1. #1
    Alexgurv
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    December Soccer Picks

    French Soccer 2010-2011 11-3-3 +8.63 units (78.57%)

    OM -185 to win 1 unit @ 5dimes


    Going high here, but OM has been playing great of late, just not sure there gonna score more then 1 goal.

  2. #2
    Wilforth
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    BOL

  3. #3
    jahred6999
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    Man I wish there were some soccer games going on today!!!

  4. #4
    Alexgurv
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    German Soccer 2010-2011 5-6-2 -1.38 units (45.45%)

    St Pauli pick -130 to win 1 unit @ 5dimes

    St. Pauli not a great team but Kaiserslauter is pretty bad on the road, where they lost 5 in a row at one point away from home. St Pauli has scored in all but 2 home games this year. I think its a tight game, but the home field gets it done for St. Pauli

  5. #5
    16johnnymac
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    I have ST Pauli as +136

  6. #6
    Alexgurv
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    English Soccer 2010-2011 17-10-6 +5.23 units (62.96%)

    Wigan pick +104 to bet 1 unit @ 5dimes


    It comes down to Wigan is playing pretty well at home right now and a lot of these teams aren't exactly terrible. Stoke, not as impressive on the road. Wigan has the capability of stop Stoke's long ball and hopefully they can contain Jones.


    French Soccer 2010-2011 11-4-3 +6.78 units (73.33%)

    Auxerre pick +128 to bet 1 unit @ 5dimes


    After watching Lens this week, I just can in good faith not bet against them. There defense has looked horrible the last couple of weeks. Taking Auxerre at + money just seems like good value to me.

  7. #7
    Alexgurv
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    Quote Originally Posted by 16johnnymac View Post
    I have ST Pauli as +136
    thats because I had the pick / + 0

  8. #8
    Alexgurv
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    English Soccer 2010-2011 17-10-7 +5.23 units (62.96%)

    West Brom pick -162 to win 1 unit @ 5dimes


    West Brom is generally a good home side, but they have lost there last 2 at home for a combined effort of 5-0. Newcastle on the other hand is usually a bad away side and having been playing decently. I think this is a good bounce back game for West Brom, especially with Newcastle expending there energy on beating Chelsea last week.

    Italian Soccer 2010-2011 10-2-5 +7.80 units (83.33%)

    Parma pick -127 to win 1 unit @ 5dimes


    Parma isn't exactly great, but its hard for me not to take a shot as these +0 odds knowing how terrible Udinese is on the road.

  9. #9
    Wilforth
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    Quote Originally Posted by Alexgurv View Post
    English Soccer 2010-2011 17-10-7 +5.23 units (62.96%)

    West Brom pick -162 to win 1 unit @ 5dimes


    West Brom is generally a good home side, but they have lost there last 2 at home for a combined effort of 5-0. Newcastle on the other hand is usually a bad away side and having been playing decently. I think this is a good bounce back game for West Brom, especially with Newcastle expending there energy on beating Chelsea last week.

    Italian Soccer 2010-2011 10-2-5 +7.80 units (83.33%)

    Parma pick -127 to win 1 unit @ 5dimes


    Parma isn't exactly great, but its hard for me not to take a shot as these +0 odds knowing how terrible Udinese is on the road.

  10. #10
    Alexgurv
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    Italian Soccer 2010-2011 11-2-5 +8.80 units (84.61%)

    Napoli +113 to bet 1 unit @ 5dimes

    Napoli is pretty solid at home. They have at least scored a goal in every goal at home this year. They've lost just 2 at home, and in there last 2 games, they have scored 6 goals (at home). While Palermo has played pretty well on the road this year, I think that they will start reverting to the form of last year. The last 3 games on the road, they've lost 2 and it was convincing. Napoli has never lost to Palermo at home.

