1. #36
    aggieshawn
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    Quote Originally Posted by FourLengthsClear View Post
    Race?

    Are you going to try and get greedy. Maybe bet something like a teaser on the Giants/Pats.
    Keep your SF ticket alive with the cash on Giants/Pats. Or just juice and add point to the Giants.
    1.5 @ 9.5 ?

  2. #37
    FourLengthsClear
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    Quote Originally Posted by aggieshawn View Post
    Are you going to try and get greedy. Maybe bet something like a teaser on the Giants/Pats.
    Keep your SF ticket alive with the cash on Giants/Pats. Or just juice and add point to the Giants.
    1.5 @ 9.5 ?
    I dumped GBP 450 on the Saints ML when SF were up 17-7 on Saturday so my true 'equity' is not quite what it appears on that screen.

    I have already bet the NYG ML such that a SF loss would give me a reasonable net gain but that is all I am planning unless there is a substantial line move.

  3. #38
    Santo
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    I'd be more worried about people sitting courtside than computers to be honest. In Auckland they 'evicted' two people who were sitting courtside betting on matches. I did it myself a little in the 'good old days' and there was easy money there -- these days it's more competitive and the broadcast gap is slightly less, but there are the same people at every tournament worldwide so they must make some money at it!

  4. #39
    wtf
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    Quote Originally Posted by FourLengthsClear View Post

    I dumped GBP 450 on the Saints ML when SF were up 17-7 on Saturday so my true 'equity' is not quite what it appears on that screen.

    I have already bet the NYG ML such that a SF loss would give me a reasonable net gain but that is all I am planning unless there is a substantial line move.
    trade out of it to get your capital back of a thousand pounds at least

    dont make the mistake i did getting the bears at 100-1 they drop to 15-1 and the fuker breaks his THUMB , opportunity lost

  5. #40
    Hareeba!
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    Quote Originally Posted by wtf View Post
    trade out of it to get your capital back of a thousand pounds at least

    dont make the mistake i did getting the bears at 100-1 they drop to 15-1 and the fuker breaks his THUMB , opportunity lost
    He's already stated that he's got a reasonable net get should SF not win.

    Unless you initially enter the market to trade your position, I'm a firm believer in letting it ride unless the odds get stupidly short.

  6. #41
    wtf
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    Quote Originally Posted by Hareeba! View Post

    He's already stated that he's got a reasonable net get should SF not win.

    Unless you initially enter the market to trade your position, I'm a firm believer in letting it ride unless the odds get stupidly short.
    yes i read that

    but still a thousand pounds is still nothing to sneeze at-i think he should trade out, the game this weekend is 50/50

  7. #42
    Hareeba!
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    Quote Originally Posted by wtf View Post
    yes i read that

    but still a thousand pounds is still nothing to sneeze at-i think he should trade out, the game this weekend is 50/50
    What's to "trade out" of?

    If I'm reading his posts correctly he's already greened up.

    And whether a thousand quid is to sneeze at or not is relative. For some punters that's just a fraction of a unit. To others it's more than a year's turnover.

  8. #43
    FourLengthsClear
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    Quote Originally Posted by Santo View Post
    I'd be more worried about people sitting courtside than computers to be honest. In Auckland they 'evicted' two people who were sitting courtside betting on matches. I did it myself a little in the 'good old days' and there was easy money there -- these days it's more competitive and the broadcast gap is slightly less, but there are the same people at every tournament worldwide so they must make some money at it!
    This is a good point. The delay on in-play bets entering the exchange on Betfair ranges from 1 second for UK horse racing to 10 seconds for 'obscure' soccer leagues.

    The broadcast delay in the UK on some events can be as much as 6 or 7 seconds (I have seen as much as 9 seconds for a Formula 1 race where the official 'live timing' can be streamed in real-time). Obviously if someone has that degree of advantage on you, you have a real problem.
    Last edited by FourLengthsClear; 01-18-12 at 03:12 AM.

  9. #44
    wtf
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    Quote Originally Posted by Hareeba! View Post

    What's to "trade out" of?

