[ParlayininHTown]

Greetings,

Some of you on here already know me. I used to post here on a regular basis, but I've been extremely busy over the last few months. I am fortunate to have more clients than ever, so it has cut into my free time.

In the meantime, I have continued to suck at gambling. I'm generating enough extra income to exclusively bet dogs and short favorites (-130 or less) for the hell of it. I've had success betting chalk before, but I've decided to change my approach now that I don't need to profit off gambling to keep the bills paid.

The purpose of this thread is to help out the SBR community, as they have helped me many times in the past. My plays will either be dogs or short favorites, with an occasional degenerate-style chalk parlay thrown in there if I feel like it. I'm not trying to make money, and I'm not working hard to come up with these picks, so I strongly suggest that you fade these. I believe it could make you money in the long term.

I may disappear for a few days at a time. If so, that's only because I'm buried with work. But I will return at some point to update the thread and add picks.


Feb. 16, 2013:

Play 1
ATP Rotterdam
UNDER 22.5 -- Del Potro vs. Dimitrov

Risk $100 to win $100


Record YTD: 0-0
Profit/Loss: $0.00


I only picked this because I have a feeling Dimitrov won't play well, which will allow Del Potro to catch early breaks in both sets and finish it in routine fashion. It's just a guess, so I imagine I will check the score tomorrow and see it went three sets with two tiebreaks. haha.

Good luck.

[swissbank007]

i dont know you but welcome back!!!!....and good luck with your first pic!!! feel free to check my daily pics every day!!!!

[ParlayininHTown]

Play 2
ATP San Jose
John Isner (+120)

Risking $100.00 to win $120.00



I don't think it's a bad idea to take the two dogs in San Jose today and hope for a split. Querrey's match does not begin until this evening, though, so there's no reason to rush. If Isner takes the early match, I'll take the money and walk.

Not sure why I like Isner, but I'll take a shot at it anyway. Worst case scenario is I lose the money I made this morning.

[ParlayininHTown]

Record YTD: 1-1
Profit/Loss: $0.00


Late-night degenerate action! Brisbane is probably going to kick Wellington's ass, but I can't lay that much chalk on an A-League match. I mean, it's A-League. What do you want me to do? I'll take a stab at the draw and hope I get lucky. So long, $50.

Play 3
A-League soccer
DRAW -- Brisbane Roar vs. Wellington Phoenix (+310)

Risking $50.00 to win $155.00

[ParlayininHTown]

Record YTD: 1-2
Profit/Loss: -$50.00


Feb. 17, 2013

Play 1
Portuguese Liga
Nacional de Madeira DNB (+150)

Risking $100.00 to lose $100.00 ... or win $150.00 ... but I'll almost certainly lose $100.


Fade this and win. I have no idea why I'm betting Portuguese soccer, but I think this line has value. Obviously, that means it doesn't have value, and the match will end in a draw at best for Nacional. Good luck.

I'll have a fade-worthy pick for the San Jose ATP final later. I wasn't interested in betting Del Po-Benny or backing what's left of Nadal against Karate Kick Dave. You never know when Nadal's knee will go out again, plus Nalbandian is likely to lose his cool, go into the stands and punch a tournament official because he's upset over a double fault or an unforced error.

[ParlayininHTown]

Record YTD: 1-2-1
Profit/Loss: -$50.00


I planned to post a pick for the Raonic-Haas matched earlier, but I got caught up with some other stuff. Here's a second-half bet on the USC-Cal game, if you're into late-night degenerate action like me. I have no idea what I'm doing here, so I expect a huge Cal comeback in the second half.

Play 2
NCAA men's basketball
2ND HALF: USC +7 (-105)

Risking $105.00 to win $100.00

[ParlayininHTown]

Record YTD: 1-3-1
Profit/Loss: -$155.00


Hope you laid the 7 on Cal second half, because USC completely fell apart and blew a 10-point lead. That Crabbe kid who plays for Cal was unconscious down the stretch. I'm the Charlotte Bobcats of gambling. Here's another loser for tomorrow morning:


Feb. 18, 2013
Play 1
WTA Dubai
Zakapalova ML (+140)

Risking $100.00 to win $140.00

[swissbank007]

i just put 2 units on Bartoli....feel like suddendly it was a mistake....maybe not!!!

