1. #1
    jsmithj88
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    2012 aussie open ML parlay

    im back again for this year
    Nomination(s):
    This post was nominated 1 time . To view the nominated thread please click here. People who nominated: Optional

  2. #2
    Tsonga
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    should be interesting

  3. #3
    jsmithj88
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    opinions???
    pays 1.465X

    • 1/15/2012 8:30 PM ATP Tennis 229 Mardy Fish* -425 vs Gilles Muller
    • 1/15/2012 7:00 PM ATP Tennis 258 Juan Martin del Potro* -1250 vs Adrian Mannarino
    • 1/15/2012 10:00 PM ATP Tennis 261 Alexandr Dolgopolov* -1750 vs Greg Jones
    • 1/16/2012 3:00 AM ATP Tennis 290 Roger Federer* -9500 vs Alexander Kudryavtsev
    • 1/15/2012 8:30 PM ATP Tennis 293 Tomas Berdych* -2800 vs Albert Ramos
    • 1/15/2012 11:30 PM ATP Tennis 325 John Isner* -1375 vs Benjamin Mitchell
    • 1/15/2012 11:30 PM ATP Tennis 354 Rafal Nadal* -6000 vs Alex Kuznetsov
    • 1/16/2012 4:30 AM WTA Tennis 401 Caroline Wozniacki* -895 vs Anastasia Rodionova
    • 1/15/2012 10:00 PM WTA Tennis 433 Kim Clijsters* -2255 vs Maria Joao Koehler
    • 1/15/2012 8:30 PM WTA Tennis 462 Na Li* -1075 vs Ksenia Pervak
    • 1/15/2012 7:00 PM WTA Tennis 465 Victoria Azarenka* -2775 vs Heather Watson
    • 1/15/2012 10:00 PM WTA Tennis 497 Francesca Schiavone* -1610 vs Laura Pous Tio
    • 1/15/2012 7:00 PM WTA Tennis 526 Agnieszka Radwanska* -1035 vs Bethanie Mattek-Sands

  4. #4
    beagle25
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    I can tell those are 5dimes lines so why don't you do a bunch of open parlays instead mixing up these players. This way you're not one and done.

  5. #5
    jsmithj88
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    i mite do that

  6. #6
    dredmahawkus
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    I have one that looks like that.

  7. #7
    gators0708
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    Fish is going to lose.

  8. #8
    jsmithj88
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    Quote Originally Posted by gators0708 View Post
    Fish is going to lose.
    why?

  9. #9
    gators0708
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    Muller has a big lefty serve that can be tricky, I expect this to be a close match

  10. #10
    jsmithj88
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    9 Team Parlay
    500.00 to win 240.40 (277.42)

    Alexandr Dolgopolov -1850* vs Greg Jones
    Roger Federer -9250* vs Alexander Kudryavtsev
    Tomas Berdych -2750* vs Albert Ramos
    Rafal Nadal -6000* vs Alex Kuznetsov
    Caroline Wozniacki -895* vs Anastasia Rodionova
    Kim Clijsters -2255* vs Maria Joao Koehler
    Victoria Azarenka -2775* vs Heather Watson
    Agnieszka Radwanska -1035* vs Bethanie Mattek-Sands
    NYG makes next score -2000* vs 8th score - GB makes next score



    Open 10 Team Parlay
    250.00 to win $149.82 ($165.81)
    Juan Martin del Potro -1250* vs Adrian Mannarino
    Alexandr Dolgopolov -1850* vs Greg Jones
    Roger Federer -9250* vs Alexander Kudryavtsev
    Tomas Berdych -2750* vs Albert Ramos
    Rafal Nadal -6000* vs Alex Kuznetsov
    Caroline Wozniacki -895* vs Anastasia Rodionova
    Kim Clijsters -2255* vs Maria Joao Koehler
    Victoria Azarenka -2775* vs Heather Watson
    Agnieszka Radwanska -1035* vs Bethanie Mattek-Sands
    1/16/12 1:05pm NBA Basketball 704 Memphis Grizzlies 2nd Half +20 -2500* vs Chicago Bulls

