1. #1
    Peeig
    Underbetting my roll
    Peeig's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 02-06-08
    Posts: 567
    Betpoints: 1213

    Sportsbooks' pain threshhold

    Just curious if anyone knows of general guidelines to sportsbooks pain threshholds...........at what point ($$$ wise) will a book tell you to go away because you have won too much? I would assume it is book dependent, but some general guidelines would be interesting to see....

  2. #2
    Monk
    Monk's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 08-28-09
    Posts: 44

    It is usually not that way and yes, it does depend.

    On one side you have small cheaters. Like... WorldBet for example. They copy odds from other bookies, take your money and if you win, they don't pay. Their threshold... hard to define.

    Then you have big movers. Companies that balance the book, not the clients. For example big asians, pinnacle etc. There are automatic limits and for some dodgy leagues they can be quite small or they don't even offer them.

    Next in line are big crappy bookies. Also known as "joke" bookies. I won't mention names, but some of the most known european bookies are on that list. You can win 40 euros and they kick you out. I know a person, who got 4 accounts closed there in a month and he won maybe 200 euros in total. They are generally despised amongst bookies and punters.

    Last to mention are normal bookies that don't belong to any of those categories.
    - The bigger the bookie is, the higher the threshold is. The reason is, that the best of them do try to balance the book as much as possible and because of high turnover winners are able to sneak in without causing problems for the bookie.
    - The other factor is, do they compile odds themselves. Some of these bookies mostly copy odds from others and they don't have opinions. If bookie doesn't have opinion, they will be more cautious when it comes to accepting bets. Usually you can easily see if bookie has their own compilers by checking the odds: time of publishing odds and positioning on the market tell you the whole story.
    - The third factor is the way their risk management works. Do they have RM at all? If they have only automatic limits, winners will have hard time. If they have combined risk management with certain amount being automatically accepted and the rest going to the risk manager, winners will be able to bet more. Good punters usually always try to place a bet with such a bookie; most of the times his bet will be limited, but if compiler happens to have different opinion, his whole bet (10k+) is probable to come through - even if he is consistent winner.
    - I will say that when it comes to good bookies, winners are not customers that have most problems. More limited than winners are cheaters and arbers (unless compiler decides to take arbitration money). Whatever you do, don't cheat. I know of a case where a real highstakes pro bet on a match 5 minutes after it started and he send an email immediately, saying that it was his mistake because he didn't check the starting time. Normal customers wait till the game ends and then decide whether to send an email or not. Once you get that cheater note, you are not in best shape with any bookie. Except Worldbet, they will cheat you back.
    BTW, if your usual stake is 100 euros or less, you don't have to worry with most of these bookies - you will always be able to bet whatever you want, unless price has moved a lot.
    - One other breed of punters that raise a lot of suspicion (and faster limits) are those that bet dodgy competitions, small leagues, strange sports - and not losing. If you want to bet Champions League and NBA, I don't think that any of the bookies from last group is ever going to limit you. The market is just too strong and they trust that you will be losing longterm.
    - Just remembered another one... it depends also HOW do you bet. How selective are you, do you bet only singles, what is the structure of your doubles, triples etc. How is the price that you bet on positioned on the market...

    So bottom line... yeah it depends.

  3. #3
    Stumpage
    Update your status
    Stumpage's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 09-21-05
    Posts: 2,905
    Betpoints: 13658

    Just a feeling-out process, really, that goes on for years.....I can only speak for myself, but some books are extremely quick to pull the trigger and either boot you or make your limits so ludicrously low that it becomes pointless to continue there. There are many, but Bet365; StanJames; WillHill; WagerWeb fall into this category. Again though, there are many more.

    It also seems some books have definite markers. From what I read here and from people I know, it seems SIA for example has a ceiling of 10K profit, at which point your account is terminated. Possibly there are other books that follow this model, though I'm not aware of any.

    Then there are the few brave souls that will let you carry on regardless, but it is a sparse list. Pinnacle is of course the Jewel of the industry, but Greek as well have allowed me to carry on unmolested for almost a decade now. The exchanges as well I presume, as they don't give a toss as long as they're raking in the commission.

  4. #4
    MMM
    MMM's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 03-21-09
    Posts: 47

    Very good post, Monk!

    I would like to add that many bookmakers dont care if you win or lose, they are interested in whether you seem to be a smart punter or not. A less sophicated but lucky punter could win 100K without being limited, a smart but unlucky punter might make a loss and still get slashed.

  5. #5
    thespeculator
    thespeculator's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 09-09-08
    Posts: 2,999
    Betpoints: 13168

    Quote Originally Posted by Monk View Post
    It is usually not that way and yes, it does depend.

    On one side you have small cheaters. Like... WorldBet for example. They copy odds from other bookies, take your money and if you win, they don't pay. Their threshold... hard to define.

    Then you have big movers. Companies that balance the book, not the clients. For example big asians, pinnacle etc. There are automatic limits and for some dodgy leagues they can be quite small or they don't even offer them.

    Next in line are big crappy bookies. Also known as "joke" bookies. I won't mention names, but some of the most known european bookies are on that list. You can win 40 euros and they kick you out. I know a person, who got 4 accounts closed there in a month and he won maybe 200 euros in total. They are generally despised amongst bookies and punters.

    Last to mention are normal bookies that don't belong to any of those categories.
    - The bigger the bookie is, the higher the threshold is. The reason is, that the best of them do try to balance the book as much as possible and because of high turnover winners are able to sneak in without causing problems for the bookie.
    - The other factor is, do they compile odds themselves. Some of these bookies mostly copy odds from others and they don't have opinions. If bookie doesn't have opinion, they will be more cautious when it comes to accepting bets. Usually you can easily see if bookie has their own compilers by checking the odds: time of publishing odds and positioning on the market tell you the whole story.
    - The third factor is the way their risk management works. Do they have RM at all? If they have only automatic limits, winners will have hard time. If they have combined risk management with certain amount being automatically accepted and the rest going to the risk manager, winners will be able to bet more. Good punters usually always try to place a bet with such a bookie; most of the times his bet will be limited, but if compiler happens to have different opinion, his whole bet (10k+) is probable to come through - even if he is consistent winner.
    - I will say that when it comes to good bookies, winners are not customers that have most problems. More limited than winners are cheaters and arbers (unless compiler decides to take arbitration money). Whatever you do, don't cheat. I know of a case where a real highstakes pro bet on a match 5 minutes after it started and he send an email immediately, saying that it was his mistake because he didn't check the starting time. Normal customers wait till the game ends and then decide whether to send an email or not. Once you get that cheater note, you are not in best shape with any bookie. Except Worldbet, they will cheat you back.
    BTW, if your usual stake is 100 euros or less, you don't have to worry with most of these bookies - you will always be able to bet whatever you want, unless price has moved a lot.
    - One other breed of punters that raise a lot of suspicion (and faster limits) are those that bet dodgy competitions, small leagues, strange sports - and not losing. If you want to bet Champions League and NBA, I don't think that any of the bookies from last group is ever going to limit you. The market is just too strong and they trust that you will be losing longterm.
    - Just remembered another one... it depends also HOW do you bet. How selective are you, do you bet only singles, what is the structure of your doubles, triples etc. How is the price that you bet on positioned on the market...

    So bottom line... yeah it depends.
    great write up , thanks for the info

Top