1. #351
    SRBI
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    "Aleksandr Kharitonov scores an unfortunate own goal. This makes it 1 - 0 at Lokomotiv Stadium, Nizhny Novgorod"...

    Russian soccer at its best..."unfortunate" own goal.

    Good luck brother, lookin like a good day to start out for you.

  2. #352
    vitalyo
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    Nice to see you SRBI
    14:30 - 2:0 Volga

    GL.

  3. #353
    SRBI
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    You too man, glad to see you still grinding. I think I'll get on Mlada Boleslav DNB with you, looks safe. Leggo!

  4. #354
    vitalyo
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    Yesterday 3W-4L .
    I am gonna fix it today

    England Blue Square Premier (England – Conference league)
    Mar 15 15:45
    Altrincham v Forest Green OVER 2.5 @ 2.020 pinny (same odds with betfair)

    Previous incounters
    England ENG.CONF 09-10 27/03/2010 Forest Green Altrincham 4-3
    England ENG.CONF 09-10 14/11/2009 Altrincham Forest Green 2-2
    England ENG.CONF 08-09 21/03/2009 Altrincham Forest Green 2-5
    England ENG.CONF 08-09 15/11/2008 Forest Green Altrincham 1-3
    England ENG.CONF 07-08 08/03/2008 Altrincham Forest Green 1-0
    England ENG.CONF 07-08 18/08/2007 Forest Green Altrincham 3-1



    O/U Match Evaluation

    Form 42%U 58% O
    Form In-Out 33%U 67% O
    Total 42%U 58% O
    Total In-Out 43%U 57% O


    The odds on O/U are wrong . Over should be and will be favorite .
    Odds on over will drop by at least 15 cents . Win or lose get on this game early
    Great value game and history shows they play each other wide open with a lot of goals . % are there too .


    I am taking another bet on this game Betfair

    Altrincham v Forest Green - Total Goals - 4 goals or more
    (same as an over 3,5)
    Back Your 4 goals or more
    Odds Your 3.55
    Stake Your $500.00

    If 4 goals or more $1,275.00
    If less than 4 goals -$500.00


    I'll post couple of more games (in about an hour) . Just wanna share this wager before the line moves .

    Cheers GL.



  5. #355
    vitalyo
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    The best bet is on top - post #354

    2ed best bet

    England – Championship
    Mar 15 15:45
    Scunthorpe v Preston - Scunthorpe @2.800 (+180) pinny
    Scunthorpe v Preston - Scunthorpe -0 (PK) 2.000 (+100) pinny


    England - League 2
    Mar 15 15:45

    Macclesfield v Lincoln - Over 2.5 goals @2.04(+104) betfair
    Mar 15 15:45
    Bury v Torquay - Over 2.5 goals @2.06(+106) betfair


    Cheers GL.
    Last edited by vitalyo; 03-15-11 at 07:55 AM.

  6. #356
    phenomenon
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    what is ur fav play in ur second post matches bro ?

  7. #357
    vitalyo
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    Best bet (2 wagers on this game)
    Germany Regional liga North
    Mar 16 11:00
    H Berlin II v Chemnitzer - Over 2.5 goals @1.85 (-118)

    1st Half Over / Under - Over 1 goal @ 1.94 188bet (1 is a push)


    League Encounters
    21st Aug 10 L Chemnitzer v Hertha-A 3 - 1
    14th Mar 10 L Chemnitzer v Hertha-A 2 - 2
    11th Sep 09 L Hertha-A v Chemnitzer 2 - 1
    3rd May 09 L Chemnitzer v Hertha-A 3 - 3
    1st Nov 08 L Hertha-A v Chemnitzer 1 - 2
    10th Dec 05 L Hertha-A v Chemnitzer 4 - 0
    3rd Aug 05 L Chemnitzer v Hertha-A 1 - 3
    19th Mar 05 L Chemnitzer v Hertha-A 1 - 0
    4th Sep 04 L Hertha-A v Chemnitzer 2 - 1

    Under/Over 2.5 : 1UNDER -8 OVER

    League Goal Analysis

    Hertha-A have a recent goal tally of 5-14(6 games), season total of 30-38 from 22 games. Chemnitzer have a recent goal tally of 12-3(6 games), season total of 57-13 from 23 games.

    The number of goals average for the most recent games involving both these teams is 2.83(34 goals in 12 games), the season average being 3.07 (138 goals in 45 games).