    Open 13 Team Parlay
    $50.00 to win $49.71 ($53.70)
    Juan Martin del Potro -1250* vs Adrian Mannarino
    Alexandr Dolgopolov -1850* vs Greg Jones
    Roger Federer -9250* vs Alexander Kudryavtsev
    Tomas Berdych -2750* vs Albert Ramos
    John Isner -1350* vs Benjamin Mitchell
    Rafal Nadal -6000* vs Alex Kuznetsov
    Caroline Wozniacki -895* vs Anastasia Rodionova
    Kim Clijsters -2255* vs Maria Joao Koehler
    Na Li -1075* vs Ksenia Pervak
    Victoria Azarenka -2775* vs Heather Watson
    Francesca Schiavone -1610* vs Laura Pous Tio
    Agnieszka Radwanska -1035* vs Bethanie Mattek-Sands
    1/16/12 1:05pm NBA Basketball 704 Memphis Grizzlies 2nd Half +20 -2500* vs Chicago Bulls

    Open 14 Team Parlay
    $46.40 $66.03 ($69.24)
    Mardy Fish -465* vs Gilles Muller
    Juan Martin del Potro -1250* vs Adrian Mannarino
    Alexandr Dolgopolov -1850* vs Greg Jones
    Roger Federer -9250* vs Alexander Kudryavtsev
    Tomas Berdych -2750* vs Albert Ramos
    John Isner -1350* vs Benjamin Mitchell
    Rafal Nadal -6000* vs Alex Kuznetsov
    Caroline Wozniacki -895* vs Anastasia Rodionova
    Kim Clijsters -2255* vs Maria Joao Koehler
    Na Li -1075* vs Ksenia Pervak
    Victoria Azarenka -2775* vs Heather Watson
    Francesca Schiavone -1610* vs Laura Pous Tio
    Agnieszka Radwanska -1035* vs Bethanie Mattek-Sands
    1/15/12 9:05pm NBA Basketball 806 San Antonio Spurs 2nd Half +14 -3500* vs Phoenix Suns
    Last edited by jsmithj88; 01-16-12 at 01:23 PM.

  11. #11
    Optional
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    Good luck!

    Personally I would not have bet those odds against Mattek Sands though. She is in good form and great spirits right now.

  12. #12
    gregm
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    Good Luck JR, I dont know if you have placed some of these but make sure you look at those odds. In that 9 teamer for instance, in my calculations I am getting -466/1.21 on the odds , not -208/ 1.46.

    I would also look at adding someone like Hewitt and a Jankovic or a Kuznetsova pick in that parlay to get some decent numbers. Right now by adding Federer at -1950 to that 9 teamer, he is only adding 7$ to your payout on a 500$ wager.

    Nadal at -6000 is only adding 10$ on a 500$ parlay. Of course, Nadal and Fed seem like free money bit its alot of tension for 7-10 bucks. Good luck tonight.

  13. #13
    jsmithj88
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    fed and nadal not gonna lose

  14. #14
    jsmithj88
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    Quote Originally Posted by gators0708 View Post
    Muller has a big lefty serve that can be tricky, I expect this to be a close match


  15. #15
    MUHerd37
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    Dolgo is going to kill you. He bet on Jones.

  16. #16
    jsmithj88
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    Quote Originally Posted by MUHerd37 View Post
    Dolgo is going to kill you. He bet on Jones.
    hes playing like shit

  17. #17
    Optional
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    Don't know about the NFL/NBA legs but looks like everything tennis got up!

