What do you do when you´re in a downswing and cant seem to win a bet? Do you keep trusting yourself, playing with reduced stakes and hoping that eventually it will turn around for the better again. Or do you experiment and hope you can turn it around that way. Personally I feel its time for me to experiment , my first attempt will be to fade myself .
12/1
Hamilton v Celtic
Hamilton have the not so flattering record of 0W-3D-6L at home, they have scored only 5 goals and conceded 15. Celtic is in a whole other league with 7W-0D-1L away from home, 12 goals scored and 4 conceded. After the very satisfying win against top contender Rangers, Celtic comes in with good confidence. Sometimes this can be a letdown spot, because you come in feeling great and expecting to roll over a team like Hamilton. But then you realize they are putting up a fight, and then it can be hard to break free from that mentality. I dont think this will be the case here. I fully expect Celtic to win here.
Both teams have played tight lately and have 5 straight games under 2.5 goals (including the cup), yet we can get a very good price on U2.5 @ 2.20. Hamilton has an home average of 2.22 goals. Celtic average 2 goals away from home. Hamilton has failed to score in 5 of their last 6 games. The last meeting @ Hamilton ended 0-1 for Celtic. I think the under definitely have value. For Celtic, forward Samaras will be missing.
My prediction would be: Celtic to win 0-2
Thats why my bets will be: Hamilton +1.5 @ 1.82 and over 2.5 @ 1.80 (odds from betfair)
Usually I would only make one bet per game but after all this is an experiment and I will play with reduced stakes. All bets are for 1 unit. Will have one more fade for tonight, to be continued...