1. #1
    Guinser
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    Stan Wawrinka

    Figured id start posting some of my plays again and I see a good one today in Madrid. Playing Wawrinka -200 for 4 units and the spread -3 -110 for 2 units. After beating a non-100% Djoker yesterday in a long and tough 3 set match just can't see Dimitrov bringing it in this spot. Meanwhile Stan has been playing great tennis lately and has had a pretty easy first two rounds. As always gl if you boys tail

  2. #2
    horja1
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    Quote Originally Posted by Guinser View Post
    Figured id start posting some of my plays again and I see a good one today in Madrid. Playing Wawrinka -200 for 4 units and the spread -3 -110 for 2 units. After beating a non-100% Djoker yesterday in a long and tough 3 set match just can't see Dimitrov bringing it in this spot. Meanwhile Stan has been playing great tennis lately and has had a pretty easy first two rounds. As always gl if you boys tail
    this match ends either 2-0 for Dimitrov (very unlikely) or 2-0/2-1 for Wawrinka

  3. #3
    davopnz
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    wawrinka is mud
    Nomination(s):
    This post was nominated 1 time . To view the nominated thread please click here. People who nominated: Sumalia

  4. #4
    innn
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    Quote Originally Posted by Guinser View Post
    After beating a non-100% Djoker
    Man I am deeply hurt I am not even dimitrov, what coul dpossibly mean 100% Djokovic? I guess one that does not lose but then again thats about anybody as well. I hope you are right...I personally do no trust Wawrinka as much as Dimitrov as hilariously as that may sound at present. I also hope Wawrinka will not be 100%

  5. #5
    Hardcoar
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    Dimitrov has had enough rest, and his mental strength as well as form of play recently gives him a truly good chance here.

    Value is on Griggs' @ 2.8

  6. #6
    Demonata
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    Wawrinka has been dominant on clay. Wawrinka all the way

  7. #7
    BrianLaverty
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    This is the classic letdown spot for dimitrov.. We see it in all sports after a huge win, especially in tennis after a persons first big win. You could tell this meant the world to baby fed as he was crying after the match. Just can't see him bouncing back 48 hours and taking down a beast like wawa on clay

  8. #8
    Hangoverblack
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    Yes.

    it is asking too much

    wawa was -150 till 07:00 am and jumped to -200. I think this is a shared sentiment.

  9. #9
    horja1
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    Quote Originally Posted by Hardcoar View Post
    Dimitrov has had enough rest....
    Dimitrov seems to have muscular problems going into the third set of his last matches

  10. #10
    Hardcoar
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    Exactly! Which is why the long time since his last match speaks in his favor, and also why he won't win a GS anytime soon.

  11. #11
    Bet10Heinekens
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    got Stan the man in my parlay

  12. #12
    GoBlue77
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    Expect fatigue for Stan due to matches played in last week

  13. #13
    BrianLaverty
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    Quote Originally Posted by GoBlue77 View Post
    Expect fatigue for Stan due to matches played in last week
    Stan is in MUCH better shape then Grigor.. not even close.

    Time on court so far in this tournament:

    - Wawrinka: 124 minutes
    - Dimitrov: 256 minutes


    Dimitrov coming off an emotional, career best win that lasted over 3 hours, and he was cramping after playing 1.5 hours.


    I can't believe people are actually tiping Dimitrov here... such a bad bet.

  14. #14
    Hangoverblack
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    Man, Dimitrov to +175. I just can't back Stan at -225.

    Hardcoar, I'm with you.

  15. #15
    Demonata
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    Quote Originally Posted by BrianLaverty View Post
    Stan is in MUCH better shape then Grigor.. not even close.

    Time on court so far in this tournament:

    - Wawrinka: 124 minutes
    - Dimitrov: 256 minutes


    Dimitrov coming off an emotional, career best win that lasted over 3 hours, and he was cramping after playing 1.5 hours.


    I can't believe people are actually tiping Dimitrov here... such a bad bet.
    Totally agree. I see Wawrinka winning in straight sets to be honest.

  16. #16
    BrianLaverty
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    Quote Originally Posted by Demonata View Post
    Totally agree. I see Wawrinka winning in straight sets to be honest.
    I don't know about the value in straight sets... Good chance Dimitrov wins the first and then the cramps and exhaustion get to him in the 2nd and 3rd.

