[MagicDiceFlow]

I've been waiting all tournament long to grab Berdych at a decent price and tonight is the night. I know that Ferrer holds the edge over Berdych in the head to head but Berdy is in incredible form right now. The Czech has yet to drop a set and his groundstrokes are looking very powerful with minimal errors at the moment. Berdych is intimated against only two players at the moment (Nadal & Djokovic) and against any of the other elite players, he won't be rattled on this surface.

If you've noticed, all the heavy topspin spaniards have bowed out now (except for Nadal of course since he's special) and Ferrer will be the next victim. This late in the tournament, you will need power to get past the quarters and Ferrer just doesnt have that in his game.

I like both the moneyline and the Berdych -2.5 games. I believe there will be a set here will Berdych will trump Ferrer by at least 3 games in one set while the Ferrer sets if he happens to win one, will be very tightly contested by Berdy due to his strong serve. This plays very nicely into the games spread.

I've had a nice Australian Open so far (up about 13 units) and will be putting maximum bets on the money line and spread. Look for Berdych to make his way into the semifinals this year at the Aussie Open.


Best of Luck fellas

[matt1216]

yeah, the line definately screams hook line and Sinker on Ferrer.



good luck man

[yisman]

I agree. I took Berdych -2.5 games, -2.5 sets, and +2.5 sets at Heritage

[MagicDiceFlow]

Just fyi for Heritage bettors, be careful on the -2.5 line. Make sure it says "-2.5 games".

If it just says -2.5 , that is the set line. The -2.5 games line should be at -110. If you chose the -2.5/+340 line, that is the set line which i am not betting that one tonight.

[Robber]

Heritage has done that for years

Misleading

[Bill_Hicks]

I've been waiting all tournament long to grab Berdych at a decent price and tonight is the night. I know that Ferrer holds the edge over Berdych in the head to head but Berdy is in incredible form right now. The Czech has yet to drop a set and his groundstrokes are looking very powerful with minimal errors at the moment. Berdych is intimated against only two players at the moment (Nadal & Djokovic) and against any of the other elite players, he won't be rattled on this surface.

If you've noticed, all the heavy topspin spaniards have bowed out now (except for Nadal of course since he's special) and Ferrer will be the next victim. This late in the tournament, you will need power to get past the quarters and Ferrer just doesnt have that in his game.

I like both the moneyline and the Berdych -2.5 games. I believe there will be a set here will Berdych will trump Ferrer by at least 3 games in one set while the Ferrer sets if he happens to win one, will be very tightly contested by Berdy due to his strong serve. This plays very nicely into the games spread.

I've had a nice Australian Open so far (up about 13 units) and will be putting maximum bets on the money line and spread. Look for Berdych to make his way into the semifinals this year at the Aussie Open.


Best of Luck fellas

How many units is your max play MDF?

GL man.

[MagicDiceFlow]

Heritage has done that for years

Misleading

With the seasoned bettors , its apparent but yes I agree, for the noob bettors it looks very misleading especially if you dont bet tennis daily. I emailed them before to simply just add in the word "sets" or "games" but to no success.

[MagicDiceFlow]

How many units is your max play MDF?

GL man.

For the maximum at Heritage which is $2000 on the moneyline and $500 on the spread line.

[Robber]

The other books when they list -2.5 right next to ml it's always games

[boss_of_um]

Berdych - 1.5 sets @+110 on 5 Dimes seems solid.

[MagicDiceFlow]

Berdych - 1.5 sets @+110 on 5 Dimes seems solid.

That's a decent bet but I still like the -2.5 games better just in case it goes five setter, you still have a good chance of winning if Berdych trumps Ferrer in one or two of those sets.

[MagicDiceFlow]

Here are my plays pending for the day. If Ivanovic comes through, it will set up a nice additional payout with the Berdych:

My Account : Current Bets
Please click on a ticket number below to view wager details.

Ticket #	Accepted	Type	Risk	To Win	Short Description
	1/20/2014 10:59AM	Parlay	275.00	1,405.00	Tennis - 8253 T. Berdych -150 for Game Tennis - 8749 A. Ivanovic -1½ +100 for Game Tennis - 8751 N. Li -1½ -120 for Game
	1/20/2014 1:21PM	Parlay	500.00	348.21	Tennis - 8749 A. Ivanovic -280 for Game Tennis - 8751 N. Li -400 for Game
	1/20/2014 3:43PM	Spread	550.00	500.00	Tennis - 880555 T. Berdych (Games) -2½ -110 for Game
	1/20/2014 1:54PM	Money Line	3000.00	2000.00	Tennis - 8253 T. Berdych -150 for Game
	1/20/2014 5:42PM	Total	330.00	300.00	Basketball - 719 Indiana Pacers/Golden State Warriors over 49 -110 for 1st Quarter

[suicidekings]

Not necessarily disagreeing with the play, as I think Berdych being such a big favourite (Now up to -160 and -3(-110)) over a player that has historically dominated him is pretty telling that he has more than a good chance of winning this match.