  18. #18
    jsmithj88
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    that was very close with dolgopolov

  19. #19
    jsmithj88
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    Starting stack: $896.40

    Day 1: post #10

    9 Team Parlay
    500.00 to win (277.42)

    Open 10 Team Parlay
    250.00 to win ($165.81)

    Open 13 Team Parlay
    $50.00 to win ($53.70)

    Open 14 Team Parlay
    $46.40 to win ($69.24)


    +566.17 (63% return)

    896.4 ---> 1462.57

  20. #20
    jsmithj88
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    9 Team Parlay
    1,370.00 to win $582.95

    Novak Djokovic -18000* vs Paolo Lorenzi
    Milos Raonic -5050* vs Filippo Volandri
    David Ferrer -8100* vs Rui Machado
    Andy Murray -2800* vs Ryan Harrison
    Gael Monfils -2665* vs Marinko Matosevic
    Gilles Simon -1575* vs Danai Udomchoke
    Jo-Wilfried Tsonga -1105* vs Denis Istomin
    Serena Williams -1600* vs Tamira Paszek
    Petra Kvitova -2700* vs Vera Dushevina

  21. #21
    gregm
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    Should read 1,370 to win 255.34

    Adding that Djokovic -18,000 wager to the parlay adds eight dollars and ninety eight cents to the winnings on this parlay.

  22. #22
    jsmithj88
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    Quote Originally Posted by gregm View Post
    Should read 1,370 to win 255.34
    yeaaaaaaa ok ...... y dont u calculate that again

  23. #23
    benrama
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    Greg - his numbers are correct, it is to win $582, agree about leaving Joker off though.

  24. #24
    gregm
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    What am I missing here, a number missing, a euro book with special parlay card payouts ? I am not trying to be an asshole here, I deal with numbers all the time and I make mistakes all the time and if I made a mistake on this I will be the first to apologize.

    I just glanced at the parlay and when the lowest odds was -1105, it just seemed to me at first glance to be way off from ending up at -235 (1.43 ) odds, I am getting it ending up at -537 (1.18). Even putting it into a simple parlay calculator http://www.parlaycalculator.com/ and I am still getting the same numbers.

    I dont know, maybe I am missing something here, I miss stuff all the time.

  25. #25
    Optional
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    Have you got the right parlay Greg?

    Attachment 36515

  26. #26
    gregm
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    Thanks optional, I didnt even know sbr had a parlay calculator. I just put those numbers into my calculator I have on my don best service and JS was right. I must have been putting in the wrong numbers or looking at the wrong parlay in this thread. I am sorry JS, I was wrong, good luck with your parlay bro.

  27. #27
    benrama
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    I thought it looked high too so spent a minute putting it into Excel - didn't know SBR had a parlay calculator either, there you go.

    Hope I don't jinx you but the parlay is looking good so far jsmith.

  28. #28
    jsmithj88
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    9 Team Parlay
    1,370.00 to win $582.95

    896.4 ---> 1462.57 ---> 2043.50

    *my numbers may not always add up as i have other wagers, parlays, etc in this total
    *but generally, its correct
    Last edited by jsmithj88; 01-17-12 at 05:26 PM.

  29. #29
    jsmithj88
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    Open 11 Team Parlay
    $400.00 to win $226.55

    Mardy Fish -965* vs Alejandro Falla
    Juan Martin del Potro -1900* vs Blaz Kavcic
    Roger Federer -8450* vs Andreas Beck
    Tomas Berdych -1150* vs Olivier Rochus
    Rafael Nadal -2750* vs Tommy Haas
    Caroline Wozniacki -3510* vs Anna Tatishvili
    Kim Clijsters -3410* vs Stephanie Foretz
    Na Li -3410* vs Olivia Rogowska
    Victoria Azarenka -3345* vs Casey Dellacqua
    Agnieszka Radwanska -1850*

    9 Team Parlay
    $1,600.00 to win $670.87
    Juan Martin del Potro -1900* vs Blaz Kavcic
    Roger Federer -8450* vs Andreas Beck
    Tomas Berdych -1150* vs Olivier Rochus
    Rafael Nadal -2750* vs Tommy Haas
    Caroline Wozniacki -3510* vs Anna Tatishvili
    Kim Clijsters -3410* vs Stephanie Foretz
    Na Li -3410* vs Olivia Rogowska
    Victoria Azarenka -3345* vs Casey Dellacqua
    Agnieszka Radwanska -1850*

  30. #30
    Big Bear
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    have these matches already started?

