Originally Posted by
Luca Fury
Players don't serving first after a delay, and unfortunately for Tsonga, he's serving at 40-40. He very easily could be down a break in the second set and then go on to lose it.
If Tsonga is down 0-2, it's hard to imagine a mentally weak player like him to come back from it. If the match didn't get delayed and he was down 0-2 in one session, he could conceivably out-play a tired Fish, but since they are already 1.5 sets through, fatigue won't be nearly as big of a factor.
I had a tiny parlay with Tsonga, but hedged out of it to break even either way after he lost the first set. Then, with the way the second set when, followed by the suspension, I bet Fish at +150 in live betting.
Considering the way Fish has been playing, Tsonga's flakiness/front-runner mentality, and the fact that he is serving down 1 set and now 2-2/40-40 in the second set, it seems to me that the line should be even money at worst for Fish. So, there's is definitive value in Fish at +150, IMO.