1. 03-19-11 05:40 PM #1
    vitalogist
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    Soccer betting question - I'm talking to you, Pavyracer...

    Is this +ev? Meaning, if you don't think the red bulls will win, is this a good play on Seattle with the draw insurance? Or is there a better way to play it?

    3/19/2011 7:30 PM USA MLS Soccer 187 Seattle Sounders (USA-MLS)* +½,+1 -130 vs New York Red Bulls (USA-MLS)
    Risking $130.00 To Win $100.00

    3/19/2011 7:30 PM USA MLS Soccer 187 Seattle Sounders (USA-MLS)* +350 vs New York Red Bulls (USA-MLS)
    Risking $100.00 To Win $350.00

    3/19/2011 7:30 PM USA MLS Soccer 189 Draw (Seattle Sounders (USA-MLS) vs New York Red Bulls (USA-MLS))* +239
    Risking $100.00 To Win $230.90
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  2. 03-19-11 06:00 PM #2
    DogLover
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    The first bet is +EV, the others aren't.

    I have Sounders + 0.5 (+105)
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  3. 03-19-11 06:18 PM #3
    pavyracer
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    Quote Originally Posted by vitalogist View Post
    Is this +ev? Meaning, if you don't think the red bulls will win, is this a good play on Seattle with the draw insurance? Or is there a better way to play it?

    3/19/2011 7:30 PM USA MLS Soccer 187 Seattle Sounders (USA-MLS)* +½,+1 -130 vs New York Red Bulls (USA-MLS)
    Risking $130.00 To Win $100.00

    3/19/2011 7:30 PM USA MLS Soccer 187 Seattle Sounders (USA-MLS)* +350 vs New York Red Bulls (USA-MLS)
    Risking $100.00 To Win $350.00

    3/19/2011 7:30 PM USA MLS Soccer 189 Draw (Seattle Sounders (USA-MLS) vs New York Red Bulls (USA-MLS))* +239
    Risking $100.00 To Win $230.90
    I think betting the MLS is -EV (j/k)

    Was there a +1/2 option available for better odds than -130?
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  4. 03-19-11 06:20 PM #4
    Jaug
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    If you are going to bet on 3-way markets, like home draw away you need like 20 bookies and pick the best odds. No way you can do it with one bookie, suicide.
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  5. 03-19-11 06:25 PM #5
    pavyracer
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    sbrodds has +1/2 for +105 at bodog
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  6. 03-19-11 07:31 PM #6
    vitalogist
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    Nice. 5d pulled that really quick. I didn't get it in on time....
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  7. 03-19-11 08:50 PM #7
    EaglesPhan36
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    If you bet all three of those, you got your ass kicked.
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  8. 03-19-11 08:54 PM #8
    FourLengthsClear
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    Betting a team and the draw in a 3-way line is crazy (equivalent to betting -122 lines in terms of juice).

    The first bet is the only one that makes sense.
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  9. 03-19-11 10:12 PM #9
    vitalogist
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    Yeah I figured that out. Went with Seattle +.5. Still lost.
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