1. #1
    Seto
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    2014 Tennis Thread

    Link to last year's thread: http://www.sportsbookreview.com/forum/tennis-bet...thread-p9.html

    To this day my only losing season at any sport at SBR, hopeful to win this year but will be cautious so as not to let it bury me if I do poorly again given how my NBA season is going. Needless to say my tennis units this year will be substantially smaller than my NBA units (currently 100 NBA, 20 soccer if anyone cares, thinking about 20-25 as well for tennis, I'll decide when I place my first bet.)

    One thing I did do well at last year was slams though (up about 16 units I think which makes me down like 34 at other tourneys.. smh), so hopefully I can start the season ok. I haven't followed much up to this point though so will probably take it easy to begin with.

    GL everyone

  2. #2
    Hardcoar
    Curious Nick and Tenacious Kokk
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    Awwwwww... yeeeeeeeh

  3. #3
    Seto
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    Quote Originally Posted by Hardcoar View Post
    Awwwwww... yeeeeeeeh

  4. #4
    Seto
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    Time for me to get rolling. Units will be £20 if anyone cares. Have no interest in overextending myself here. Doing too well in NBA for that.

    Actually haven't watched as much as I would've liked but a LOT of dogs stand out to me this coming round

    I bet all of these earlier and some lines have moved a bit so I'm posting them at current lines but also putting those I got just as an FYI.

    Janowicz +162 (risking 1x to win 1.62x) - got +175 earlier
    Gasquet -167 (risking 1.67x to win 1x)
    Paire +168 (risking 1x to win 1.68x)
    Barthel +255 (risking 1x to win 2.55x) - got +240 earlier
    Safarova +610 (risking 0.5x to win 3.05x) - got +690 earlier
    Safarova+1.5 sets +196 (risking 1x to win 1.96x) - got +200 earlier
    Stosur +134 (risking 1x to win 1.34x)
    Zheng/Dellacqua over 21.5 -103 (risking 1.03x to win 1x)

    all marathon

    Wozniacki -102 (pinnacle) (risking 2.04x to win 2x) - got -101 earlier

  5. #5
    Seto
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    Today: 1-6, -4.24x
    Total: 1-6, -4.24x

    Picking up where I left off at the end of last year smh. At least financially it isn't that deep. Hopefully 2 plays tomorrow do better.

    Really gotta watch more matches before making picks. Didn't follow my own advice.

    Still if Safarova had fukking won that damn service game I'd only be down pennies.

  6. #6
    Seto
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    Today: 0-2, -3.04x
    Total: 1-8, -7.28x

    Well that was embarassing.

    You could say in a way that if Wozniacki and Safarova had won, which was really close especially for Safarova I'd be up. But the more realistic way to look at this is I mostly made godawful picks betting lines that surprised me because I wasn't watching enough stuff.

    At least it wasn't financially too bad but certainly eye-opening. Maybe this just isn't my sport but I'm not going about it the right way for now.

  7. #7
    Hardcoar
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    Even with the proper knowledge, I think Wozniacki at those odds was the correct bet without a doubt.

  8. #8
    Seto
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    Quote Originally Posted by Hardcoar View Post
    Even with the proper knowledge, I think Wozniacki at those odds was the correct bet without a doubt.
    I think so too.

    Janowicz, Paire, Barthel got throttled.

    Gasquet lost a tough one but taking a -167 fave if you lose you don't complain about bad luck except in rare cases.

    Stosur was not a good play having seen most of that match.

    Zheng/Dellacqua over never really looked good.

    I made 3 good plays out of 9, that's kinda disappointing. Of course over the long run I won't win 1 of 9 often, but that was still a pretty eye opening couple of days IMO.

  9. #9
    Hardcoar
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    Gasquet had serious injury (lower back iirc) issues. That was a terrible bet any way you look at it with Robredo's stamina. It had nothing to do with luck. Why do you think Robredo closed at +150??

  10. #10
    Seto
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    Quote Originally Posted by Hardcoar View Post
    Gasquet had serious injury (lower back iirc) issues. That was a terrible bet any way you look at it with Robredo's stamina. It had nothing to do with luck. Why do you think Robredo closed at +150??
    well he choked that 3rd set away but yeah it was a bad bet, agreed. i haven't been watching much so i'm not in position to bet these matches.

  11. #11
    Seto
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    Nadal/Federer over 41.5 -105 (pinnacle) (risking 2.1x to win 2x)
    Nadal/Federer over 4.5 sets +245 (+250 bwin.com/+240 betfair) (risking 1x to win 2.45x) - had to split because of bwin limits

    Finally making plays based on what I'm seeing so going in the right direction. Hopefully I can win this.

  12. #12
    Seto
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    Today: 0-2, -3.1x
    Total: 1-10, -10.38x

    Nadal at 100% wasn't gonna let this bet win SMH.

    Long year I guess.

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