1. #1
    Possum
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    New Thread....Same Shitty Service

    ATP Record
    Favorites 17-7 +11.31
    Underdogs 12-17+1.21
    Game Spreads 15-8 +3.51
    Totals 7-10 -2.68
    Set Spreads 5-2 +2.50
    Parlays 10-20 -13.81
    Futures 2-1 +12.00
    Hedges 0-6 -2.70

    Total ATP 68-72 +11.34

    WTA Record
    Favorites 4-9 -11.75
    Undermuffs 6-10 -2.23
    Game Spreads 7-15 -9.43
    Totals 5-5 -.78
    Set Spreads 1-1 +2.40
    Parlays 3-3 -.08

    Total WTA 26-43 -21.87

    ATP/WTA Parlays
    5-8 -.90

    Big surprise to see that parlays and WTA are killing me. Parlays are a necessary evil, but in the end, square as hell.
    Last edited by Possum; 05-15-12 at 09:19 PM.
    Points Awarded:

    EaglesPhan36 gave Possum 1 SBR Point(s) for this post.


  2. #2
    EaglesPhan36
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    Your thread title describes several things: Tennis Betting & 99% of the serves in WTA.

  3. #3
    Possum
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    99% past and present--Remember Sabatini's 56 MPH marshmallows that she would bend in at crunch time?

    1*Granollers+130
    Not going to be a popular pick but from what I saw fognini was not getting any depth on his shots during his win over baghdatis as he was regularly hitting multiple balls inside the service line point after point---granollers is more offensive minded than baghdatis and will have opportunities to dictate play if he plays with controlled aggression---he also has more fire in his belly than baghdatis and will compete much harder---as for the home crowd, outside of a few teenage girls, I am not sure anybody likes fognini

    .5 youzhny +4-120
    .5 youzhny over 21.5-120

    Dividing this in 2 parts--youzhny has played delpo tough recently and in the past--tough match for delpo today and he did take a medical timeout for his knee

    Moth to the flame wta play:1* bartoli-2-110

    Bartoli coming in after a couple of early exits but she has a pair of wins of georges so she should be confident about reversing her fortunes--I might lose this bet, but I do expect bartoli to work her ass off and not mail it in and in wta, that's all you can ask

    Contemplating lorenzi +6,Monaco-3, and wawrinka.

  4. #4
    ParlayininHTown
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    Quote Originally Posted by eaglesphan36 View Post
    your thread title describes several things: Tennis betting & 99% of the serves in wta.

    this

  5. #5
    innn
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    +1 for the Granollers play
    that's how I see it as well

  6. #6
    Possum
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    Or Bartoli won't give a rats ass

    1*wawrinka/berdych/nadal-123
    just trying to save a few cents on what should amount to a play on wawrinka

  7. #7
    Possum
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    1.5~1.31 wawrinka/ferrer/the big 3
    Even if Simon is not gassed after his miracle escape,anything he can do ferrer can do better---somewhat hard to gauge seppi and wawa's results--tippy offered little resistance and isner looked like he was swimming in dogshit in baseline rallies over the last set and a half-all things considered, I like Stan--I just added the other 3 to get some sort of payout

    Betting this parlay is like trying to shoot fish in a barrel--if you win,big ******* deal you just bet 5 large favorites--if you lose,well you are a complete fukkshovel for betting a 5 man parlay

    1* Georges+145
    this is not based on the Bartoli result because I did not see it--I did see a sow in slop that resembled kerber in the first round--if she ever gets stranded in the wilderness,no worries because she can live off her thighs for months--the king match was not a good match to fade her because of vania's poor clay record so I have been waiting for this spot

    1~.87 stosur/na

  8. #8
    Possum
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    1~1.04 ferrer-1.5 sets/na -1.5 sets

  9. #9
    Possum
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    .5 tsonga+4-130
    .5 tsonga +305
    i have definitely posted my last wta play so that fade train is over
    Last edited by Possum; 05-17-12 at 01:24 PM. Reason: Thanks Stan--way to close it out

  10. #10
    Possum
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    ATP Record

    Favorites 17-7 +11.31
    Underdogs 14-17+4.03
    Game Spreads 16-9+3.41
    Totals 7-11 -3.28
    Set Spreads 5-2 +2.50
    Parlays 11-21 -14.31
    Futures 2-1+12.00
    Hedges 0-6 -2.70

