Originally Posted by
Dark Horse
You can let the bet ride, with the advantage of knowing the halftime score, or you can middle it.
Options:
- 500 on team A at Heritage, 500 on team B somewhere else.
If team A covers the 1H spread, you're stuck with both bets. If team B covers the 1H spread, you cancel the bet on team A, and have at that point a positive EV ticket for team B in hand. You can let it ride, or middle it with a 2H bet on team A (for whatever amount you're comfortable with). This approach only improves your halftime edge when team B covers the 1H spread.
- 500 on team A at Heritage, 250 on team B somewhere else.
a) If team B covers the 1H spread, you cancel your Heritage ticket. You can let the bet on team B ride, or middle it at halftime with a 2H bet on team A. Because team A has lost the 1H ATS, it can now cover the 2H spread while still allowing team B to cover the full game spread. The more team A is behind at halftime, the wider the window for the middle.
b) If team A covers the 1H spread, you can let both bets ride, or add a 2H bet on team B for another 250. Same idea as before. Having lost the 1H ATS, team B won't have to cover as much ground in the 2H as it would have before the game to cover the full game spread.
Of course, to set up a middle it helps if you place your initial bets on the right side of a line movement. For this first game the line movement could be as much as three points (especially if you have a book with free half points).
I didn't include the juice, and it could make a difference; especially the unknown hafltime juice (could be -115).
Anyway, just some thoughts. I'm sure I missed something. lol