[ParlayininHTown]

i just put 2 units on Bartoli....feel like suddendly it was a mistake....maybe not!!!

Congrats on the victory, swiss. Fading me should produce a hefty profit in the short and long term. I gamble simply for entertainment these days, as I rarely have the proper amount of time needed to study most matches/games. I am absolutely clueless. But I live a rather boring and lonely life, and sports gambling is a hobby that helps take my mind off my social shortcomings.

That's enough of that talk for now, though. Here's another losing pick for tomorrow.


Record YTD: 1-4-1
Profit/Loss: -$255.00


Feb. 20, 2013
Play 1
ATP Marseille
Dev Varman ML (+325)
Risking $50.00 to win $162.00




I love to fade Tomic. You never know when the guy is going to decide he'd rather have a good time than advance in a tournament. He still isn't showing the hunger and consistency that a guy with his potential needs to reach greater heights. Dev Varman doesn't do anything that amazes me, but he's fighting to climb the rankings and will probably take this match more seriously than Tomic.

With that said, the reality of the matter is I lose almost all the time now. If my money is on the underdog, I imagine Tomic will cruise to a comfortable straight-set victory. What better way to start my day than by losing $50?

[benrama]

Fk man, you make for one depressive read. Withdraw your money now, spend it on hookers and blow, then start a new thread with a smile on your face.

[ParlayininHTown]

Record YTD: 1-5-1
Profit/Loss: -$305.00


Feb. 23, 2013
Play 1
SOCCER: A-League
Adelaide United +0.5 (+105)
Risking $100.00 to win $105.00


Honestly, this is just some degenerate action. The Reds' road form is terrible, but I still think getting a half-goal at plus money is valuable. Take Wellington to beat Adelaide United tonight, and thank me later. I think my record speaks for itself. haha.

[lucasdawg]

hmmm i was thinking adelaide to take this one. wellington havent been that great..

[ParlayininHTown]

hmmm i was thinking adelaide to take this one. wellington havent been that great..

Adelaide is getting crushed on the road lately, but Wellington is at the bottom of the table for a reason. That's why I think Adelaide plus the hook has value.

But, as my record shows, I clearly suck at gambling. I can't lose every bet, though, so maybe the Reds can manage a draw.

[lucasdawg]

i bet on adelaide score first kekekekeke. good start i say

[lucasdawg]

2-1 already before half time wew

[ParlayininHTown]

Wow ... Wild game. Should've bet the over. They're lighting up the scoreboard.

[ParlayininHTown]

Record YTD: 2-5-1
Profit/Loss: -$200.00


Feb. 24, 2013
Play 1
ATP Marseille
Berdych vs. Tsonga: UNDER 25 (-110)
Risking $110.00 to win $100.00

[ParlayininHTown]

Got back to my losing ways this morning. Let's see if we can't put together another losing streak.

Record YTD: 2-6-1
Profit/Loss: -$310.00

Feb. 24, 2013
Play 2
ATP Memphis
Lopez ML (+275)
Risking $50.00 to win $137.50

[Hardcoar]

Good luck!

Edit: Took Lopez @ 4.35 last second after a massive odds rise.

Let's see what he can do, if anything. : P

[ParlayininHTown]

Record YTD: 2-7-1
Profit/Loss: -$360.00

Feb. 25, 2013
Play 1
ATP Dubai
Viola ML (+165)
Risking $100.00 to win $165.00


Looking forward to my third consecutive loss as Rosol crushes Viola tomorrow morning ...

[ParlayininHTown]

Record YTD: 2-8-1
Profit/Loss: -$460.00

Feb. 25, 2013
Play 2
NBA
Lakers ML (+255)
Risking $50.00 to win $127.50

I'm taking the red-hot Lakers to keep it rolling in Denver tonight. Guess that means the Nuggets will roll to a blowout victory ...

[lucasdawg]

i was thinking lakers too hmm good match coming up i say. lakers are motivated more then ever while nuggets seem to be doing the opposite.

[ParlayininHTown]

Record YTD: 2-9-1
Profit/Loss: -$510.00

March 1, 2013
Play 1
ATP Acapulco
NICO! ML (+370)
Risking $100.00 to win $370.00



Let's be real ... Nadal will probably destroy Nico tonight. But I'll take the dog for fun and watch my money burn. I suppose that means it's time to pound Nadal and take it to the bank. (Be mature about that last sentence.)

