Value bet of the day

**ticklemepink** · 02-16-12, 04:13 PM

that Dutch League pick is coming up at 2.1 for me, is it a goer, and why?

**Semper Fidelis** · 02-16-12, 07:00 PM

That's the only thing I hate about 5dimes-they don't post lines until the day before most of the time.

Hopefully this will still be a value bet by the time they post it... Same thing with the Spanish play...

**donsirlisir** · 02-17-12, 04:44 AM

Originally posted by ticklemepink

that Dutch League pick is coming up at 2.1 for me, is it a goer, and why?

If you are offered 2.1, then you have better price

**CheeseHead** · 02-17-12, 10:17 AM

I'm seeing ADO Den Haag -242 on the ML and the spread that is being offered is -1,-1½ @ a -111 price. Either of these worth it?

After looking at this...Den Haag's recent form...it doesn't look like they've won anything lately. Even though it looks like Excelsior is basically equally bad, why does Den Haag win? Hoping for a little more insight on this since I'm still learning how to get better at betting soccer games and usually I like to look at their recent form: http://www.soccervista.com/ADO_Den_H...4-1028744.html

**donsirlisir** · 02-17-12, 11:19 AM

Originally posted by CheeseHead

I'm seeing ADO Den Haag -242 on the ML and the spread that is being offered is -1,-1½ @ a -111 price. Either of these worth it?

After looking at this...Den Haag's recent form...it doesn't look like they've won anything lately. Even though it looks like Excelsior is basically equally bad, why does Den Haag win? Hoping for a little more insight on this since I'm still learning how to get better at betting soccer games and usually I like to look at their recent form: http://www.soccervista.com/ADO_Den_H...4-1028744.html

ADO Den Haag will cover this spread atleast 7 out of 10 times. In football , I don't consider stats and form

**CheeseHead** · 02-17-12, 12:00 PM

Originally posted by donsirlisir

ADO Den Haag will cover this spread atleast 7 out of 10 times. In football , I don't consider stats and form

Ok, is there any way you can explain to me why this spread will cover at least 7 times out of 10? What do you consider if you don't consider stats and form? Remember I'm still kind of new to betting soccer, so if stats & form apparently don't matter, what matters then?

**SBRMAN23** · 02-17-12, 10:35 PM

What time is the game sat morning

**ticklemepink** · 02-17-12, 10:49 PM

its 6:45pm in England, not sure about over there!

**Semper Fidelis** · 02-17-12, 11:54 PM

Originally posted by SBRMAN23

What time is the game sat morning

It's at 1:45 where I live, which is US eastern time zone.

**SBRMAN23** · 02-18-12, 12:15 AM

Ok thanks guys its the last leg of a parlay w tennis wondering if I shud hedge I don't know much about this team

**Semper Fidelis** · 02-18-12, 12:22 AM

I don't too much about this soccer league either, but I can tell you donsir knows his soccer (one of the best I've seen on here), so I definitely trust him. I took the spread and moneyline in separate parlays.

**harthebar** · 02-18-12, 12:24 AM

Bayer Leverkusen v Augsburg

Home Win 2-0

1.55 / 4.10 / 7.50

ADO Den Haag v Excelsior Rotterdam

Home Win 2-0

1.44 / 4.75 / 8.00

Feyenoord v RKC Waalwijk

Home Win 3-0

1.37 / 4.80 / 8.50

Chelsea v Birmingham

Home Win 3-1

1.33 / 5.50 / 11.00

Ankaragucu v Samsunspor

under Away Win 0-1

7.00 / 4.30 / 1.53

Fenerbahce v Sivasspor
Home Win 3-0

1.60 / 4.00 / 7.20

Marseille v Valenciennes

Home Win 3-0

1.53 / 4.33 / 8.00

Getafe v Espanyol

under away 1-1

2.20 / 3.32 / 3.75

Juventus v Catania

lock play of the week Home Win 4-0

1.36 / 5.25 / 10.50

so far 33-15 not bad enjoy........

**BigTimeWinner** · 02-18-12, 12:25 AM

I don't know for some reason I don't trust this game. I have a feeling it will be OP's first loss but I really hope I am wrong. If this wins, I'm ******* all in on the barcelona match.

