Originally Posted by
dontknowhowtobet
I wasn't sweating a bit, and I took it when it was 4-4 in the 3rd set, 0-0 in points.
I don't look at those bets I place like a risk of how Nadal is playing, I am trying to think like the bookies, they offered low odds on Nadal, these were so unattractive, so all the big bettors took the UNDER in this match and lost lots of money.
The bookies are not keen on paying 15.00 on a player to beat Nadal ... you might be lucky in some occassions to get 9.00 where the other odds are 1.05 or so (e.g. Del Potro).
You have to look at the bets you place like a market, like bulls and bears .... this way I could care less how this game would end, you almost certainly know Nadal would take it and the rest is just a show to make your adrenaline go high so you would bet more.
These times where I used to bet just because I felt like are gone ... I am trying to read the market, to understand what exactly is happening behind the scenes ... if you discover that you would learn how much SHIT Goldman Sachs is doing to this world!!!