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ATP Citi: Hidalgo +590 and +5.5
There is no way Dolgopolov should be a -800 favorite
tonight vs. Hidalgo. Look at them rake in the juice, with
Hidalgo paying +590.
I put $100 on Hidalgo +590 and $125 on Hidalgo +5.5 (-125).
Hidalgo just beat Ebden in the last match. No small feat !!!
And, it was in convincing 6-3,6-2 fashion. People are only
looking at the large string of consecutive losses on the Hidalgo
sheet without considering that his recent form must be improving
if he can trounce Ebden, who has done a heck of a lot of Hard court
touring recently. Also, if you look at his losses he almost always
takes a Set or pushes to a tiebreaker. He took Mardy Fish to a
3rd Set tiebreaker in Wimbledon.
Also, people are not considering that Dolgopolov has been losing
most of his matches also. He only beat Cipolla in the last match.
That is meaningless because just about anyone beats Cipolla if
they are ATP players, not Challenger players.
In early 2011, these two faced each other on Clay and Dolgo won,
but it was a close 7-5,6-4.
Sometimes you have to go for the dogs and lay winnings on them
if you want to push the envelope.
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Originally Posted by mdfizzle