  11. #11
    Alexgurv
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    UEFA Competitions 2010-2011 15-15-3 -1.95 units (50.00%)

    Rubin Kazan +1 (+123) to bet 1 unit


    This game will be completely meaningless to Barcelona. They are going to rest a lot of players, while Rubin Kazan needs a win to get into the next stage. I'm not saying that Rubin is going to win this game, but a draw in conceivable IMO. They aren't scoring much, but there defense has been impressive, only allowing 2 goals in 5 games so far. For whatever reason Rubin has also played well against Barcelona. They haven't lost to them yet in the last 2 years out of 3 games, 2 draws and a a win for Rubin . Just goals allowed in those 2 games, again, pretty impressive. I'm a little worried because they might press too much and open it up for Barcelona to get some chances, but I could see this being a 0-0 draw. Going with the +1 to be safe.

  12. #12
    JOHON8
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    Quote Originally Posted by Alexgurv View Post
    UEFA Competitions 2010-2011 15-15-3 -1.95 units (50.00%)

    Rubin Kazan +1 (+123) to bet 1 unit


    This game will be completely meaningless to Barcelona. They are going to rest a lot of players, while Rubin Kazan needs a win to get into the next stage. I'm not saying that Rubin is going to win this game, but a draw in conceivable IMO. They aren't scoring much, but there defense has been impressive, only allowing 2 goals in 5 games so far. For whatever reason Rubin has also played well against Barcelona. They haven't lost to them yet in the last 2 years out of 3 games, 2 draws and a a win for Rubin . Just goals allowed in those 2 games, again, pretty impressive. I'm a little worried because they might press too much and open it up for Barcelona to get some chances, but I could see this being a 0-0 draw. Going with the +1 to be safe.
    Messi is playing, that's enough for me not to touch Rubin. By the way Barcelona aren't playing for nothing, they are in front of their home fans in a CL game, that does mean something. The spirit of the tournament is to win every single game IMO. Based on the point structure your bet is good.

  13. #13
    Alexgurv
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    UEFA Competitions 2010-2011 15-16-3 -2.95 units (48.38%)

    Zilina pick +120 to bet 1 unit @ 5dimes


    The only reason I'm going with the pick instead of the draw is Spartak Moscow has been struggling so badly in not just UEFA Champions League but also Russian Premier League. I think the fact that they haven't played in nearly 2 weeks will also make them a bit rusty. Like the + odds here.

  14. #14
    Alexgurv
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    German Soccer 2010-2011 6-6-2 -0.38 units (50.00%)

    Hannover 96 pick -106 to win 1 unit @ 5dimes


    This one really just doesn't make sense to me. I don't see anyway Hannover doesn't get at least a point out of this.

  15. #15
    Alexgurv
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    English Soccer 2010-2011 18-10-7 +6.23 units (64.28%)

    West Ham +0.5 (-110) to win 1 unit @ 5 dimes


    Lets hope I'm not cursing the name of West Ham by days end. They've played relatively well at home this season considering they are in the cellar of the league right now. They've only lost 3 games at home this season, Chelsea, Bolton and Newcastle. Two of the Three, no denying it, are having great seasons. While Man City is playing a lot better this year away from home, I still think that West Ham could hold on for a possible result in this game, even with a few injuries.


    French Soccer 2010-2011 11-4-4 +6.78 units (73.33%)

    Montpelier pick +125 to bet 1 unit @ 5dimes


    I've watched a few of Brest's game the last couple of weeks. One of them was great, they crushed Lens. The other two I watched they looked horrible (especially on defense). They are a pretty formidable home side (Brest). I will admit that Montpelier is a horrible road side. But I think Brest's current form trumps that and Montpelier might pull out a win here.

  16. #16
    Alexgurv
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    English Soccer 2010-2011 18-11-7 +5.13 units (62.06%)

    Birmingham City pick +140 to bet 1 unit @ 5dimes


    I was gonna go with Chelsea today but decided I didnt want to cheer against Tottenham, especially when I know they have a shot to win. Birmingham is horrible on the road, they haven't won on the road since March. But Wolverhampton overall is just as bad. They had a nice win against Sunderland last time out at home. But the fact remains they've only won 3 games all season. I think at +140, its worth a shot.