But... Berdych hasn't done anything noteworthy yet this year. De Schepper and Dzumhur are both crap, and Anderson is very one-dimensional with no ability to beat anyone with a decent return game, despite the #21 ranking. Berdych had, BY FAR, the easiest path to the QF among top players in this year's draw, so you need to take those wins lightly.

However the market says he's the guy tonight. Good luck.

[MagicDiceFlow]

Not necessarily disagreeing with the play, as I think Berdych being such a big favourite (Now up to -160 and -3(-110)) over a player that has historically dominated him is pretty telling that he has more than a good chance of winning this match.

But... Berdych hasn't done anything noteworthy yet this year. De Schepper and Dzumhur are both crap, and Anderson is very one-dimensional with no ability to beat anyone with a decent return game, despite the #21 ranking. Berdych had, BY FAR, the easiest path to the QF among top players in this year's draw, so you need to take those wins lightly.

However the market says he's the guy tonight. Good luck.

Tonight will be more about how Berdych plays than Ferrer. If Berdych plays well like's he's been hitting all tournament, it wont matter how good Ferrer is , Berdych will prevail.

GL

[ThaTopMoron]

I tailed MDF on the ML

I trust you

[Bill_Hicks]

Tailed that 1st quarter play. Easy. Thanks.

[MagicDiceFlow]

I tailed MDF on the ML

I trust you

GL TopM ....let's get this.

[MagicDiceFlow]

Tailed that 1st quarter play. Easy. Thanks.

That was super easy, it was over with more than 4 minutes left in the quarter.

[MagicDiceFlow]

Berdy with the immediate break of Ferrer to start off the match 3-0.

Blowing Ferrer off the court with the power early on. The -2.5 spread line will look good if he can get a 6-2 type set here.

[dRavidC]

That 6-1 set has essentially cashed ur ticket. Berdych is just crushing ferrer. A straight setter wouldn't surprise me now.

[SirtySree]

Ferrer drops first set a lot. This is only getting started.

[MagicDiceFlow]

That 6-1 set has essentially cashed ur ticket. Berdych is just crushing ferrer. A straight setter wouldn't surprise me now.

Yep, that 6-1 set was sweet. I knew Berdych was going to pounce Ferrer on one of these sets.

[yisman]

That 6-1 set has essentially cashed ur ticket. Berdych is just crushing ferrer. A straight setter wouldn't surprise me now.

sounds like you jinxed it

[MagicDiceFlow]

Two sets done , one more to go fellas ......c'mon Berdy , you got this.

[ThaTopMoron]

Two sets done , one more to go fellas ......c'mon Berdy , you got this.

thanks for your tennis insight

i usually only show up for some tennis betting during the major opens

i remember sweating out Djokovic ML vs Wawrinka last year in this open... i played it just to pad my roll a little. i said i would never do it again lol

what's the play if you have one?

[Noleafclover]

Tide turning or lucky set?

[yisman]

damn, close to a big payout with berdych -2.5 sets

he's folding like murray last night

[ThaTopMoron]

what in the fukk is going on

[Cessation]

Berdych is wearing a north melbourne jumper, talk about tempting the choke

[aman86]

berdych choking

[aman86]

he needs to step up his serve and get some freebies...berdych missing the easy winners to give ferrer the third...looking very dicey

[aman86]

berdych in a mental funk...if/when he loses the 4th I'm hedging...he's toast imo

[bababooey13]

ferrer never goes down easy. he's got all the momentum now. over was the play for this match.

[ThaTopMoron]

thank God he held @ 2-2 4th set

wtf this is why i don't bet much tennis outside of later stages in the major opens and only trust the big names

this guy was cruising 2 sets and 2-2 tied in 3rd, he makes one bad mistake and falls apart

fukk him

ill fade his ass if he ends up winning

[dlw902]

ferrer never goes down easy. he's got all the momentum now. over was the play for this match.

Break for Berdych... I have a feeling he will finish it out now... he has the lead.