1. #1
    tevari
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    Going fairly large on Mayr-Achleitner tomorrow in Austria @ PK

    440 to win 400. She only plays well around this time of year, in her native country. I watched her matches leading up to this QF against Svitolina, and I feel rather confident that she'll take it comfortably. Her cross court forehand has been good and she's winning over half of her points on second serve. Svitolina has had an easy run here so far (Slovak qualifier and Scheepers who's career is in a downward spiral), and is 2-4 in her last 6. GL if you tail.
    Points Awarded:

    face gave tevari 1 SBR Point(s) for this post.


  2. #2
    tevari
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    Thank you for the point. I expect another after she pulls out the W.

  3. #3
    tevari
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    Last little tidbit: Starts around 7:45 AM EST.

  4. #4
    face
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    yeah i have been watching svitolina and see nothing special, except that she is a fighter. tailing, but was going to play it anyway

    what do you think about the dodgers +150? nolasco is pretty good, and i think they can tire strasburg out in the heat and at least get him out of the game by the 6th or 7th inning

  5. #5
    Possum
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    Alright, Tevari--I am tailing for $300---I detest this WTA shit and I have no idea what these betpoints are good for, but you can have as many as you want if this play hits.

  6. #6
    tevari
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    I like it, though I'd only go small on it - Dodgers are pretty putrid on the road even as they are getting healthier. If anything on the MLB card tomorrow, I'd play Chen & Holland under 9.5 @ EV in Texas.
    Points Awarded:

    face gave tevari 2 SBR Point(s) for this post.


  7. #7
    tevari
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    Quote Originally Posted by Possum View Post
    Alright, Tevari--I am tailing for $300---I detest this WTA shit and I have no idea what these betpoints are good for, but you can have as many as you want if this play hits.
    I really wouldn't advise you to tail if you don't know anything about WTA or follow their matches. Though I post to give insight & suggestions, I never endorse blind tailing. Perhaps tone it down to a couple hundy? If you locked it in however, we'll sweat it out together.

  8. #8
    pattymayo
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    yes

  9. #9
    tevari
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    Looking at Baltimore's #s against lefties is what has me liking that play, and Holland has given up 0,1,2,2 runs in his last 4 games while pitching into the 7th inning or later. Chen himself was decently impressive in his first start off the DL. But, I misread the odds, the under 9.5 is @ -120.

  10. #10
    tevari
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    Quote Originally Posted by Possum View Post
    I have no idea what these betpoints are good for
    Free coffee from Starbucks.

  11. #11
    Possum
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    Quote Originally Posted by tevari View Post
    I really wouldn't advise you to tail if you don't know anything about WTA or follow their matches. Though I post to give insight & suggestions, I never endorse blind tailing. Perhaps tone it down to a couple hundy? If you locked it in however, we'll sweat it out together.
    I stay familiar with the games of the top 20 and the looks of those who are hot--I miss Gisela Dulko-- but that's about it as far as WTA is concerned. I do know that you are familiar with the majority of them and I respect your opinion. I am locked in and I understand that its completely my responsibility so no sweat either way. Good luck.

  12. #12
    tevari
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    Good. If it makes you feel any better, this is a fairly large play for me and it's not without rhyme or reason. I believe our tickets will cash.

  13. #13
    ohumad
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    Quote Originally Posted by tevari View Post
    Thank you for the point. I expect another after she pulls out the W.
    Quote Originally Posted by pattymayo View Post


    yes
    lol!

    Svitolina does have the better "resume" as she's better ranked. I was thinking your girl wouldn't have the consistency to finish her. PMA's win over Martic is more impressive though and she has had a few good matches against some big names within the last year.
    There's a couple bets now that I'm on that have strong leans against on the board. Time to look over them again

  14. #14
    tevari
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    Svitolina will have the better career, but I'm 1000000% sure we get a max effort from the Austrian tomorrow. She's significantly older with much more experience, and I feel just wants to be in the semis much more. From a skills standpoint, I also give PMA the edge, especially on return of serve.

  15. #15
    frugalgambler
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    The austrian chick has only 2-3 years of her career left, and she has never won a WTA title. She has a real chance here and now, maybe her last one. So I like this bet, but given that this is WTA I am going with only 1.5u on it. GL.

  16. #16
    frugalgambler
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    Quote Originally Posted by frugalgambler View Post
    The austrian chick has only 2-3 years of her career left, and she has never won a WTA title. She has a real chance here and now, maybe her last one. So I like this bet, but given that this is WTA I am going with only 1.5u on it. GL.
    You know who I also like in that tourney is A. Rus ML at +350. I have not idea how Mouseburger can be a -400 favorite here.

  17. #17
    leetreaper
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    0-2 in split seconds...

  18. #18

  19. #19
    leetreaper
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    Hopefully she keeps it close at least to make this interesting...

  20. #20
    leetreaper
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    3 advantages on a deuce and still can't finish it

  21. #21
    pattymayo
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    Take it easy leet were four games in

  22. #22
    face
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    hate this match, cannot watch
    wish svitolina would mess up sometimes

  23. #23
    leetreaper
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    Quote Originally Posted by pattymayo View Post
    Take it easy leet were four games in

  24. #24
    tevari
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    if you think one break of serve in a wta match is significant, well....i don't know what to say

  25. #25
    leetreaper
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    Quote Originally Posted by tevari View Post
    if you think one break of serve in a wta match is significant, well....i don't know what to say
    It usually starts with one, but if you can't get any, you see the result afterwards...

  26. #26
    GoBlue77
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    Not looking good for you guys early. Hopefully the old vet steps it up

  27. #27
    leetreaper
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    Quote Originally Posted by GoBlue77 View Post
    Not looking good for you guys early. Hopefully the old vet steps it up
    It was done after 0-2 start you could tell...

  28. #28
    face
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    yeah you could tell. i could tell at least. fuk

  29. #29
    tevari
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    this match is over. she's tanking. surprising result for me, honestly. apologies to you folks who tailed.

  30. #30
    leetreaper
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    Serious question to OP, no BS: What possessed you to make this your best best which is clearly a pure domination from the Ukrainian player?

  31. #31
    tevari
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    Watching both their previous matches, Mayr's penchant for playing in Austria. She beat Lisicki and has had some other big scalps on this surface as well.

  32. #32
    leetreaper
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    Quote Originally Posted by tevari View Post
    Watching both their previous matches, Mayr's penchant for playing in Austria. She beat Lisicki and has had some other big scalps on this surface as well.
    Ok, gl with the next one.

  33. #33
    tevari
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    I feel terrible for posting this pick, but in hindsight I did feel very strongly about it.

  34. #34
    pattymayo
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    Ouch

  35. #35
    face
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    don't sweat it tevari, it's the thought that counts, i've definitely tailed some winners of yours too

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