1. 01-19-13 09:22 AM #1
    Sam_Hawkins
    Sam_Hawkins's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 11-02-12
    Posts: 922
    Betpoints: 0

    Ferrer v Nishikori

    Well this is gonna be hella interesting, both guys with not very strong serve but extra solid baseline tennis with practically no UE.

    IMO those are really strong bets:
    1st set over 9.5 @1,72
    Total games over 35.5 @1,72
    Nishikori +6,5 evens
    Tie break in match YES @1,8

    what do you guys think?
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  2. 01-19-13 10:07 AM #2
    mdfizzle
    mdfizzle's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-19-10
    Posts: 392
    Betpoints: 0

    Ferrer rolls.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  3. 01-19-13 10:50 AM #3
    delpiero7
    delpiero7's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 11-24-10
    Posts: 362
    Betpoints: 1720

    As much as I am a big fan of Ferrer, Nishikori could make this a close one and may even win.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  4. 01-19-13 11:08 AM #4
    mdfizzle
    mdfizzle's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-19-10
    Posts: 392
    Betpoints: 0



    Nishikori is overrated. Why would you take a lite lite version of Ferrer himself?
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  5. 01-19-13 11:13 AM #5
    Sam_Hawkins
    Sam_Hawkins's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 11-02-12
    Posts: 922
    Betpoints: 0

    cos he's much younger, more motivated and on the rise while ferrer has (even though in a great form) a peak of his carrier behind...
    also, nishi beat him on olympics...
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  6. 01-19-13 11:14 AM #6
    delpiero7
    delpiero7's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 11-24-10
    Posts: 362
    Betpoints: 1720

    Ferrer looked scratchy against Baghdatis in the last round. The lopsided scoreline was more due to Baghdatis being useless rather than Ferrer being great. Also, a 2-1 H2H in Nishikori's favour suggests he has a fighter's chance in this one aswell.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  7. 01-19-13 12:18 PM #7
    AceKingHigh
    Going for the Win!
    AceKingHigh's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-23-09
    Posts: 3,888
    Betpoints: 3454

    Quote Originally Posted by delpiero7 View Post
    As much as I am a big fan of Ferrer, Nishikori could make this a close one and may even win.

    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  8. 01-19-13 02:09 PM #8
    suicidekings
    Update your status
    suicidekings's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 03-23-09
    Posts: 9,962
    Betpoints: 0

    I like Nishikori +2.5 games (-143). Ferrer will win this match, IMO. However, Nishikori has demonstrated that he has the skillset and gameplan to beat Ferrer, making this a fairly tough match for Ferrer.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  9. 01-19-13 02:20 PM #9
    Sharp Snake
    Sharp Snake's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 11-11-12
    Posts: 550
    Betpoints: 760

    If you're confident Ferrer will win, 2.5 games seems awfully small to bank on to win the wager.

    Nishikori isn't 100 % and I think Ferrer will just patiently work him. Ferrer wins in 3 or 4 sets in my opinion.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  10. 01-19-13 06:08 PM #10
    EaglesPhan36
    EaglesPhan36's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 12-06-06
    Posts: 71,662
    Betpoints: 0

    Nishikori still isn't fully healthy. He was getting treatment on his knee multiple times in his last match. Over at TennisInsight, this looks like a potential bloodbath in the making ... 67% tipping Nishikori to win.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  11. 01-19-13 06:11 PM #11
    Sharp Snake
    Sharp Snake's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 11-11-12
    Posts: 550
    Betpoints: 760

    Quote Originally Posted by EaglesPhan36 View Post
    Nishikori still isn't fully healthy. He was getting treatment on his knee multiple times in his last match. Over at TennisInsight, this looks like a potential bloodbath in the making ... 67% tipping Nishikori to win.
    Wow, thats crazy. How?
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  12. 01-19-13 06:24 PM #12
    EaglesPhan36
    EaglesPhan36's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 12-06-06
    Posts: 71,662
    Betpoints: 0

    I'm shocked honestly at the # of tips on him considering his health. I'm guessing most people assume since he has won with convincing scorelines that he's good to go, but I watched some of the Donskoy match and he was dominating a lot of that with his serve. He won't be able to do that against Ferrer IMO. It's 45 tips for Nishikori and 20 for Ferrer - that to me is insane.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  13. 01-19-13 06:45 PM #13
    El Sol
    El Sol's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 05-17-08
    Posts: 876
    Betpoints: 1802

