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Adding Simon to the open parlay for +898
4/27/2012 5:00AM Fabio Fognini +145 vs Andreas Seppi
4/27/2012 5:00AM Xavier Malisse -235 vs Attila Balazs
4/26/2012 2:00PM Angelique Kerber +140 vs Caroline Wozniacki
4/27/2012 7:00 AM ATP Tennis 101 Gilles Simon* -525 vs Lukasz Kubot
OPEN
OPEN
OPEN
OPEN
OPEN
OPEN
Adding Soeda to open parlay
4/27/2012 5:00AM Fabio Fognini +145 vs Andreas Seppi
4/27/2012 5:00AM Xavier Malisse -235 vs Attila Balazs
4/26/2012 2:00PM Angelique Kerber +140 vs Caroline Wozniacki
4/27/2012 7:00AM Gilles Simon -525 vs Lukasz Kubot
4/27/2012 2:00 AM Challenger Tennis 502 Go Soeda* -270 vs James Ward
OPEN
OPEN
OPEN
OPEN
OPEN
Risking .25u To Win 3.17u
Damn Malisse taking down the open parlay. Just threw him in on a whim too. Should have just stuck with the two sweet doggies to kick it off
Originally Posted by Optional
8-11 +0.14 Units
Open 10 leg parlays: 0-2 -0.50 Units
Opti, nice work the last few days.
Thanks Matt. A bit of a relief to bring it back near square too!
I'm just about done this week.
Barca
Half tempted to have another go at Raonic +200 v Ferrer, but remembering he isn't against a head case tomorrow, will leave it.
Can't see Nadal going down in the other semi but if they offer Verdasco +6 or better I might have a lash at that.
Tossing up Ferrer for the tourney +800 as my last bet in Barca.
Bucharest
Simon and Fognini to win the semis, but not sure I want to lay -275 on Foggy after he has already paid me at +odds 3 times in the last 2 weeks.
I might start a new open parlay with those two.
Taipei
Still interrupted there. I have a couple of parlays ending with Lu who is 1-3 down in the 3rd set. (one I didn't post here) and am sweating a 5 unit swing on him coming back.
Basic should take other interupted quarter.
Whoever wins these two will lose in the semis to Ito and Soeda though I imagine. And those semi final bets will be my last here.
Napoli
Will wait and see what price is on Mannerino over Kuznetsov. Winner of that semi should take tourney imho.
Sao Paulo
Too hard.
Savannah
Will take qualifyer Strode over Baker. He has taken out a couple of quality players on the way through and should open up at nice odds. Probbaly need to jump on it as soon as they open.
Women
Too hard in Germany. 1 v 4 and 2 v 3 semis.
But I like another qualifier, Bertens +105, to work over Pous-Tio in the Morroco final. Pretty much for the same reason I like Strode as the qualifier. Bertens has taken out Halep and Scheepers along the way, only dropping 1 set on the way to the final, whilst PT has had a dream run through never seeing a seed, and would be a big dog to beat either Scheepers or Halep on most days.
Geez, I hope someone backed all those leans, as just about everything came in as predicted.
At least I got a bet down last night on Bertens (who already won). But just missed getting on for Strode.
Starting new open parlay, just for .1 of a unit, and 5 legs this time.
4/29/2012 8:00 AM ATP Tennis 102 Fabio Fognini* +360 vs Gilles Simon
4/28/2012 5:15 PM Challenger Tennis 602 Julio Silva* +165 vs Blaz Kavcic
OPEN
OPEN
OPEN
Risking .1u To Win 1.12u
I've put a little on this future
Tennis ATP +14500 French Open - Milos Raonic*
8-11 +0.14 Units
Open Parlays: 0-3 -0.60 Units
O.Rochus Games Won* +3½ -102 vs B.Tomic Games Won 1u
4/30/2012 8:55 AM ATP Tennis 302 Robin Haase* -255 vs Simone Bolelli
4/30/2012 9:15 AM Challenger Tennis 704 Gerard Granollers-Pujols* -200 vs Franco Skugor
Parlay for +109 1u
I would be careful of the Haase match. Haase is one of the players on my black list. A kid with so much potential & talent, but under achieves like no one else on the ATP. Its shocking at times. Bolleli has won a ton of matches this year on the Challanger level & will certainly have confindence in this match. Especially if Haase does not have his serve clicking. This could almost be a coin toss match up in my eyes, I saw the odds on Haase & there was no way I wanted to touch this match. But GL if you took him. I hope he cashes for you.
Also, I like your thread. I didn't really see it till right now. I started a new one myself & I am tracking all my plays and my payouts. Would love for you to swing by sometime and leave your insight, opinions or comments on any of the plays/discussions. Sounds like you know your stuff. I wish you the best of luck in all of your wagers
Funny you should say that about Haase being on your blacklist. I've felt that way about him in the past too. Although this year, and particularly recently, he has been playing up to his ability quite reliably imho.
You might be right about the price being less than great value in hindsight, but too late now.
I've been reading your thread. Even posted a couple of times in it I think. Very good one.
Thanks for the props Optional
And I always appreciate another opinion on any of my plays or discussions. Any comments or advice would be much appreciated. GL on all your plays today.
Thanks DM, I'll try. I decided not to try and do write ups as I knew it would stop me posting all my bets. I tend to follow a group of players and look for spots to bet their matches as my main strategy.
9-12 +0.23 Units
Open Parlays: 0-3 -0.60 Units
Tobias Kamke* +285 vs Marcos Baghdatis .5u
Simply because Baggy is horrible on Clay...
