1. 04-09-13 08:06 PM #1
    CaptainOmar111
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    S.Wawrinka X Blaz Kavcic ( Clay )

    Hello Guys , Today in 2nd round of ATP Casablanca 2013 On Clay court !!!

    S.Wawrinka X Blaz Kavcic

    My Notes :::

    1- Wawrinka is very good player ( Ranked in top 20 players )

    2- Kavcic played in the 1st round against World No 797 and beat him ( 6-3 , 6-4 )

    3- The Clay Court here is very slow !!!

    Iam thinking to bet on Wawrinka @ 1.17 but I need some opinions because it is first single match for Wawrinka since ATP Indian Wells 2013 !!!

    Thank You

    Update ::: Iam not talking about Odds , But about his chances to win or no !!!
    Last edited by CaptainOmar111; 04-10-13 at 06:48 AM.
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  2. 04-09-13 09:55 PM #2
    gaebiskon
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    I maybe wrong but isn't Kavic an ok clay court player?

    Regardless, it is simply wrong to bet the swiss beer gut at 1.17 because he's the type of player that will often lose the first set against players he's supposed to beat easily if not a match.
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  3. 04-10-13 01:49 AM #3
    Sharp Snake
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    dont lay that price. even if he wins. dont do it.
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  4. 04-10-13 03:56 AM #4
    horja1
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    Quote Originally Posted by gaebiskon View Post
    I maybe wrong but isn't Kavic an ok clay court player?

    Regardless, it is simply wrong to bet the swiss beer gut at 1.17 because he's the type of player that will often lose the first set against players he's supposed to beat easily if not a match.
    Quote Originally Posted by Sharp Snake View Post
    dont lay that price. even if he wins. dont do it.
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  5. 04-10-13 06:33 AM #5
    CaptainOmar111
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    Iam not talking about the price or the odds pffff , Iam asking about his chances to win only !!!!
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  6. 04-10-13 06:41 AM #6
    CaptainOmar111
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    Quote Originally Posted by gaebiskon View Post
    I maybe wrong but isn't Kavic an ok clay court player?

    Regardless, it is simply wrong to bet the swiss beer gut at 1.17 because he's the type of player that will often lose the first set against players he's supposed to beat easily if not a match.
    he never faced him LOL
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  7. 04-10-13 06:42 AM #7
    CaptainOmar111
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    Quote Originally Posted by Sharp Snake View Post
    dont lay that price. even if he wins. dont do it.
    my question about opinion if you see WAWA wins or no !!! could not you understand the question ??
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  8. 04-10-13 06:51 AM #8
    CaptainOmar111
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    Quote Originally Posted by horja1 View Post
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  9. 04-10-13 08:43 AM #9
    MUHerd37
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    Wawa is a good clay courter. Kavcic has been terrible lately. He's 3-7 in his last 10 and had lost 5 straight before his 1st round win in Casablanca. That win was against Ziadi who is world number 757. It's tennis tho.
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  10. 04-10-13 08:45 AM #10
    Hangoverblack
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    You better not bet
    you never lay chalk
    Stanislas is Coming to Town!

    autofade

    bet against Stanislas every time he breaks -500 and you will live long and prosper. Can't think of a worse favorite to lean on

    TI has tipped him 24:2 as well. Eek
    Last edited by Hangoverblack; 04-10-13 at 08:49 AM.
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  11. 04-10-13 09:04 AM #11
    Hangoverblack
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    He fears you when your serving
    He knows you'll never break
    His second serve's for an Ace too
    Cause a rally hard to make...

    Stanislas is Coming to Town!

    (down a break, on cue)
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  12. 04-10-13 09:27 AM #12
    necro
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    ''Slovenian Dexter'' overachieving :O
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  13. 04-10-13 09:30 AM #13
    Hangoverblack
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    I think Stanislas is wanting to get out of these Moroccan locker rooms and back to his Suisse biday.
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  14. 04-10-13 09:35 AM #14
    OhMyEli
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    Took Kavcic +5, he'd have to pull a Wawa at this point to lose that spread, I see a push at worst case scenario now
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  15. 04-10-13 09:39 AM #15
    ohumad
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    Kavcic is @ 2.5 now.
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  16. 04-10-13 09:50 AM #16
    OhMyEli
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    Just like that Kavcic goes from 2-0 to losing the set 6-2. I'm going to have to sweat my +5!
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  17. 04-10-13 09:53 AM #17
    ohumad
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    We didn't do a suicide watch on Omar when Wawa was down a set. You OK buddy? Will you hedge?
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  18. 04-10-13 09:57 AM #18
    OhMyEli
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    Unreal, Wawa is very likely to cover the -5, and I mean cover not just push!
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  19. 04-10-13 10:00 AM #19
    CaptainOmar111
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    Quote Originally Posted by ohumad View Post
    We didn't do a suicide watch on Omar when Wawa was down a set. You OK buddy? Will you hedge?
    hhhhhhhhhhh
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  20. 04-10-13 10:16 AM #20
    Hangoverblack
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    Stanislas is delivering in the end! But it was fun for awhile. Brought back some great memories
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  21. 04-10-13 10:19 AM #21
    OhMyEli
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    I give up haha. How I can go from being up 4 games in the second set to losing the +5 games in the match is truly amazing.

    Tennis is only bareable to watch, betting it is no fun.

    Kavcic wins 8 out of the first 12 games then only wins 1 in the last 13.
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  22. 04-10-13 10:21 AM #22
    BrianLaverty
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    Quote Originally Posted by Hangoverblack View Post
    Stanislas is delivering in the end! But it was fun for awhile. Brought back some great memories
    You do realize he's only lost 8 times in his career as a -500 or more favorite.. And just once in the last two years now..

    I wouldn't call that "auto fade"
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  23. 04-11-13 02:47 AM #23
    Sharp Snake
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    Quote Originally Posted by CaptainOmar111 View Post
    my question about opinion if you see WAWA wins or no !!! could not you understand the question ??
    Actually, you edited that in after I posted. Your original statement was " Iam thinking to bet on Wawrinka @ 1.17" and my response was do not ever lay that much chalk. ever. Sure he ended up winning but he drops that first set and who knows? maybe he starts tanking, maybe he retires, maybe he saves up his energy for the next tournament and packs it in. Unless you're betting $6 to win $1 and you don't care about the $6, it's really never worth it. Hell, it's not even worth it in that scenario.

    Congrats on the win though!
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  24. 04-11-13 08:11 AM #24
    CaptainOmar111
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    Quote Originally Posted by Sharp Snake View Post
    Actually, you edited that in after I posted. Your original statement was " Iam thinking to bet on Wawrinka @ 1.17" and my response was do not ever lay that much chalk. ever. Sure he ended up winning but he drops that first set and who knows? maybe he starts tanking, maybe he retires, maybe he saves up his energy for the next tournament and packs it in. Unless you're betting $6 to win $1 and you don't care about the $6, it's really never worth it. Hell, it's not even worth it in that scenario.

    Congrats on the win though!
    Have you glasses ?? LOL

    I did not edit anything LOL , I added an update :

    Update ::: Iam not talking about Odds , But about his chances to win or no !!!
    Secondly who are you to tell me what to do and should not do ??? Are you crazy or what ???

    Risking $10 TO win $1 or risking ur ass to win anything , wtf with ur mind ??? who are you to talk to me in that way fuckkin bitch ???
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