1. 02-21-11 01:12 AM #1
    VegasInsider
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    Monday

    I received some PM's today to keep posting my plays in the soccer thread, so I'll continue to do so. I will keep one continuous thread going in Players Talk with all my plays and I'll update throughout the day. Also, I'll copy and paste my soccer plays and start a new thread for each day. Hope this helps everyone and goodluck if you choose to follow!


    Monday 02/21/11

    Portugal Liga

    4* Sporting Lisboa/Benefica OVER 2.5 (+118)

    France Ligue 2

    3* Boulogne/Le Mans OVER 2 (+111)

    Switzerland Challenge League

    2* Lugano/Vaduz OVER 3 (+103)

    Turkey Super League

    1* Manisaspor/Trabzonspor OVER 2.5 (-143)


    A lot of value plays on Monday, some good +EV odds. Could pick up some real nice profits with a 3-1 day. Goodluck everyone!
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  2. 02-21-11 01:37 AM #2
    Blue_Chips
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    Any reason why the Turkey play is only 1 unit?
    Good luck tomorrow!
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  3. 02-21-11 01:51 AM #3
    eSTOXX
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    Sporting Lisboa/Benefica OVER 2.5 (+118) and Benfica win
    Boulogne/Le Mans OVER 2 (+111) and Boulogne win
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  4. 02-21-11 04:36 AM #4
    arsenal11
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    boulogne vs le mens is a draw game.
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  5. 02-21-11 04:36 AM #5
    arsenal11
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    sporting lisbon benfica is also draw game
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  6. 02-21-11 05:11 AM #6
    Gracchus
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    Benfica should win this, sporting is in an organizational mess right now and Benfica is humming.
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  7. 02-21-11 05:16 AM #7
    Sawyer
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    Agreed about Manisa-Trabzon Over but Boulogne-Lemans should be a low scoring affair.Good luck today!
    Also have a look at Herta-Cottubus. I'm expecting Over 3 in this one.
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  8. 02-21-11 12:03 PM #8
    VegasInsider
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    Quote Originally Posted by Blue_Chips View Post
    Any reason why the Turkey play is only 1 unit?
    Good luck tomorrow!
    Only one unit because of the odds.
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  9. 02-21-11 12:04 PM #9
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    Quote Originally Posted by arsenal11 View Post
    boulogne vs le mens is a draw game.
    What's wrong with a Draw here? I'll take a push on a +EV play
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  10. 02-21-11 12:05 PM #10
    Kraghen
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    Le mans and Boulogne is very likely to end as a draw... that's why the odd is low..
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  11. 02-21-11 12:25 PM #11
    Romanov
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    Quote Originally Posted by VegasInsider View Post
    What's wrong with a Draw here? I'll take a push on a +EV play
    Do you know what +EV is?
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  12. 02-21-11 01:38 PM #12
    VegasInsider
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    Quote Originally Posted by Romanov View Post
    Do you know what +EV is?
    Yes, it mean's 'Expected Value' in terms of statistics.
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  13. 02-21-11 02:05 PM #13
    Romanov
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    Quote Originally Posted by VegasInsider View Post
    Yes, it mean's 'Expected Value' in terms of statistics.
    Phew! I thought you believed it meant anything better than +100
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  14. 02-21-11 02:18 PM #14
    biff
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    Sporting Lisboa/Benefica OVER 2 2.5

    that is what i got line at with some nice juice. let's get this!
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  15. 02-21-11 02:27 PM #15
    biff
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    Insider, i am what you would call a mush correct if this big unit bet loses? way too early and hope it is not the case but i am sure you noticed that trend.
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  16. 02-21-11 02:41 PM #16
    Blue_Chips
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    Good call in Turkey!

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  17. 02-21-11 03:02 PM #17
    VegasInsider
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    Thanks...adding one more for today, I overlooked it last night

    Argentina (5pm ET)

    4* Tigre/Arsenal OVER 2 (-131)
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  18. 02-21-11 03:08 PM #18
    Blue_Chips
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    Quote Originally Posted by VegasInsider View Post
    Thanks...adding one more for today, I overlooked it last night

    Argentina (5pm ET)

    4* Tigre/Arsenal OVER 2 (-131)

    I like that one too! I am already on the 1st half over 0.5, 1. The last five times these two teams have met, there has been at least 1 goal in the first half.

    Good luck!

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  19. 02-21-11 03:29 PM #19
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    Good play Blue_Chips, that looks VERY nice.
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  20. 02-21-11 03:39 PM #20
    biff
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    1 more goal. and 2 pts heading your way with a win! it's funny how threads are quite when people win. some can not take the shit but i am glad you can Insider.
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  21. 02-21-11 03:52 PM #21
    Giroux
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    Come on Lisbon, get us a late goal with a man up!
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  22. 02-21-11 03:59 PM #22
    biff
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    well, that's not good. 2-0 as no way another goal now. no way.
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  23. 02-21-11 04:04 PM #23
    biff
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    6 min stoppage time? what the hell?
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  24. 02-21-11 04:04 PM #24
    Giroux
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    Half the game with a man up, and they cannot get one goal.
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  25. 02-21-11 04:06 PM #25
    Giroux
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    And pretty sure Benefica nets us 3 on their own with an even field for 90 minutes. Good pick still IMO.
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  26. 02-21-11 04:07 PM #26
    Giroux
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    Nice early one from Arsenal.
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  27. 02-21-11 04:07 PM #27
    biff
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    Quote Originally Posted by Giroux View Post
    Half the game with a man up, and they cannot get one goal.
    nope... seems that is usually how it works though. stick a fork in this bet: it's done
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  28. 02-21-11 04:49 PM #28
    Cuse0323
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    so many great chances for arsenal, they should have cashed the over themselves already.
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  29. 02-21-11 06:42 PM #29
    VegasInsider
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    Yeah, that was tough. Can't decide if we were unlucky or lucky there. A push is a win and we'll live to fight another day.
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  30. 02-21-11 06:46 PM #30
    JOHON8
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    You can make a lot of money betting unders as well, overs is the famous way to go and books make heaps of money off of it. Especially in games that there looks to be a lot of goals take advantage of the under price since the books purposely juice the over knowing it is where all the money is going.

    GL tomorrow.
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  31. 02-21-11 07:30 PM #31
    biff
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    Quote Originally Posted by JOHON8 View Post
    You can make a lot of money betting unders as well, overs is the famous way to go and books make heaps of money off of it. Especially in games that there looks to be a lot of goals take advantage of the under price since the books purposely juice the over knowing it is where all the money is going.

    GL tomorrow.
    all valid points. i just hate unders as i can not enjoy the game i am watching. games seem to take a lifetime sweating it out and hoping for no goals. plus got to love those stoppage time goals to screw you over.

    i do this as more of a hobby but if you want to make a living off this it would be wise to throw some unders in to the mix.
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