Starting new open parlay
5/1/2012 6:15 AM ATP Tennis 113 Alejandro Falla* -130 vs Matthias Bachinger
5/1/2012 10:00 AM ATP Tennis 218 Fabio Fognini* -155 vs Benoit Paire
5/1/2012 6:00 AM ATP Tennis 230 Lukas Lacko* -195 vs Gilles Muller
OPEN
OPEN
Risking .25 To Win .85
Bugger it, I'll fill out that parlay now
5/1/2012 6:15AM Alejandro Falla -130 vs Matthias Bachinger
5/1/2012 10:00AM Fabio Fognini -155 vs Benoit Paire
5/1/2012 6:00AM Lukas Lacko -195 vs Gilles Muller
5/1/2012 7:45 AM ATP Tennis 126 Mikhail Kukushkin* -330 vs Marinko Matosevic
5/1/2012 5:30 AM Challenger Tennis 605 Roberto Bautista-Agut* -410 vs Riccardo Ghedin
Risking .25u To Win 1.53u
Tunis
Jurgen Zopp -140* vs Adrian Menendez-Maceiras
Gregoire Burquier -130* vs Matteo Viola
Parlayed for +203 1u
And that was a stupid 5 leg parlay. (4 legs lost btw) and even though it's just .25u, it pisses me off posting stupid bets.
9-14 -1.27 Units
Open Parlays: 0-4 -0.85 Units
I have too many leans. Going to take a breath and leave it closer to match time to bet today.
We have faith in our Aussie Friend!
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Still not feeling it for much today. Just going to start a new open parlay with Tomic, because everyone else seems to feel he is a good bet. Not the best price unfortunately.
5/3/2012 6:45 AM ATP Tennis 109 Bernard Tomic* -145 vs Potito Starace
5/3/2012 7:00 AM Challenger Tennis 607 Jurgen Zopp* -215 vs Gianluca Naso
OPEN
OPEN
OPEN
Risking .25 To Win .37
Glad I listened to the forum instead of myself on Tomic
S.Stakhovsky Games Won/F.Lopez Games Won* Under 21½ +100 1u
Think Lopez will take this in regulation, and with the line at -4, under 21.5 ev seemed like strangely good value as well.
Adding Lopez to parlay
5/3/2012 6:45AM Bernard Tomic -145 vs Potito Starace
5/3/2012 7:00AM Jurgen Zopp -215 vs Gianluca Naso
5/3/2012 9:45 AM ATP Tennis 114 Feliciano Lopez* -310 vs Sergiy Stakhovsky
OPEN
OPEN
Risking .25u To Win .57u
Adding Cilic -1.5
A couple of big name scalps, who didn't turn up to play themselves, isn't enough to convince me Tommy has too much chance here. Local pressure will be on now too.
5/3/2012 6:45AM Bernard Tomic -145 vs Potito Starace
5/3/2012 7:00AM Jurgen Zopp -215 vs Gianluca Naso
5/3/2012 9:45AM Feliciano Lopez -310 vs Sergiy Stakhovsky
5/5/2012 5:50 AM ATP Tennis 104 M.Cilic Games Won* -1½ -110 vs T.Haas Games Won
OPEN
Risking .25 To Win 1.31u
Nalby to close out the parlay
5/3/2012 6:45AM Bernard Tomic -145 vs Potito Starace
5/3/2012 7:00AM Jurgen Zopp -215 vs Gianluca Naso
5/3/2012 9:45AM Feliciano Lopez -310 vs Sergiy Stakhovsky
5/5/2012 5:50AM M.Cilic Games Won -1½ -110 vs T.Haas Games Won
5/5/2012 2:00 PM ATP Tennis 221 David Nalbandian* -285 vs Andreas Seppi
Risking .25 To Win 1.86u
Well that was a stab to the heart. Damn Nalbandian, every time I start to think he is playing reliably he does this. I guess because the **** is never going to be reliable!
9-15 -2.27 Units
Open Parlays: 0-5 -1.10 Units
Back into it next week.
Going the dogs in this weeks Challenger finals.
5/6/2012 9:30 AM Challenger Tennis 701 Ruben Ramirez Hidalgo* +130 vs Jeremy Chardy
5/6/2012 8:00 AM Challenger Tennis 802 Jonathan Dasnieres de Veigy* +170 vs Jan Hajek
Parlayed for +521 .5u
Cilic -3 in Munich final
M.Cilic Games Won* -3 -110 vs P.Kohlschreiber Games Won 1u
Oh well, 1-1, but the right one wins at least.
10-16 -0.76 Units
Open Parlays: 0-5 -1.10 Units
very nice
Thanks Smarter. Was a nice one to end the week with.
I should just stick to dogs, hardly missed one in this thread. It's been the hot faves that have killed me every time.
Ekaterina Makarova* +105 vs Galina Voskoboeva 1u
If I think of it, I always bet Makarova as a first round dog, against anyone. This is the first time it's come up this year, but she did it 5 or 6 times last year and almost as many the year before. Anyway, it's just a personal system play of mine that I've hit way over 50% of the time. But isn't based on careful capping.
5/7/2012 7:00 AM ATP Tennis 109 Viktor Troicki* -400 vs Donald Young
5/7/2012 9:15 AM ATP Tennis 113 Nicolas Almagro* -400 vs Santiago Giraldo
5/7/2012 7:00 AM ATP Tennis 117 Mikhail Youzhny* -325 vs Javier Marti
Parlayed for +104 1u
In the Athens Challenger I like these guys to advance to 2nd round;
Zopp, Kunitsyn, Zverev, GGP, Matosevic, Bemelmans, Burquier and Beck...
Anyone have any input that might suggest any of those should lose?
Hi mate, what about Bedene in Prague?
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Optional gave DDT 1 SBR Point(s) for this post.