Late-night degenerate action is too alluring to pass up ... Can I keep the losing streak alive?

[ParlayininHTown]

Record YTD: 2-10-1
Profit/Loss: -$610.00

March 2, 2013
Play 1
Soccer: English Premier League
Manchester United -1.5 (+100)
Risking $100.00 to win $100.00






As expected, Almagro chokes on the big points against a fellow Spaniard who has owned him throughout his career. We have a nice losing streak going here ...

I'm a little concerned that my skid could end with this bet, but that means nothing. This one will be decided on the pitch, and if you've been fading me lately, you've made a decent amount of money. Manchester United is the superior side, and they should win comfortably. But I suck at gambling, so I imagine Norwich City will lose by one or draw.

[ParlayininHTown]

Record YTD: 3-10-1
Profit/Loss: -$510.00

March 8, 2013
Play 1
Soccer: Bundesliga 2
Munich 1860/Munchen 1860 ML (+120)
Risking $100.00 to win $120.00


Well, Man United whipped Norwich to end my losing streak. It happens. Even a broken watch can be right at least once a day (Twice, if it doesn't have AM and PM). I have no idea what I'm doing, but sometimes my analysis is accidentally accurate.

On to the next loser ... Munich 1860 heads to Sandhausen today. I rarely bet German soccer. But I have a little free time, and I figured I'd take a shot on Munich. That likely means Sandhausen will win straight-up by multiple goals.

A draw would burn my money, as well, so perhaps Sandhausen DNB is the way to go here if you want to fade me. All I know is I bet Munich moneyline, which means this is a match Munich probably won't come close to winning.

Edit: Losing picks for Indian Wells are on the way ... Unless I get buried with work. So far, the coast is clear. haha.

[ParlayininHTown]

Record YTD: 4-10-1
Profit/Loss: -$390.00

March 8, 2013
Play 2
ATP Indian Wells
Petzschner ML (+140)
Risking $100.00 to win $140.00


Woah, what's going on here? I'm on a winning streak? Munich actually got the job done. Good for me, but bad for those who faded.

I like Petz to get the small upset over Turnsunov here, but I guess he will find some way to lose and put an end to one of my best runs in recent weeks. Turnsunov has been playing well lately, so I have that going against me. I'm sure my luck will turn back in the other direction soon ...

[ParlayininHTown]

Record YTD: 5-10-1
Profit/Loss: -$250.00

March 8, 2013
Play 3
ATP Indian Wells
Berlocq ML (+130)
Risking $100.00 to win $130.00


I have no idea what's happening. Apparently, I've been lucky to score three consecutive wins, but this can't go on forever. After all, I suck at gambling. Berlocq is the next candidate to get me back on the losing track. Not sure why he's a dog in this situation, but I'm sure I'll learn quickly after Giraldo blows him off the court.

[ParlayininHTown]

Record YTD: 6-10-1
Profit/Loss: -$120.00

March 8, 2013
Play 4
NBA
THREE-TEAM PARLAY: Jazz ML, Lakers ML, Dubs ML (+408)
Risking $50.00 to win $204.00


A parlay seems like a surefire way to end my hot streak and keep this thread in the red. The Jazz will have their work cut out for them in Chicago, but the Lakers and Dubs should cruise to comfortable victories. The Lakers, in particular, have no excuse for losing tonight. Even if the Raptors make a game of it, you know L.A. will make the key plays down the stretch and win, while Toronto craps its collective pants New Orleans Hornets-style.

Time to regain that losing feeling ...

[ParlayininHTown]

Belinelli, you POS

[ParlayininHTown]

Record YTD: 6-11-1
Profit/Loss: -$170.00

March 8, 2013
Play 5
NBA
TWO-TEAM PARLAY: Lakers ML, Dubs ML (+110)
Risking $100.00 to win $110.00


My luck has turned. ... The Jazz came through with the heart-breaking loss to get this thread going in the right direction again.

This is a total degenerate play. Either the Raptors or Rockets will win tonight, and I will feel dumb for making this bet.

[ParlayininHTown]

Record YTD: 6-12-1
Profit/Loss: -$270.00

June 13, 2013
Play 1
MLB
Athletics ML (-106)
Risking $106.00 to win $100.00


Things have calmed down for me over the last few days, so I finally have a little time to burn money on gambling. I should have a losing pick or two for tomorrow's tennis slate later this evening. I think grass is my worst surface in terms of betting results, so this is a great time to fade my picks.

