sharapova will take this. currently -125 on my book, also -105 for -1.5 games (probably not safe in WTA land).
azarenka is a member of the WTA "new school" along with players like kvitova, which means trying to eat your way to becoming enormous like a male player to improve your depth of shot and weight of shot. kvitova and azarenka are 6' tall with chicken legs and beer guts. its almost like they purposely stay out of shape so that they can bang all but the best players off the court with little trouble. the problem is they have poor movement and overall fitness.
sharapova had a few issues with jankovic, but jankovic is a great defender. she started slow but took over the match against once she became more precise with her shots. despite being the taller player, sharapova really has improved her movement on clay, and can match azarenka's power. she will win the tightly-contested points with her usual determination. in addition to being a better mover, i think she is also better at hitting on the run. standing flat footed, azarenka might actually have a bit more power, and on hard, azarenka has revealed herself to be a little better, but not on clay. very surprised this line isnt more like -175 or -200 for sharapova. anyone see it differently?