Just thought i'd throw around my 2 cents, criticism is more than welcome =).
Throwing Wellington down h2h +300 on Bet365. My reasoning is purely based on the amount of rest vs game time. Newcastle are playing their third game in a week and Wellington need to start picking up their game to keep them in hopes of the finals. If I based on form alone, i'd only pick the draw. Wellingtons defense has had the week to get their act together and the likes of Chris Greenacre will want nothing more than to hit the target.