    Italian Soccer 2010-2011 12-2-5 +9.97 units (85.71%)

    Brescia pick -110 to win 1 unit @ 5dimes

    Don't understand this line too much. Brescia hasn't won in league play since September 22nd. So shouldnt the odds be massively the other way? Take a shot at a situational play here because the line just looks funny to me. (I know, stick to baseball)

  17. #17
    Wilforth
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    The Brescia odds is because of the managerial change. They have a new coach.
    Chievo +150 also looks good. Chievo should be able to come away with a W against a dysfunctional Lecce team.

  18. #18
    leon
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    If Birbingham is horrible on the road as you say,how can be a favorite then?Anyway ,good luck.

  19. #19
    Blue_Chips
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    Good luck tomorrow!

  20. #20
    Alexgurv
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    English Soccer 2010-2011 18W-12L-7P +4.13 units (60.00%)

    Arsenal +0.5 (-108) to win 1 unit @ 5dimes


    Not a lot to be said here. I think Arsenal should get a result out of this, at least a point.

  21. #21
    Alexgurv
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    German Soccer 2010-2011 7W-6L-2P +0.62 units (53.84%)

    Hamburg pick -151 to win 1 unit @ 5dimes


    This is a shit fest game, that I probably shouldn't bet on. Hamburg hasn't gotten a point of a road game since October 16th. But Borussia isn't exactly killin it at home. They haven't won a game at home since April of last year. Overall the stats for these teams don't look good, but Hamburg is clearly the better team here. Lets hope they can turn around that road streak.

  22. #22
    Blue_Chips
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    Good luck!

  23. #23
    Alexgurv
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    English Soccer 2010-2011 18W-13L-7P +3.05 units (58.06%)

    Villa pick -115 to win 1 unit @ 5dimes


    Been ice cold in the EPL so I might even be worth a fade. Villa not exactly putting up great numbers away from home but Wigan has looked pretty bad of late. Especially the defense. While I Villa does have some injuries I can see them easily, at least picking up a point.


    French Soccer 2010-2011 11-4-5 +6.78 units (73.33%)

    Brest pick +137 to bet 1 unit @ 5dimes


    Nice did have a good win against OM, other then that, not much. 0-0 draw against Caen last week (17th place in the league). 1-1 draw again Monaco a few weeks ago (16th place in the league). Brest has been inconsistent at times this year, but they are averaging scoring a goal in there away games, which in France, is an achievement IMO. At these odds, I will take my chances here.

  24. #24
    Alexgurv
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    Italian Soccer 2010-2011 13W-2L-5P +10.97 units (86.67%)

    Sampdoria pick -121 to win 1 unit @ 5dimes


    These guys have had there struggles this year, especially without there best player, but they have still lost just one game at home. Genoa is a solid team, that has been consistent, but they have been a different team on the road. Sampdoria needs a bounce back win after losing to the worst team in the league last week, Brescia. I expect Sampdoria to at least get a point.

  25. #25
    Blue_Chips
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    Good luck tomorrow!

  26. #26
    Alexgurv
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    thanks man, good luck to you as well

  27. #27
    Alexgurv
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    English Soccer 2010-2011 18W-13L-8P +3.05 units (58.06%)

    Everton +0.5 +121 to bet 1 unit @ 5dimes

    Strange that the odds are so high for this I wouldn't be shocked to see a draw at all. Man City has actually been playing better on the road then at home this season. Everton has only lost 2 road games all year, and they were both in August. Man City has scored a grand total of 1 goal in there last 4 games at home.

  28. #28
    Wilforth
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    Quote Originally Posted by Alexgurv View Post
    English Soccer 2010-2011 18W-13L-8P +3.05 units (58.06%)

    Everton +0.5 +121 to bet 1 unit @ 5dimes

    Strange that the odds are so high for this I wouldn't be shocked to see a draw at all. Man City has actually been playing better on the road then at home this season. Everton has only lost 2 road games all year, and they were both in August. Man City has scored a grand total of 1 goal in there last 4 games at home.
    I like the Under in this one. A goalless draw won't surprise me one bit. My fear with Everton +0.5 is that Man City could win by 1-0.

