1. #1
    MagicDiceFlow
    blinded by nostalgia
    MagicDiceFlow's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-15-12
    Posts: 4,585

    Strong Play on SHARAPOVA -4.5 games over ERRANI ....and here's why :

    Sharapova will win tomorrow..... but the question is, can she cover the -4.5 to -5 games handicap? The answer from me is a convincing YES.

    I've been very impressed with Errani's game so far. She moves very well on clay, has above average groundstrokes, and plays with a lot of heart. However, her run at Roland Garros ends tomorrow in a big way and here's the glaring reason why......Errani's weak service game in particular her second serve.

    Sharapova is not someone that you bring a weak serve game to the table. She has THE best return game in the WTA imo. Matter of fact, her favorite shot is to step into opponents with weak serves and crushed that ball like no tomorrow. Errani's second serve is dreadful. With the big spotlight on the final, she will be under tremendous pressure today to put in that first serve. I don't think she can handle it. Especially not against Sharapova.

    Now depending on your book, you can get -5 at -115 or -4.5 at -140. Dont get too greedy here , lay the juice and take the -4.5 .....4.5 games is a vital KEY number in woman's tennis which is why you see the drastic increase in juice. Don't let the books fool you with that .5 game , its very important in WTA!

    ---------------take Sharapova -4.5 games , its a strong play--------------


    GL tomorrow!

  2. #2
    ParlayininHTown
    Countdown to death: 1 day
    ParlayininHTown's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 06-27-10
    Posts: 7,561

    Don't be afraid to listen to this guy, people ... He gave a great tip about Almagro in the Nice final.

    Hope it cashes.

  3. #3
    gaebiskon
    gaebiskon's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 03-10-12
    Posts: 869
    Betpoints: 5062

    -4.5 sounds ok but better hope there's little wind and maria doesnt serve 2 df per game

  4. #4
    MagicDiceFlow
    blinded by nostalgia
    MagicDiceFlow's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-15-12
    Posts: 4,585

    Sharapova wins first set 6-3. As expected, she pounds on Errani's weak serve. Errani can only win 55% of first serves and a measly 33% on second serves.

    Pova is taking control of the second set. Up a break and consolidate 2-0.

  5. #5
    MagicDiceFlow
    blinded by nostalgia
    MagicDiceFlow's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-15-12
    Posts: 4,585

    Errani's service game:

    Name:  rooster.jpg
Views: 133
Size:  27.0 KB

  6. #6
    MagicDiceFlow
    blinded by nostalgia
    MagicDiceFlow's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-15-12
    Posts: 4,585

    Cash it boys ...will have a couple of strong plays for tomorrow's final


    Ticket Details : # 45404695-1
    Wager Type : Spread (or run line)
    Wager Status : WinRisk / To Win Amount : 626.00 / 447.14(USD)
    Accepted : 6/8/2012 11:25PM - PST


    Won : 447.14
    Amount Paid : 1073.14
    Sport / Period : Tennis Other Sports / Game
    Selection : M. Sharapova (Games)
    Time : 6/9/2012 6:05:01AM - (PST)
    Line : -4½ -140


  7. #7
    Pew Pew
    Banned
    Pew Pew's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 12-21-10
    Posts: 2,267

    what book do you use? good job

  8. #8
    Hangoverblack
    Hangoverblack's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-27-12
    Posts: 1,900
    Betpoints: 6735

    Really nicely done.

    Tailed at -125 and appreciate the win!

  9. #9
    MagicDiceFlow
    blinded by nostalgia
    MagicDiceFlow's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-15-12
    Posts: 4,585

    Congrats guys for any that tailed. I use Heritage, 5Dimes, and Betislands.

  10. #10
    EaglesPhan36
    EaglesPhan36's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 12-06-06
    Posts: 71,662


  11. #11
    Dmoneytx
    Dmoneytx's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 02-09-12
    Posts: 6,450
    Betpoints: 566

    Nice Hit MDF!!! I went super safe with ML play, but I was 75% sure she would cover games too. I just hate womens tennis & I thought a small ammount of free money was good enough. Next womens tennis play for me............MAYBE finals of Wimbledon, LOL!!! BOL brotha! Great hit today

  12. #12
    MagicDiceFlow
    blinded by nostalgia
    MagicDiceFlow's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-15-12
    Posts: 4,585

    I've got some plays listed for baseball if interested. Let's try and keep this train rolling:

    http://www.sportsbookreview.com/forum/baseball-b...-busy-day.html

Top