1. 03-05-13 11:43 AM #1
    Pinocchio
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    WTA Indian Wells (q): Torro-Flor vs Foretz-Gacon

    Howdy.

    Moneymaking time. We'll go with Torro-Flor -1.5 (game handicap) at even odds. Yeah, the match is not on clay, so there is a bit of risk involved, but I think Torro-Flor takes this in straights anyway.

    Other selections that I like (more stars = more like ):

    Daniilidou****
    Robson***
    Larcher De Brito**
    Bertens**
    Voskoboeva*
    Last edited by Pinocchio; 03-05-13 at 11:47 AM.
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  2. 03-05-13 12:12 PM #2
    Hardcoar
    Curious Nick and Tenacious Kokk
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    Whether you like them or not should depend entirely on the odds.

    Thanks for sharing your thoughts!
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  3. 03-05-13 12:31 PM #3
    Pinocchio
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    It doesn't always, though it has to be close to even odds most of the time, if we want to remain profitable. But sometimes I also know a thing or two the bookie doesn't, published odds are not necessarily accurate.

    Edit: let me give you an example where totally shitty odds are worth taking. During last year's Olympics for instance, there was a bet on Betfair: will there be a new WR (women, 100m sprint)? Odds for NO = 1.15. It was basically physically impossible for any of the contestants to run anywhere close to 10.49 with legal wind, never mind better than that. This was a virtually guaranteed win, you gotta go all in. Just too bad it was Betfair, only a few thousand was matched.
    Last edited by Pinocchio; 03-05-13 at 12:53 PM.
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  4. 03-05-13 12:42 PM #4
    Hardcoar
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    You're absolutely right, but that has no relevance to my statement.
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  5. 03-05-13 02:08 PM #5
    Hardcoar
    Curious Nick and Tenacious Kokk
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    Anyway, what's the cause of your belief in Torro-Flor over Foretz?

    Do you know something the bookies and I don't? : )
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  6. 03-05-13 04:00 PM #6
    Pinocchio
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    No, I don't know anything this time, unfortunately. And it is showing, Gacon is up 3-0. Time to hedge...
    Looks like Gacon will win in two.
    Oh well, at least De Brito won.
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  7. 03-05-13 04:07 PM #7
    Hardcoar
    Curious Nick and Tenacious Kokk
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    Far from over yet, but tough start indeed.
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