I am going to be gone today so going to get these in this morning. I will add up ytd later , I think I was down around a little less than 2 units for the day on posted picks. It was great to wake up to a Roddick retirement, I had the total but I still would have liked to have watched this match on dvr, and a 5 set Simon loss. Nice.
Goerges -165 (betonline) risk 1.65 The Schiavone win was surprising for Oprandi, I always like Schiavone as a great dark horse to win these slams and Oprandi is playing well at least judging from these numbers, I wish I had of seen her play recently. Oprandi has excellent hard court stats but alot of challenger tourneys skews these stats. She did have an impressive win over Clijsters last year at hertogenbosch and the Schiavone win was very impressive, though Schiavones numbers looked horrible from that match. I saw someone on one of the ti thread mention Schiavone basically beat herself.
Goerges lost to Sharapova last year at the Aussie in the round of 32 and and Woz in the round of 64 the year before but her numbers on this surface are quite mediocre, I would imagine that plays a large role in this low line. They had one meeting at the US Open in 2010 that Goerges won pretty convincingly.
Looking at Oprandis numbers reminds me of looking at Ito in the mahut/ito match. I just dont see anything in her record to warrant taking the small handicap with Oprandi, of course Ito came out with guns blazing yesterday and I do think he may worth watching, in the womens game there is much smaller window to start slow like Mahut did, so I hope Julia comes out strong. In her two matches here at the Open, Goerges didnt face much of a battle from Daniilidou who retired in the second set and beat Hercog in straight sets. Going with Goerges in this one.
Benesova- 180 risk 3.60 I cant believe I am betting almost 4 units on Benesova but she looked great against Peng and in Brisbane taking care of Stosur. Even though Bratchikova beat Pennetta, that doesnt really impress me as it may have at one time. Total different class of players here. Benesova made it to the round of 16 here last year and while her numbers on hard court are not impressive, I think she is definitely worth a punt at these numbers.
Azarenka /DelPotro/ Jankovic -162 risk 3.24 More juice than I usually like to have on a parlay but I dont see much else that I really love, I wouldnt be surprised to see alot of favorites not covering these handicaps today.
Wawrinka -4.5 -125 risk 1.25
Dolgolopov +120 risk 1 This may be the square pick of the day but looking at the numbers its hard not to take it.