    Probability
    U/O 2.5 : 35%UNDER 65% OVER






    Germany Regional liga North
    Mar 16 14:00 VFC Plauen v ZFC MeuselwitzOver 2,5 goals @ 1.88 188bet

    League Goal Analysis

    VFC Plauen have a recent goal tally of 11-9(6 games), season total of 34-32 from 22 games. Meuselwitz have a recent goal tally of 10-11(6 games), season total of 25-32 from 21 games.

    The number of goals average for the most recent games involving both these teams is 3.42(41 goals in 12 games), the season average being 2.86 (123 goals in 43 games).

    U/O 2.5 : 24% UNDER 76% OVER


    Belgium Cup
    Should be high scoring games ,at least one of them will go over(for break even ) the odds are there too . Can't pick the best OVER ,so i am gonna take both of them and hope to double the investment .

    Mar 16 15:30 Gent v Standard Liege Over 2,5 goals @1.89 (-111) betfair

    Mar 16 15:30 Westerlo v Cercle Brugge - Over 2.5 goals @2.16 (+116) betfair


    Cheers GL.

  8. #358
    nyplayer33
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    great insight, thanks

  9. #359
    Blue_Chips
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    Good luck!

  10. #360
    vitalyo
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    I hit the bad streak 4L - 1P

    For tomorrow March 17
    2 games 2 best bets


    UEFA Europa League
    17 Mar 14:00 Man City v Dinamo Kiev - Over 2.5 goals @ 1.91 betfair

    I am gonna back this bet with correct score market (just enough money to break even if game fells under 2,5)
    Man City v Dinamo Kiev - Correct Score
    1:1 @ 9.6 (+860) betfair
    2:0 @7.6 (+660) betfair

    Why i am backing this game with 1:1 and 2:0 . It has to do with the 1st leg
    2011.03.10 Dinamo Kiev 2 : 0 Manchester City 2.51 3.10 2.75

    Anyway I believe this game will be decided in reg time with 3 or more goals .
    Both teams got enough fire power . Plus at this point ManCity has nothing to lose!!!

    But just in case :
    If Man City goes up 1:0 and decide to sit on it, till the very end of the game (10 min before the whistle blows).
    Then they will have to open up ,so either they score another goal to make it 2:0 and take the game to an extra time or Dinamo levels the score 1:1 on the counter strike.

    If you wanna take the OVER 2,5 do it now don't wait. Brits will pound the shit of the Over 2,5 and drive the odds down , case they wanna see home team to advance.Happens every time .


    PS . For US punters SIA has the correct score market
    Manchester City v Dinamo Kiev (Correct Score)Draw 1-1 @ 7.50 (+650)
    Manchester City v Dinamo Kiev (Correct Score)Manchester City 2-0 @6.00(+500)

    Game day 5dimes will have correct score market ,probably with the better odds then SIA (odds can't be lower ).
    Greek should have the prop too .

    For US punters
    5dimes has Over 2½ @ -112 - best odds
    Greek Over 2½ @ -120
    bodog Over 2½ @ -120 - they should have correct score market too (game day)
    SIA Over 2½ @ -133





    17 Mar 16:05 Porto v CSKA Moscow - Under 2.5 goals @ 1.91 betfair
    First leg
    2004.09.14 FC Porto 0 : 0 CSKA Moskva 1.60 3.55 5.45

    So even if Porto goes up early 1:0 ,CSKA Moskva will not open up knowing 1:1 will get them to the next stage .
    Porto is one of the best clubs to protect the lead .League games - 23 games played scored 53 and allowed ONLY 7 goals (amazing).
    While CSKA Moskva in 2010 in 30 games scored 51 and allowed 22 (less then a goal per game) .
    2011 Russian Premier League just started (only one round played)
    Sun, 2011 March 13. @ 09:15
    CSKA Moskva 2 : 0 Amkar Perm 1.30 4.55 9.50

    Again i expect significant odds drop (this time )on the UNDER 2,5.
    I can't see either club to open up, too much is at stake.I expect very tight game.
    This will be a chess match . Both clubs are "good" as long as they don't allow any goals .

    Cheers GL.

  11. #361
    nyplayer33
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    Let's hope this gets turned around....you still feel confident in using these stats for your total plays?