  17. #17
    BrianLaverty
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    Quote Originally Posted by Hardcoar View Post
    Dimitrov has had enough rest, and his mental strength as well as form of play recently gives him a truly good chance here.

    Value is on Griggs' @ 2.8

    Mental Strength?

    Dimitrov?


    What mental strength? Did you not see him fold serving for the first set on Tuesday?

    His "mental strength" is his biggest weakness. Djokovic played horribly and let him back in the match many times.... With the way Wawrinka is hitting the ball right now, he's not gonna make the same dumb mistakes Djokovic made. And this coming from someone who had Dimitrov at +1090 Tuesday.

  18. #18
    jinxpro1313
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    Quote Originally Posted by BrianLaverty View Post
    Mental Strength?

    Dimitrov?


    What mental strength? Did you not see him fold serving for the first set on Tuesday?

    His "mental strength" is his biggest weakness. Djokovic played horribly and let him back in the match many times.... With the way Wawrinka is hitting the ball right now, he's not gonna make the same dumb mistakes Djokovic made. And this coming from someone who had Dimitrov at +1090 Tuesday.
    Gotta agree with mental weakness but the kid is 21..it should only strengthen. Stan is in form but he's not immune to choke jobs either.

  19. #19
    BrianLaverty
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    Quote Originally Posted by jinxpro1313 View Post
    Gotta agree with mental weakness but the kid is 21..it should only strengthen. Stan is in form but he's not immune to choke jobs either.
    Oh ya.. I agree. I actually think he will eventually be #1 in the world... But right now, his mental fragility is by far his biggest weakness. Its a joke that just because Djokovic choked the match away to him, he all of a sudden has "mental strength"

  20. #20
    SlowNsteady
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    Quote Originally Posted by davopnz View Post
    wawrinka is mud

  21. #21
    GoBlue77
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    Just as I thought. Stan the fatman

  22. #22
    BrianLaverty
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    " Good chance Dimitrov wins the first and then the cramps and exhaustion get to him in the 2nd and 3rd."

  23. #23
    Hardcoar
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    Unless he FKs Stan up in 30 minutes, of course! ; )

  24. #24
    BrianLaverty
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    He was already grabbing his leg a little in the 9th game.. Don't worry.. He will tighten up, and so will his game.

  25. #25
    Hardcoar
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    You know what else? He couldn't walk between points against Djokovic...


  26. #26
    Hangoverblack
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    I think Stanislas is thinking about a cup of Suisse espresso, and his wonderful biday.

    Been on the road a lot lately.

  27. #27
    GoBlue77
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    Quote Originally Posted by BrianLaverty View Post
    He was already grabbing his leg a little in the 9th game.. Don't worry.. He will tighten up, and so will his game.
    Hope so. Took D +1.5 sets and Stan ML. Not the smartest but rooting for Wastinka now

  28. #28
    MagicDiceFlow
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    Grigor's been moving like a panther on clay the last several weeks. His slice backhand has been killer on this surface too. As a tennis fan and bettor, it's great to see him finally come into fruition after all those frustrating losses. Another epic win in the works for the youngster.......

  29. #29
    Hangoverblack
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    I tell you what. Stanislas checked out of this match boys. He is not going to get it done.

  30. #30
    BrianLaverty
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    Quote Originally Posted by Hangoverblack View Post
    I tell you what. Stanislas checked out of this match boys. He is not going to get it done.
    He checked out? He's up 3-2 in the 2nd set dummy.

    Wait til there's a game with a little bit of pressure on dimitrov.. He'll fold like he always has

  31. #31
    Hangoverblack
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    My guess is he gifts the 9th game and exits 4-6. We will see

  32. #32
    SlowNsteady
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    SW is done!

  33. #33
    jinxpro1313
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    Alright guys let's not suck him off off quite yet

  34. #34
    MagicDiceFlow
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    Stan isnt playing bad. Dimitrov's just been rock solid so far. He kicked that serve into another gear too. Exact same service motion as Fed's.

  35. #35
    BrianLaverty
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    Dimitrov really pulling some of these shots out of his ass... How long is his luck gonna last?

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