He wins 1/3 times for sure, though it obviously depends on the draw. Once the draw is released, I'd be more willing to bet him; I doubt the odds are going to narrow and you'll have a better idea of his chances.

[RobbReport]

novak and Soderling maybe

[Fthenorm]

Perhaps some value in Tsonga at +3000. He can beat anyone on his day, especially on hard, and has had success in Melbourne. I see him winning a hardcourt slam in his career, maybe even before Murray.

[Boner_18]

Oh I agree always drawing, thats why I had the that you left out of the quote. I have been fading the J-Block for a year or more now. He is a chump choke artist.

I agree w/ the potential Roddick play and the anti Del Potro call... Can't get behind Nadal at all here though.

[RobbReport]

shit i didnt even notice drawings choices to maybe win...i agree Soderling seems like he's always improving and ready to give trouble to a big dog any day but sometimes he can outright suck. Djokovic has been playing great consistently and seems driven enough for the most part to go far.

[mihaita666]

what about the women ? anyone likes clijsters to win another big trophy ?

[HeeeHAWWWW]

I see value in Robin Soderling +4200. He's been playing really well, and has a chance to finally win a major in Australia.

Soderling hates humidity - Australia is pretty much the worst tournament imaginable for him, thus why he's only made it to the 2nd round a couple of times. The humidity is the same reason he skipped Miami three years in a row (and this year lost easily to Kendrick in the first round).

I agree he has the right attitude for possible majors though. The way he took the game to Federer in the US Open impressed me a lot - the first two sets he had no chance with the wind, impossible for a very flat hitter like him. When it died down he took the third set, and had set point in the tiebreak in the next to level it at 2-2.

Perhaps Wimbledon? His serve is truly nasty there, goes right through the court.

[ClydeFontaine]

Henin a serious contender in the women. Any good price on Azarenka I will be on as well.

[AlwaysDrawing]

I agree Soderling has the right attitude for possible majors though. The way he took the game to Federer in the US Open impressed me a lot - the first two sets he had no chance with the wind, impossible for a very flat hitter like him. When it died down he took the third set, and had set point in the tiebreak in the next to level it at 2-2.

Perhaps Wimbledon? His serve is truly nasty there, goes right through the court.

I saw him play on an outside court there over the summer. He hit really well, and it was a wakeup call to me on his play.

The humidity may be a strike against him, but I wouldn't be surprised to see Robin go further given his improvement this year.

[RobbReport]

jan 18

[mihaita666]

so henin return in this tourney ? nice

[mihaita666]

except for soederling, no player ourside top 4 has any serious chance....maybe del potro

[Tsonga]

I like Djoker, Cilic, Tsonga, Soderling

[iceminers26]

James Blake, bet $100, he wins you get $62,500...

I'm a value player and let me tell you, I would not even attempt this play, JB is the worst player on the tour IMO. He is great fade material.

[Fthenorm]

Simon, Cilic and Stepanek could be of slight value at huge odds

[mihaita666]

cilic, maybe....but no more then semifinals, imo

[timbo46]

Isner can do damage early....could easily reach quarterfinals.

[mihaita666]

hardcourt...maybe...isner will do a decent tournament, at least decent

[iceminers26]

novak and Soderling maybe

Terrible plays, no chance in hell either of these players win, would not expect anything less from ya though.

[RobbReport]

Terrible plays, no chance in hell either of these players win, would not expect anything less from ya though.

Ice, stay off the firewater and nose candy(or is it rock?) then we can talk.



won't get into your points debt that might be below the belt at this point...

[RobbReport]

Novak certainly has a chance, you just hate him you said.

[iceminers26]

Ice, stay off the firewater and nose candy(or is it rock?) then we can talk. won't get into your points debt that might be below the belt at this point...

Its nose candy, gonna be awhile until I get off it, so will get back to ya when we can talk.

You can take another shot at me about the point debt, I was stupid and its all on me.

And you are right, I do hate the Joker but in all honesty, I don't see him being competitive at the A.O.

[iceminers26]

Isner can do damage early....could easily reach quarterfinals.

Johny Is has the big serve, but it seems that he always gets dominated by the big names because he can't move that good after the serve. Plus you have to throw in the high likeliness that he might be injured at some point this early on in the season. I like watching his matches because of the big serve, but can't see him getting past the big names.

[iceminers26]

I like Djoker, Cilic, Tsonga, Soderling

You gotta think that Tsonga gets a big win this year at some point, this early on in the season might be his best shot.

[iceminers26]

Henin a serious contender in the women. Any good price on Azarenka I will be on as well.

Like your thinking with Az, also like Dem at +1425, Stosur at +5100, and Venus at +775, locked those 3 plays in about a week ago and might add Az.

[Tsonga]

novak can win this for sure...will be interesting to see what roddick is like in January.

[mihaita666]

well, nole needed a break, inorder to recover after a looooong seasson.....he will be at least in the semifinals

[Boner_18]

I think Djok def has a chance. He was playing some of his best tennis there at the end but was in need of a serious rest.

As for the blake line apparently he does have some backers! It is down to around 25000

[iceminers26]

Would love to meet these people that have backed Blake, I don't care what price you gave me, I would not back him. You could tell me the entire field has an injury with the exception of him and I still wouldn't, he would find a way to lose it.

As for the Joker, I'm sticking to it that he will not be in the mix at the Aussie Open.