    Total 72-74 +12.96

    6*nadal to win Rome-115 pending

    Erasing wta from my memory but the first post in this thread will always prove I was horrendous

  11. #11
    Possum
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    1*klizan-150
    .75 kohlshreiber-5-110
    .75 kohlshreiber under 20-115
    .75 stepanak-5-130
    .75 stepanek under 19.5-120
    .50 malisse -4.5-105
    .50 malisse under 20.5-120
    .50 Gonzalez+180
    .50 berlocq-2.5-130
    Hedge 1*joker+120/open/open

  12. #12
    Possum
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    1*falla-135

  13. #13
    Possum
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    .5 kukushkin/querrey over 22-130
    .5 kukushkin+3-115
    .5 kukushkin+175
    .5 sela/dimitrov over 21.5+115
    .5 sela+3.5+100
    .5 sela +245
    1~.93 Mayer/tomic

  14. #14
    Possum
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    Live in play hedge 1*djokovic +310

  15. #15
    Possum
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    ATP Record

    Favorites 18-7 +12.31
    Underdogs 14.18 +3.53
    Game Spreads 18-10 +4.06
    Totals 8-12 -3.43
    Set Spreads 5-2 +2.50
    Parlays 11.21 -14.31
    Futures 3-1 +18.00
    Hedges 0-8 -4.70

    Total 77-79 + 17.96

    Pending:kukushkin,sela,tomic,malisse, and falla

  16. #16
    Possum
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    4*Nadal to win French Open-120
    Half asleep during today's final but Nadal was moving well and his defense was formidable from what I saw. I expect a similar scenario playing out in Paris--cakewalk to semis with maybe a set lost to someone like Ferrer and then the usual clay beat down of Roger. Plenty of opportunities to buy out if his form dips or injury arises.

  17. #17
    Possum
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    1+baker-135
    .5 roger-vasselin+115
    .5 sela+4.5-130

  18. #18
    Possum
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    .62~.50 bellucci/ferrero

  19. #19
    Possum
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    1~.73 Serra/Munoz-de la nava
    1*cervanak-140
    1*olaso +130
    1*navarro+105
    .5 Farah +280
    .

  20. #20
    Possum
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    1*baker/Monfils over 20.5-110

  21. #21
    Possum
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    1~1.06 Mayer/Sousa/brands

  22. #22
    Possum
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    1*baker to win nice +1200

    While Waiting for 5 dimes to post a total on his match with kukushkin i decided to play this--he is a favored tomorrow and if victorious, would face isner or davydenko in the semis ---isner could be halfway to Paris at that point and davydenko is certainly beatable--almagro or Simon would be heavily favored in the final but one could easily hedge at that point--worth a shot at this price,especially with almagro and Simon on the other side

  23. #23
    Possum
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    .75 dutra silva+110
    .75 alund -110
    serra at-130 so alund serves as underdog when I update my record--like anyone gives a flying ass ratfuck how I categorize my plays

  24. #24
    ParlayininHTown
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    Quote Originally Posted by Possum View Post
    1*baker to win nice +1200

    While Waiting for 5 dimes to post a total on his match with kukushkin i decided to play this--he is a favored tomorrow and if victorious, would face isner or davydenko in the semis ---isner could be halfway to Paris at that point and davydenko is certainly beatable--almagro or Simon would be heavily favored in the final but one could easily hedge at that point--worth a shot at this price,especially with almagro and Simon on the other side
    Looks like this is starting to fall into place

  25. #25
    Possum
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    Hedge:davydenko-170/open
    wondering how much baker has left

    .50~.43 devilder/Munoz de la nava
    .50~.35 zeballos/kuznetsov
    .25~.50 above 4
    .50 kohlschreiber+140

  26. #26
    Possum
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    Hedge on baker to win nice futures play which isn't working out as I had hoped with the astronomical price on almagro--fully expect almagro to win comfortably but this allows some wiggle room on in play betting if baker does win first--

    1*almagro to win first set-380/open/open
    1*almagro to win first set-380/open/open

  27. #27
    Possum
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    1*krajinovic-135
    1*wawrinka/cipolla over 30.5-110
    1*cipolla+8.5-120
    1*hanescu/andujar over 38.5 -100
    1*souza+145
    .5 kuznetsov +8-112
    .5 Munoz de la nava +8-110
    .5 ferrero under 32.5-105
    1*kukushkin-165
    2*hewett-115
    Fill one parlay with melzer and roger-Vasselin at+101
    Last edited by Possum; 05-27-12 at 02:07 AM. Reason: Forgot Souza play