  31. #31
    Big Bear
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    i need a parlay but i need 1 that does not start for 1 more hour

  32. #32
    jsmithj88
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    9 Team Parlay
    $1,600.00 to win $670.87


    Open 11 Team Parlay
    $400.00 to win $226.55


    +270.87

    896.4 ---> 1462.57 ---> 2043.50 ---> 2320

  33. #33
    benrama
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    Good work so far, I do this type of thing in slams too - just dedicate 5% of your bankroll to it and have a bit of fun.

    Hard parlay day today, might have to think about picking spots with some < -1000 type plays of 2 to 3 players.

    I'm liking (lines are Pinny's parlay lines):

    Ivanovic -887 (yea she can burn you but she's in reasonable form and does give her A effort for slams)
    Bartoli -593 (Dokic always finds a way to crumble under unforced errors)
    Cibulkova -887 (Cibulkova only tends to lose to solid players not scrubs like Arn)
    Nishikori -328 (this will probably be a bit of a sweat, but Ebden is over-rated, his line is slightly inflated for home advantage, and Nishikori is in great form)

    Out of all these I have the most faith in Cibulkova

  34. #34
    jsmithj88
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    $50.00to win $71.23
    Pending 1/18/12 7:05pm NBA Basketball 703 Oklahoma City Thunder -850* vs Washington Wizards
    Pending 1/18/12 7:00pm ATP Tennis 109 Milos Raonic -310* vs Philipp Petzschner
    Pending 1/19/12 4:30am ATP Tennis 114 Andy Roddick -335* vs Lleyton Hewitt
    Pending 1/18/12 7:00pm WTA Tennis 465 Vera Zvonareva -380* vs Lucie Hradecka



    $19.00 $39.52 Open 25 Team Parlay
    Pending 1/18/12 7:05pm NBA Basketball 703 Oklahoma City Thunder -900* vs Washington Wizards
    Pending 1/18/12 7:35pm NBA Basketball 712 Boston Celtics -525* vs Toronto Raptors
    Pending 1/18/12 7:00pm ATP Tennis 109 Milos Raonic -310* vs Philipp Petzschner
    Pending 1/19/12 4:30am ATP Tennis 114 Andy Roddick -335* vs Lleyton Hewitt
    Pending 1/18/12 11:30pm ATP Doubles Tennis 923 B.Bryan/M.Bryan -1000* vs J.Erlich/A.Ram
    Pending 1/18/12 7:00pm WTA Tennis 465 Vera Zvonareva -430* vs Lucie Hradecka



    $2,000.00 $935.69 Open 9 Team Parlay
    Pending 1/18/12 7:05pm NBA Basketball 703 Oklahoma City Thunder -850* vs Washington Wizards
    Pending 1/18/12 8:30pm ATP Tennis 130 David Ferrer -3400* vs Ryan Sweeting
    Pending 1/18/12 11:30pm ATP Tennis 133 Andy Murray -5400* vs Edouard Roger-Vasselin
    Pending 1/18/12 8:30pm ATP Tennis 162 Jo-Wilfried Tsonga -2800* vs Ricardo Mello
    Pending 1/18/12 11:30pm ATP Doubles Tennis 923 B.Bryan/M.Bryan -1500* vs J.Erlich/A.Ram
    Pending 1/18/12 8:30pm WTA Tennis 478 Serena Williams -2775* vs Barbora Zahlavova Strycova
    Pending 1/18/12 7:00pm WTA Tennis 494 Maria Sharapova -1765* vs Jamie Hampton
    Pending 1/18/12 10:00pm WTA Tennis 526 Petra Kvitova -2800* vs Carla Suarez Navarro

  35. #35
    Tsonga
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    i would have kept to tennis...the nba play made it a bit risky.

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