    Quote Originally Posted by EaglesPhan36 View Post
    Nishikori still isn't fully healthy. He was getting treatment on his knee multiple times in his last match. Over at TennisInsight, this looks like a potential bloodbath in the making ... 67% tipping Nishikori to win.
    Fully healthy, I agree with Tennis insight, Nishi could win. But I agree Eagles also, Nishi is not 100% and Ferrer, like Nadal, has that never give up mentality. Ferrer was my work horse last season so I Cant bet against my gravy train but I also Cant take him at -490. This match is an easy pass
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  14. 01-19-13 07:23 PM #14
    Goat Milk
    Goat Milk's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 03-24-10
    Posts: 25,838
    Betpoints: 10176

    Quote Originally Posted by suicidekings View Post
    I like Nishikori +2.5 games (-143). Ferrer will win this match, IMO. However, Nishikori has demonstrated that he has the skillset and gameplan to beat Ferrer, making this a fairly tough match for Ferrer.
    that would be sets not games
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  15. 01-19-13 07:57 PM #15
    suicidekings
    Update your status
    suicidekings's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 03-23-09
    Posts: 9,962
    Betpoints: 0

    Quote Originally Posted by Goat Milk View Post
    that would be sets not games
    Apparently I need to proofread more. However I backed out. If Nishikori comes to play today, a live Ferrer line might appear, but otherwise no play. Still think Ferrer in 4 is the most likely.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  16. 01-19-13 08:51 PM #16
    EaglesPhan36
    EaglesPhan36's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 12-06-06
    Posts: 71,662
    Betpoints: 0

    Ferrer 6-2 1st set. Had some dicey service games early, but held and then gradually wore Nishikori down on his serve. Intersted to see if and how Nishi responds
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  17. 01-19-13 08:58 PM #17
    Sharp Snake
    Sharp Snake's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 11-11-12
    Posts: 550
    Betpoints: 760

    Quote Originally Posted by EaglesPhan36 View Post
    Ferrer 6-2 1st set. Had some dicey service games early, but held and then gradually wore Nishikori down on his serve. Intersted to see if and how Nishi responds
    Nishikori looked great in the first 2 games but he's looks worn down already and we're only in the 2nd set.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  18. 01-19-13 09:04 PM #18
    EaglesPhan36
    EaglesPhan36's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 12-06-06
    Posts: 71,662
    Betpoints: 0

    Still early, but he's down a break again already - I really think people who backed Nishikori today didn't do their homework.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  19. 01-19-13 09:05 PM #19
    mdfizzle
    mdfizzle's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-19-10
    Posts: 392
    Betpoints: 0

    This will be done in straights
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  20. 01-19-13 09:10 PM #20
    EaglesPhan36
    EaglesPhan36's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 12-06-06
    Posts: 71,662
    Betpoints: 0

    Looking like it at this point. I really thought there was a chance Nishikori wouldn't finish this match.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  21. 01-19-13 09:16 PM #21
    El Sol
    El Sol's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 05-17-08
    Posts: 876
    Betpoints: 1802

    Quote Originally Posted by EaglesPhan36 View Post
    Looking like it at this point. I really thought there was a chance Nishikori wouldn't finish this match.
    he still might not, hes not looking healthy. I had a feeling this could be a blow out due to Nishis knee, and being the Aussie OPen, he would gingerly play it all the way through out of respect for the tournamrnt, but the question marks scared me away. should of went with my gut on this one and took a handicap
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  22. 01-19-13 09:27 PM #22
    EaglesPhan36
    EaglesPhan36's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 12-06-06
    Posts: 71,662
    Betpoints: 0

    Just keep remembering, when the folks @ TennisInsight go consensus on an underdog ... it rarely works out where the dog wins. I tracked this some last year. Not a perfect method of blind fading, but it's one of those things like the Madden Curse where it defies logic.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  23. 01-20-13 03:33 AM #23
    Sam_Hawkins
    Sam_Hawkins's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 11-02-12
    Posts: 922
    Betpoints: 0

    oh wow my bad...props to ferrer tho. Nishi go to a fuckin hospital already.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
Top
« Previous Thread | Tennis Betting | Next Thread »