    If I'm reading his posts correctly he's already greened up.

    And whether a thousand quid is to sneeze at or not is relative. For some punters that's just a fraction of a unit. To others it's more than a year's turnover.
    he is still sitting on a 1000 pounds of exposure at 15-1, market at 4-1 now, he can get his 1000 pounds back and still have some exposure at 15-1 with zero risk

  10. #45
    FourLengthsClear
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    Quote Originally Posted by wtf View Post
    he is still sitting on a 1000 pounds of exposure at 15-1, market at 4-1 now, he can get his 1000 pounds back and still have some exposure at 15-1 with zero risk
    The reason for not simply laying some SF back at 4.3/4.4 on Betfair is related to Premium Charge. Generating substantial profits and losses in individual markets helps to boost/maintain the commission to profit ratio.

    I have a bet on the Giants ML @ +130 which will result will win more than GBP 1450. If SF beat the Giants then the worst case scenario from an equity point of view is that they will meet the Patriots in the SB for whom the fair line would be around -170 (Baltimore would be around -125). If that comes to fruition I will decide what to do on the basis of the numbers on offer. It is not a case of being greedy (or being scared), just whether the position makes sense.
    Last edited by FourLengthsClear; 01-18-12 at 06:00 PM.

  11. #46
    chachi
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    there is also the diagonal/related markets approach, where one can lay partials on the match odds for this weekend at lesser levels as a hedge against the SB winners market ... or 'to win the tournament' versus 'stage of elimination' versus 'match odds' etc

    rather than lay stake back out on winners mkt id consider laying stake for sunday's game

  12. #47
    DitKent
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    is it true that betfair allow corporate bookies that use the site to have a 4 second count down clock, inexchange for pumping liquidity into the popular markets? such as tennis slams, cricket etc?

  13. #48
    chachi
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    anecdotally yes ... and their Malta operation allegedly does not suffer such a delay either

  14. #49
    tommygun
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    wtf, since when can you use betfair JJ and also when did you become an
    "expert"

  15. #50
    Fishhead
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    Quote Originally Posted by tommygun View Post
    wtf, since when can you use betfair JJ and also when did you become an
    "expert"


    wtf is no expert

    Gawd almighty

  16. #51
    jjgold
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    I am an expert researcher
    One of things I do for Walker
    Check books all over world

  17. #52
    tommygun
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    Quote Originally Posted by jjgold View Post
    I am an expert researcher One of things I do for Walker Check books all over world
    You been on the Charlie again JJ?

  18. #53
    jjgold
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    Tommy I can school you man
    Be careful
    Watch your back
    I am a tough guy

  19. #54
    Fishhead
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    Quote Originally Posted by jjgold View Post
    I am an expert researcher
    One of things I do for Walker
    Check books all over world

    Comparing you to WTF is like comparing a fine wine to a raison.............................

  20. #55
    tommygun
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    Quote Originally Posted by jjgold View Post
    Tommy I can school you man Be careful Watch your back I am a tough guy

  21. #56
    tommygun
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  22. #57
    jjgold
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    Tommy call me to discuss issues

  23. #58
    tommygun
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    Quote Originally Posted by jjgold View Post
    Tommy call me to discuss issues
    international calling, ur kidding urself!

  24. #59
    TennisProFrance
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    I'm a full time trader/gambler and bots on betfair are no issue at all. They are just automated tools governed by rules who are used in the main by system hunters - you can even exploit them. Courtsiders are not a big issue either as only mugs leave money in play during important points. That said you have to be good to make it day in day out as they are sharp markets, more akin to stock market trading than gambling.

  25. #60
    tommygun
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    must get a lot of Betfair action in FRANCE hey mate..?

  26. #61
    TennisProFrance
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    It's banned in France as you well know.

  27. #62
    jjgold
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    Quote Originally Posted by tommygun View Post
    international calling, ur kidding urself!
    email you number son

    I will call

    I am the real deal

  28. #63
    tommygun
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    Hmmm give my number to the beast himself, ur not playing me for a fool Gold!

  29. #64
    jjgold
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