  28. #28
    Possum
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    ATP Record

    Favorites 19-10 +9.21
    Underdogs 18-24 +2.58
    Game Spreads 22-13 +4.84
    Totals 11-16 -3.68
    Set Spreads 5-2 +2.50
    Parlays 17-23 -12.97
    Futures 3-2 +17.00
    Hedges 0-9 -5.70

    Total 96-99 +13.88

    Hard to believe a 5 setter doesn't go over 38.5 but that what happened with the twin retards andujar and hanescu--graded the melzer meltdown as a parlay loss and not a hedge--like tomorrows card and playing accordingly--I know about Lopez's history at the French and Hewett not playing,etc.,etc...

    2*lopez-170
    2*lopez-3.5-115
    2*hewett-115
    1*kukushkin-165
    1*kukushkin-3.5-122
    1*jaziri+105
    1*baker-2.5-110
    1*raonic over 30.5-110
    1*falla/giraldo over 37.5-119
    1*isner/dutra silva over 34-110
    .50 llodra +160
    .50 llodra/GAGgle over 38.5-122
    .25 dutra silva +730

  29. #29
    Possum
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    1*djokovic over 25-110
    1*mayer-4-123
    1*stepanek/goffin over 37.5-110
    1*Mathieu/phau over 36.5+110
    1*ebden +9-110

    Too many plays today but why not on memorial day

  30. #30
    Possum
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    ATP Record

    Favorites 20-11 +7.91
    Underdogs 20-25 +4.18
    Game Spreads 24-15+ 4.39
    Totals 16-18 -1.18
    Set Spreads 5-2 +2.50
    Parlays 17-23 -12.97
    Futures 3-2+17.00
    Hedges 0-9 -5.70

    Total 105-105 +16.13

    Picked up 2 and change today-lucky Lopez retired because it was an idiotic wager--

    1*rufin+8-120
    1*zopp+8.5-135
    1*andreev/nieminen over 38.5-120
    1*querrey/tipsaravic over 33.5-140
    1~1.28 berlocq/Ramos/soeda
    Last edited by Possum; 05-28-12 at 11:15 PM. Reason: Add parlay

  31. #31
    Possum
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    ATP Record

    Favorites 20-11 +7.91
    Underdogs 20-25 +4.18
    Game Spreads 26-15 +6.39
    Totals 17-18 -.18
    Set Spreads 5-2 +2.50
    Parlays 17-24 -13.97
    Futures 3-2+17.00
    Hedges 0-9 -5.70

    Total 108-106 +18.13

    3-1+2.00 today with no action on andreev retirement

    1*baker/Simon over 36.5-122
    1*seppi/kukushkin over 35.5-128
    1*djokovic/kavcic over 25-135
    1*klizan/goffin -106

    Really like klizan and coffin tomorrow-just haven't decided if I want to bet games or total-favoring the unders on both--leaning berrer,ervasselin+9,over cilic/ferrero, and over in wawrinka/andujar

  32. #32
    Possum
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    Taking my leans and boxing them up in 5s and a 6 for a little action
    .5~10
    berrer
    wawrinka over 36
    mahut/klizan under 38
    clement/goffin under 37.5
    llodra/berdych over 32.5
    Vasselin +8.5

  33. #33
    Possum
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    ATP Record

    Favorites 20-11 +7.91
    Underdogs 20-25 +4.18
    Game Spreads 26-15 +6.39
    Totals 20-18 +2.82
    Set Spreads 5-2 +2.50
    Parlays 17-26 -15.47
    Futures 3-2+17.00
    Hedges 0-9 -5.70

    Total 111-108 +19.63

    I grade the lottery tickets as 1 play---totals now in the black,great parlay record continues--eying several but like this the best

    2*tipsaravic/chardy over 34-105
    Even with the frog's near meltdown against Lu,I think he is good for one set here in what seems to be a
    somewhat low total for this matchup

  34. #34
    Possum
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    1*kohlschreiber/Mayer over 36.5-130
    1*granollers -1.5 sets -175

  35. #35
    Possum
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    1*fmayer-1.5 sets -145
    1*stakhovsky/haas over 3.5 sets -160
    I could bet the total for less juice but haas could let a set go like he did against volandri--I can see some tiebreakers here but I could also see a couple of 6-3s and since I lost the only 5 setter in tennis history to not go over 38.5 games,I feel safer with this

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