My girl Cibulkova has made my good money this year as a dog and I am not bucking that trend tonight. This match should be close to a pickem and to get her at +140 right now is a opportunity not to be missed. Cibulkova is playing the best tennis of her career and Halep is a player that she can definitely beat. The type of players that give Cibulkova problems are heavy hitters and players with a strong serve which Halep is not. Although Cibulkova did beat Sharapova the other day, that is more of a testament on this woman's incredible form right now.
Halep is more of a grinder that doesnt hit with much power but thrives more on placement and errors by the opponent. She's great on clay and has been solid on other surfaces as well but I believe her style is due for a letdown on this surface. As I mentioned earlier in our Berdych thread yesterday, to be successful this deep at the Australian, you will need some good amount of power on this surface. That was the reason why Ferrer couldnt beat Berdych yesterday.
On clay , you can win with that grinding high topspin/low pace style but on hardcourts, players with booming groundstrokes will eventually blow you off the court due to how fast the ball travels after it hits the surface. Powerful groundstrokes are Cibulkova's forte and I can seeing her ending a lot of rallies tonight with that booming forehand of hers.
Not going large on this one but Cibulkova is definitely worth a few units at +140. She has a 50/50 chance of winning this match in my opinion.
Best of Luck