**donsirlisir** · 02-18-12, 03:30 AM

Originally posted by SBRMAN23

Ok thanks guys its the last leg of a parlay w tennis wondering if I shud hedge I don't know much about this team

If the payout is big, you should hedge,atleast to cover your stake

**ticklemepink** · 02-18-12, 04:10 AM

gonna follow you here,lets see how it turns out!

**donsirlisir** · 02-18-12, 04:20 AM

Originally posted by ticklemepink

gonna follow you here,lets see how it turns out!

**ticklemepink** · 02-18-12, 04:26 AM

question! with this handicap betting if it is a tie I get my stake back?

**donsirlisir** · 02-18-12, 04:39 AM

Originally posted by ticklemepink

question! with this handicap betting if it is a tie I get my stake back?

-1 and -1.5, tie = loss

**ticklemepink** · 02-18-12, 08:04 AM

done the deed, fingers crossed

**mumbles12** · 02-18-12, 12:38 PM

gl to all with whichever way you go....BUT den haag has only covered this line only once in last 7 games vs. excelsior winning that one game 5-1....only 2 wins in last 7 against excelsior with one of them at home 2-1...wish u luck!!

**naoeneko** · 02-18-12, 02:06 PM

Den Haag is disappointing in the finishing department

. Quite a few chances...

**ticklemepink** · 02-18-12, 02:08 PM

please don't say that

**naoeneko** · 02-18-12, 02:23 PM

Originally posted by ticklemepink

please don't say that

35' 1-0. So, chances is quite high now

. No idea how the 2nd half gonna be, but if it continues the same for Den Haag, 2 goal lead for Den Haag is not impossible - unless they fail to grasp at their opportunities >.>. If not it'd be more than 1-0 @ HT. lol.

1-1 @ 49'.

**ticklemepink** · 02-18-12, 03:47 PM

This is the first time I have never won anything on a days betting, I did a few today, this oine was my last one

**donsirlisir** · 02-18-12, 04:14 PM

Originally posted by donsirlisir

ADO Den Haag -1 and -1.5 vs Excelsior @ 1.935

bet lost

I have one more play for tommorow. I'll post it tommorow morning after I place my bet. At the end of the week, profit is all that matters. If you tail my picks, you rather tail on everything, because tailing on one, it might be the looser. My bets are not fixed bet but value bets, and as I have already said, I'm well prepared for loss.

**tdforte22** · 02-18-12, 08:23 PM

im in-- Just did'nt like the looks of that pick so I layed off

You look pretty impressive so far

**glassjaw** · 02-19-12, 07:20 AM

Originally posted by donsirlisir

I have one more play for tommorow. I'll post it tommorow morning after I place my bet.

I'm waiting...

**donsirlisir** · 02-19-12, 10:19 AM

Sporting -1 vs Ferreira @ 1.83
bet already pounded. we're celebrating tonight fellas. Join the winning wagon

**allin1** · 02-19-12, 10:27 AM

Originally posted by donsirlisir

Sporting -1 vs Ferreira @ 1.83
bet already pounded. we're celebrating tonight fellas. Join the winning wagon

where do you get it at 1.83? 1.76 at Pinnacle is the best I could find. It was 1.83 2 hours ago. Do you still consider it to be good value at 1.76?

**WINNERS ONLY** · 02-19-12, 10:59 AM

Can't win them all lets kill the books today. Good Luck.

**Bluedragon** · 02-19-12, 11:06 AM

pacos in good form, sporting is not

**ticklemepink** · 02-19-12, 12:00 PM

im getting 5/4 for that , I'm gonna jump on here, gl all

**ticklemepink** · 02-19-12, 12:11 PM

jumping on barca -2 @ 2.6

Don't fail me buddy, that would be three loses in a row

**Bluedragon** · 02-19-12, 12:45 PM

Originally posted by ticklemepink

jumping on barca -2 @ 2.6

Don't fail me buddy, that would be three loses in a row

just saw the other pick is barca too??

**Gndias** · 02-19-12, 12:54 PM

donsirlisir don't know about that one...sporting is my team but they are on a very hard situation..new coach...i really hope that happens but i will just go with the win

*******Value bet of the day*******

Value bet of the day