With the way some of these guys are playing recently like Djokovic and Almagro I would not be surprised to see a guy like this get to the finals- but really Rafa has to be the favorite but there's no way I am taking him at only +100. Gasquet looks tempting at +5500 but thats just wishful thinking as a fan. Guy was a beast this year about to be back in the top 10 soon
Roger at +1200 to win the French seems solid. There's no one in his draw that even looks worthy to come out of that section except for possibly Ferrer and maybe Monfils is he stay rested and focused. Guys like Wawrinka or Tsonga may have a shot but this is one of the sections I feel there won't be an upset unless its Monfils coming through.
I really think Roger will come out of this section of the draw, and his game is more suited for the french now than it was in years past.
The Murray section is the easiest section of the draw I think. You got guys like Chela and Mayer who are good dirtballers and Melzer who is good on just about anything but he's suited more for the hard.
The only real true dirt ball player in this section of the draw is Almagro. He is probably the 3rd best clay court player in the world today in my opinion and I know I am discounting Murray but I don't think he's ready to get back to the semi's in this one, I think it will be someone that shocks this quarter and I am going to take a chance with Almagro for that price.
$50 on Almagro to win at +6000
$50 on Federer to win at +1200