I am going to .5 units on Jarkko at (-230)
Here's why: http://www.matchstat.com/Compare/558/2904/9863
He has one all 3 of their meetings on I_Hard.
He Recently Quartered in Tokyo
He has better stats overall than Becker:
http://www.atpworldtour.com/Share/He...=B896&oId=N289
more specifically his return game stats are better, which are the key to winning these I_|Hard matches where both players have similar service game stats.