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Late Line Movement on Tipsarevic Match
I was on Heritage and about 10 minutes before the match Fischer was +500. 5 min later match dropped to +385. Threw $40 on it when I saw the movement. Not over yet, but looking pretty good. I should only make tennis plays based on late line movement. I think I'd come out ahead.
so much for that. he was just broke back and will probably lose now. guess tipsy does want to win today oh well.
Be very careful with first matches after guys just won tourneys.Saw this one coming 100 miles away that tippy would not be top notch here.Actually put a few bucks on Fischer at +800 but sure enough the stiff cant serve it out.Thats why he is Martin Fischer!!
0-30 sees three straight 2nd serves. can't win one of the three points to get a break chance.
match point chance i should say
This guy doesn't have a snowballs chance in hell at taking the third set. Wish I had a betfair account. 1.33 on tipsy for live betting.
Fischer gave Tipsy all he could handle ... just made key mistakes and wasn't good enough to win today.
Him not serving it out really cost me. I rolled the $40 bet into the Mets ML. Would have paid off over $300 when all was said and done if he could have held one service game. Oh welL!
Late line movement is no more accurate than line movement period in tennis. Anyone who thinks they know what line movement means in tennis is insane. Sometimes there may be a valid reason for the movement and it may reflect the eventual outcome. More often than not, it means shit.
Add Blake to the list of people who couldn't serve out a set who have cost me money. Kuznetsov, Coco, Fischer and the list goes on in the last couple of days. That's what I get for betting on shit players.
Here is another example bro. Maybe the line move was "sharp" or what have you, but at the end of the day it didn't pan out to be a winner. Again my own belief that line movement means shit in tennis. Might save you or help you, but I think more often following the line move will piss you off.
Not the best example. +500 dog serving for the match I'll take any day of the week. But I get your point.
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