[Hardcoar]

LUCKY!

P.S.

I was being very lighthearted.

D.S.

[Sam_Hawkins]

Soo I can't really decide what to bet for USO finals, which means I will just let it be...The best play was imho when nadal was above evens, but I missed that. Don't wanna lay bigger chalk since imho the match can easily go either way, even under-over is very tricky to decide tho I'm leaning over...Over 3.5 sets is too much chalk to lay.
So since I won't be betting USO and I still want to lose some money, I went for this challenger treble, so you can later laugh at me while I'm repeatedly smashing my head to the wall.

Play 1: Serra+Zopp+Meffert (1/1.1)

[Hardcoar]

I agree Nadal @ 2.1 is better than @ 1.75.


This is basically a classic case of no f*cking bet to me. Everything points to a Nadal win, the whole world agrees, and Djokovic is @ 2.5 against Nadal in a USO final (lol). As much as I hold Rafa favorite, It wouldn't surprise me one bit if Novak goes on to win given the previous facts.

[Sam_Hawkins]

So. Yeah. I wanted to give those retards another chance. I really did! Fcuk you, tards!
Ain't betting those challenger lame-ass mothafuckas again...at least not today. D

Now, laugh at me.

[Sam_Hawkins]

So Ima back to post some plays for DC.
YTD:+5.27

Play 1: Nadal 3-0 + Kohlschreiber + Dodig (1.72/1)
Play 2: Hewitt + Mayer (1/1.02)

[Sam_Hawkins]

Adding:
Play 3: Verdasco+Nadal 3-0 (1.42/1)
Play 4: Nadal/Stakhovsky under 25.5 (1.2/1)

[16johnnymac]

Need some help I know -220 is high but what's your thought on plays -220 Stepanek ? Advice what be appreciated thank you very much

Jmac

[Sam_Hawkins]

Need some help I know -220 is high but what's your thought on plays -220 Stepanek ? Advice what be appreciated thank you very much

Jmac

Hi, I happen to be czech so I follow stepanek's game pretty close.
Yeah, I wanted to play him - but did not take him early and now the price has dropped too much. This match, even though I think Radek will win, can go IMHO either way. Stepanek should be boosted with confidence after his USO doubles win plus he always plays very well infront of the home crowd. Another thing, monaco looked poor on USO as hard is not his surface. He mentioned in an interview that our czech surface is the fastest he ever seen and that he doesn't think he ever played surface as fast as that. So that are all poinst for Stepanek - however, apart from that, Monaco had a great clay season and Stepanek is not a definition of consistency, his singles game did not impress me at all lately.
All in all, I should've picked him earlier, won't probably take him now at that price.

[16johnnymac]

Hi, I happen to be czech so I follow stepanek's game pretty close.
Yeah, I wanted to play him - but did not take him early and now the price has dropped too much. This match, even though I think Radek will win, can go IMHO either way. Stepanek should be boosted with confidence after his USO doubles win plus he always plays very well infront of the home crowd. Another thing, monaco looked poor on USO as hard is not his surface. He mentioned in an interview that our czech surface is the fastest he ever seen and that he doesn't think he ever played surface as fast as that. So that are all poinst for Stepanek - however, apart from that, Monaco had a great clay season and Stepanek is not a definition of consistency, his singles game did not impress me at all lately.
All in all, I should've picked him earlier, won't probably take him now at that price.

Thank you
I have no problem laying the high price USA -220 so you put some doubt in my choice however his odds went up towards a favorite so I may still jump on Step!!

[Sam_Hawkins]

S-S-S-SWEEEP day!


Yesterday: +4.02
YTD: +9.29

[Sam_Hawkins]

Play 1: Nestor+Pospisil (.83/1)
Play 2: Mchale+Bruno/Soares (0.71/1) (WTA, yay!)

[Sam_Hawkins]

Today: +0.29
YTD: +9.58

[Sam_Hawkins]

Play 1: Hewitt+Djokovic, Nadal in straight sets (1.25/1)

[Sam_Hawkins]

Hewitt and Nadal cancelled, Djoker came through in straigts.