I'll be rooting for the A's to complete a sweep of the Yankees this afternoon, but I fully expect the Yankees to win this game. My record is sufficient proof to convince you that fading me is a great idea.

Good luck.

[ParlayininHTown]

That A's game was insane. I watched only a few outs, but apparently Oakland needed 18 innings to pull out the win. So much for a get-away game ... It's nice to win a bet for a change, but I apologize if you faded me.


Here's my platter of ATP picks for Friday. I took three dogs, but Hewitt and Kudla are just stabs in the dark. I imagine Del Po will paste Hewitt, but the odds seem a bit suspicious despite Del Po's fitness and Hewitt's grass-court prowess. Haas likely holds serve (not literally) at home against Monfils, but I'll take my chances on the player with less pressure rather than lay that much juice.

I suppose we'll assess the damage tomorrow. Best of luck to all.


Record YTD: 7-12-1
Profit/Loss: -$170.00

June 14, 2013
Play 1
ATP Tennis
Hewitt ML (+155)
Risking $100.00 to win $155.00

June 14, 2013
Play 2
ATP Tennis
Monfils ML (+185)
Risking $100.00 to win $185.00

June 14, 2013
Play 3
ATP Tennis
ATS: Berdych -3 (-110)
Risking $110.00 to win $100.00

June 14, 2013
Play 4
ATP Tennis
Kudla ML (+710)
Risking $50.00 to win $355.00

[ParlayininHTown]

Record YTD: 8-15-1
Profit/Loss: -$275.00

June 17, 2013
Play 1
International Soccer: Confederations Cup
ATS: Nigeria -3 (+110)
Risking $100.00 to win $110.00


This is a total degenerate play. I know Tahiti is awful and shouldn't be playing with the big boys, but I don't know much about Nigeria. The Super Eagles are the top squad in Africa, taking the Africa Cup of Nations crown earlier this year. I just can't see how Tahiti keeps up, but I could also see a scenario in which Nigeria nets a pair of early goals and just coasts to a 2-0 or 3-1 win. After all, is there really a need for Nigeria to rub it in Tahiti's face?

With all that said, Tahiti +3 is probably the winning side here. Time to kick back and watch my money burn.

[ParlayininHTown]

Record YTD: 9-15-1
Profit/Loss: -$165.00

June 18, 2013
Play 1
ATP Eastbourne
Ward ML (+205)
Risking $100.00 to win $205.00

June 18, 2013
Play 2
ATP Eastbourne
ATS: Lopez -2.5 (-110)
Risking $110.00 to win $100.00


June 18, 2013
Play 3
ATP Hertogenbosch
LLodra ML (-140)
Risking $140.00 to win $100.00


June 18, 2013
Play 4
ATP Hertogenbosch
Hernych ML (-130)
Risking $130.00 to win $100.00



Just threw these bets together without much thought. Like any pick I post, I would advise you to not tail these. Tomic is an auto-fade for me. I like what Llodra and Flodonis can do on grass. I like Hernych's form compared to Goffin's. This could get ugly for me, but maybe I can catch a break or two.

Stay up, fellas ...

[ParlayininHTown]

I could've went 2-2 today and dropped only $10 had Paire limped through a set with Llodra, but I understand why he decided to call it quits early in the first set. Oh well. At least it was good news for those who went against my horrible predictions, assuming their books push ML bets for matches that never reach the completion of the first set.

Here's more fade material for tomorrow's ATP action ...

Record YTD: 10-17-2
Profit/Loss: -$275.00


June 19, 2013
Play 1
ATP Eastbourne
Ramos ML (+200)
Risking $100.00 to win $200.00


June 19, 2013
Play 2
ATP Eastbourne
Klizan ML (+110)
Risking $100.00 to win $110.00


June 19, 2013
Play 3
ATP Eastbourne
Benneteau ML (-120)
Risking $120.00 to win $100.00


June 19, 2013
Play 4
ATP Hertogenbosch
ATS: Hasse -2 (+100)
Risking $100.00 to win $100.00


June 19, 2013
Play 5
ATP Hertogenbosch
Garcia-Lopez ML (+105)
Risking $100.00 to win $105.00