Straight up ML on Lopez tomorrow, large play from me. I have a lot of respect for Simon, he gets stuck into matches and never gives up on points, but Lopez has shown this week the class tennis he is capable of. His service game is very powerful right now (not just the powerful serve, but follow up shots, volleying, constructing points well when he has the initiative etc). He has only been broken once this week, which is impressive considering his opponents.
Lopez had a real dip in form last year, I remember him losing to Nieminen at Wimbledon and from there his game went to pot for a while, but he is really getting back into his game again.
He should get plenty of opportunities to attack the Simon serve and has the capability to hit winners around the court despite Simon's excellent movement. This will be harder as the conditions are forecast to be a damp with rain due around start time. Slower conditions will favor Simon more. If it was scheduled to be sunny tomorrow, I'm sure the line would be more skewed to Lopez.
Both have experience in finals, but no doubt for me Simon has better mentality of the two players. Still right now Lopez has a lot of confidence and he will believe this match is his to lose.
5 units on Lopez