Today: +0.45
YTD: +10.03

Over 10 hooray.

[Sam_Hawkins]

Play 1: Youzhny 2-0 + Brown + Mahut/Tsonga (1.35/1)

[Sam_Hawkins]

Youzhny lost a first set breaker which cost me. The rest came through easily.
Yesterday:-1.35
YTD: +8.68

For today:
Play 1: Istomin+Garcia Lopez+Mayer (2/2)
Play 2: Baghdatis (0.9/1)
Play 3: Zopp (1.5/1.5)
Play 4: Inglot +5.5 + Mayer (1/1)

[lucasdawg]

hmmm also considering baggie here

[Sam_Hawkins]

hmmm also considering baggie here

Imho he has at least 60% chance of winning...hard to gauge the home crowd advantage tho.

[Sam_Hawkins]

Adding:
Play 5: Fucsovics +4.5 (1.1/1)

[Sam_Hawkins]

Yesterday: +4.6
YTD: +13.28

Good day yesterday, let's see what happens today - I really like the card, what by itself usually is not a good sign but nvm.

Play 1: Tsonga+Istomin (1.28/1)
Play 2: Zeballos (1/1)
Play 3: Sousa (1.25/1)
Play 4: L. Mayer (0.8/1)
Play 4: Tipsarevic + Ramos + Berankis + Sousa (1/4.3)
Play 5: Youzhny + Tsonga (1.53/1)

[Sam_Hawkins]

Yesterday: -2.33
YTD: +10.95

Play 1: Gulbis+Tursunov+Kohlschreiber+Mayer F.+Fognini (1.15/2)

[Sam_Hawkins]

Haha good job fognini, retiring just one game away from losing. That's probably the first time I'm on the lucky side of retirement.

[Hardcoar]

Two points, even. On service *0-30.

[Sam_Hawkins]

Two points, even. On service *0-30.

rly? lol what a loser. What was the reason this time? Fairly surprised he didn't do two DFs, which is his favourite finish to a match.

[Hardcoar]

He must've opted against it and gone with the retirement instead. Could have been a mob deal, homophobia scare or just classic Pirate. Check out the youtube link alexis posted in all ours livescore thread.

[Sam_Hawkins]

Two retirements in my parlay yesterday, so it hits.
Yesterday +0.87
YTD: +11.82

Play 1: Przysiezny (2/2.4)
Play 2: Garcia-Lopez (1/1)
Play 3: Gulbis+Tursonov+Tsonga (1.2/1)

[Sam_Hawkins]

Today: +2.2
YTD: +14.02

[Sam_Hawkins]

Play 1: Przysiezny +4.5 (1.37/1)

[jjgold]

Today: +2.2
YTD: +14.02

[Sam_Hawkins]

Yesterday: -1.37
YTD: +12.65

Play 1: Moryia 2-0 + Gulbis (1.1/1)

[Sam_Hawkins]

Today: -1.1
YTD: +11.55
Play 1: Nieminen + Brands + Haase (1/2.2)

[Sam_Hawkins]

On a bad, bad roll. Let's win it tomorrow.
Today: -1
YTD: +10.55

Plays for tommoz:
Play 1: Andujar (0.57/1)
Play 2: Falla + Bogomolov (1/1.43)
Play 3: Bautista Agut + Pospisil (2/2.2)
Play 4: Tomic/Karlovic over 25.5 (1.2/1)

[Sam_Hawkins]

Play 1: Void
Play 2: -1
Play 3: +2.2
Play 4: +1 (bc there was no other possible outcome - the games aleady reached 26 by the time of the retirement - Bet365 accounts it as a win)
---------------------
Today: +2.2

YTD: +12.75

[jjgold]

Good grind Sammy

[Sam_Hawkins]

Good grind Sammy

had some bad roll, cos I've been playing too much poker lately, turns out to be much more profitable lol