Azarenka leads the H2H 5-3 with Sharapova - but only one clay meeting (which Azarenka retired) so it does not indicate exactly how they'll match up on this surface. But I think Azarenka will win this match. Both players have been serving decent with a good first serve %, however the key will be return points won. Azarenka has been winning many more of these points, esp 2nd serve returns, which will be deadly if Pova struggles even a bit with her serves.
Fognini has had a nice little run here but that will end today. Simon is 3-0 against him on Clay and things shouldn't change now. Simon is playing extremely well ATM and I don't see him having too much trouble against Fabio.
Sharapova has the eye of the tiger in this tourney ....unbeatable ....she moves a lot better on clay now, doesnt have that tall/clumsy movement as before.