  29. #29
    Blue_Chips
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    Quote Originally Posted by Alexgurv View Post
    English Soccer 2010-2011 18W-13L-8P +3.05 units (58.06%)

    Everton +0.5 +121 to bet 1 unit @ 5dimes

    Strange that the odds are so high for this I wouldn't be shocked to see a draw at all. Man City has actually been playing better on the road then at home this season. Everton has only lost 2 road games all year, and they were both in August. Man City has scored a grand total of 1 goal in there last 4 games at home.

    I like this play. I do not think we will see a tie tomorrow.

    Everton is 6-3-1 (W-L-T) in their last 10 meetings with Man City.

    Everton is 3-2-0 (W-L-T) in their last 5 visits to Man City.

  30. #30
    Alexgurv
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    to be fair Everton should have probably lost that game, but thats the water the ball rolls sometimes. Man City backers probably felt the same way I felt with Arsenal last week

    French Soccer 2010-2011 11W-4L-5P +6.78 units (73.33%)

    Lorient +116 to bet 1 unit @ 5dimes


    Lorient is a pretty solid home side, they have only lost 2 home games all year and they are averaging 1.67 goals as well. Montpellier has had a pretty rough year away from home. They aren't doing well offensively, and they've only scored more then two goals in one game, 3 times. Conceding 1.4 goals away from home, and scoring just .4 goals themselves. Lorient should win this one.

  31. #31
    Alexgurv
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    French Soccer 2010-2011 11W-5L-5P +5.78 units (68.75%)

    Toulouse pick +143 to bet 1 unit @ 5dimes


    I think the value is too good to pass up, especially at a pick. Dunno why its this high.

  32. #32
    Alexgurv
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    English Soccer 2010-2011 19W-13L-8P +4.26 units (59.37%)

    Bolton +115 to bet 1 unit @ 5dimes

    Bolton has had a very impressive season thus far. WBA has been horrific on the road. They just have 2 wins , and they have given up a goal in all but one game so far on the road this year. Really wish this one was a pick, I'd feel more comfortable with it, but Bolton should get it done at least 1-0.

  33. #33
    Wilforth
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    Quote Originally Posted by Alexgurv View Post
    English Soccer 2010-2011 19W-13L-8P +4.26 units (59.37%)

    Bolton +115 to bet 1 unit @ 5dimes

    Bolton has had a very impressive season thus far. WBA has been horrific on the road. They just have 2 wins , and they have given up a goal in all but one game so far on the road this year. Really wish this one was a pick, I'd feel more comfortable with it, but Bolton should get it done at least 1-0.

  34. #34
    Alexgurv
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    Thanks Wilforth

    English Soccer 2010-2011 20W-13L-8P +5.41 units (60.60%)

    Chelsea pick -101 to win 1 unit @ 5dimes

    Chelsea isn't playing well right now, but a 2 week lay off should help them turn this around. I am real sick of thinking that Arsenal is gonna win the big game, and they never do. I won't even be mad if I lose this tbh. Chelsea has won the last 5. Arsenal has goaltending problems. Chelsea, despite there problems is playing better defenisvely then Arsenal. By the Stats Arsenals is giving up .5 more goals a game. I expect Chelsea to sneak one in, for the win.

  35. #35
    Alexgurv
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    English Soccer 2010-2011 20W-14L-8P +4.40 units (58.82%)

    Fulham +0.5 (-102) to win 1 unit @ 5dimes

    I might be the only one in the world on this, but I find these odds a bit strange. Stoke City is solid at home and Fulham is horrible on the road. I feel like Stoke never seems to win the games they are supposed to win (this would be one of them). I think it will probably be a draw, but just in case Fulham gets blessed by god I will stick with the +0.5

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