They both played yesterday (June 28).
Malisse played a short game.
Verdasco played a longer game.
Question is who is more tired, who is more ready for the game?
The odds are quite "unfair" on Verdasco in my opinion, because this is a 50% - 50% game in my opinion, with even having Verdasco as favourite and not as underdog. (but it's not a clear cut)
Reasons to bet on Malisse:
- Experienced.
- So far has a very good serve on grass on Wimbledon.
- Showed a very good record this year (2012) beating players such as Troicki, giving a big fight against Nalbandian, whilst Verdasco showed a much poorer record this year.
Reasons to bet on Verdasco:
- Has 2-0 record against Malisse (on Clay and Hard court, but not on Grass)
- A player full of surprises ... he can overcome though players even after showing poor records.
- A left handed player, which on grass can turn to be very useful against Malisse's serves ...
My opinion:
This game won't end in 3 sets, so I would pick OVER games, there could be a couple of tie-breaks here too, which in that case I'd choose Verdasco to take them, he's just better at tie-breaks and pressure modes than Malisse. Other than that, if Verdasco will come tired to the game after playing 4 sets then Malisse would dominate the game in the end of it.
Since both players are probably tired - it's very hard to predict the winner.
My take:
Take both players @ live betting @ odds of 3.00 or more during the beginning of the match, this way you bet £100 on each player and ending with minimum £300 no matter who the winner is.