Got this at -697. Taking Tsonga with 4 units on this one. I think he will blow Rochus away - Rochus does not have the game to play with Tsonga despite his recent success. I would be blown away if Tsonga loses here. Its being played in France so Tsonga has the home crowd which he loves. Tsonga wants this tournament to get into the finals as well. Tsonga beat Rochus' brother Christophe who plays a similar game 6-2,6-2,6-2 on clay. Tsonga beat O. Rochus at Lyon in '07 6-3. 6-2. winning 96% of his first serve.
The best player Rochus has beaten lately is F. Lopez and he is not in the same league as Tsonga. Rochus has lost 9/10 matches against top ten players. I'd say this is pretty close to a lock...heavy play for me. Win