  12. #362
    nyplayer33
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    as of 7Am est 5 dimes -122 Bet Online -124 greek -132

  13. #363
    vitalyo
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    Quote Originally Posted by nyplayer33 View Post
    Let's hope this gets turned around....you still feel confident in using these stats for your total plays?
    Let's say Jets play Ravens and each team average 34 points per game but the book offer you 44,5 O/U @-110 ,you will pound the UNDER , there is no guarantee you gonna win . Same with soccer except you can wager 365 days a year .

    Cheers GL.

  14. #364
    nyplayer33
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    great point, ty

  15. #365
    decado
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    Quote Originally Posted by vitalyo View Post
    [/color]Porto v CSKA Moscow - Under 2.5 goals @ 1.91 betfair First leg 2004.09.14 FC Porto 0 : 0 CSKA Moskva 1.60 3.55 5.45 So even if Porto goes up early 1:0 ,CSKA Moskva will not open up knowing 1:1 will get them to the next stage . Porto is one of the best clubs to protect the lead .League games - 23 games played scored 53 and allowed ONLY 7 goals (amazing). While CSKA Moskva in 2010 in 30 games scored 51 and allowed 22 (less then a goal per game) . 2011 Russian Premier League just started (only one round played) Sun, 2011 March 13. @ 09:15 CSKA Moskva 2 : 0 Amkar Perm 1.30 4.55 9.50 Again i expect significant odds drop (this time )on the UNDER 2,5. I can't see either club to open up, too much is at stake.I expect very tight game. This will be a chess match . Both clubs are "good" as long as they don't allow any goals . Cheers GL.
    you can't really compare cska with lower portuguese teams.. whole different level
    i still think it goes over here..

  16. #366
    vitalyo
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    Friday picks


    Germany Bundesliga II

    Mar 18 13:00
    MSV Duisburg v Fortuna Dusseldorf-MSV Duisburg @ 1.926 (-108) pinny
    Mar 18 13:00
    FC Ingolstadt v Hertha Berlin - Over 2.5 @ 1.962 (-104) pinny

    Austria Erste Klasse
    Mar 18 13:30

    Austria Lustenau v Trenkwalder Admira - Over 2.5 @ 1.75 (-133) bet365



    Turkey Super Lig
    Mar 18 15:00

    Galatasaray v Fenerbahce- Fenerbahce @ 2.28 betfair (+128) betfair

    Germany Bundesliga I
    Mar 18 15:30
    Mgladbach v Kaiserslautern - Over 2.5 goals @ 1.80 (-125) betfair


    France Ligue 2
    Mar 18 15:00
    Ajaccio v Reims - Ajaccio @ 2.10 (+110) betfair


    Mar 18 15:00
    Dijon v Metz - Metz @ 4.00 +300 bet365
    Dijon v Metz - Metz - 0 (PK) @ 2.50 +150 bet365



    Mutual matches

    Dijon:0 win - 1 draw - Metz: 6 wins

    FRA2 10-11 Metz Dijon 3-1
    FRA2 09-10 Dijon Metz 0-1
    FRA2 09-10 Metz Dijon 0-0
    FRA2 08-09 MetzDijon 2-0
    FRA2 08-09 Dijon Metz 0-1
    FRA2 06-07 Metz Dijon 5-0
    FRA2 06-07 Dijon Metz 0-3

    Bet365 is a sleep and didn't catch up with odds yet. Pinny @ 3.630 (+263) , bet188 @ 3.30 (+230)

    Cheers GL.

  17. #367
    vitalyo
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    Saturday all you can eat soccer

    Germany Bundesliga 2
    Mar 19 08:00

    VfL Osnabruck v Alemania Aachen - Over 2.5 Goals @1.75(-133) betfair


    Turkey Super Lig
    Mar 19 08:00

    Kasimpasa SK v Manisaspor .Manisaspor@2.54 (+154) betfair
    Kasimpasa SK v Manisaspor-Manisaspor Draw No Bet @ 1.75 (-133) betfair
    Kasimpasa SK v Manisaspor -Over 2.5 goals@ 1.86 (-116) betfair
    Mar 19 09:00
    Gaziantepspor v Istanbul Buyuksehir BSK . Gaziantepspor @1.85 (-118) betfair


    Germany Bundesliga I
    Mar 19 10:30

    Nurnberg v W Bremen . Nurnberg @2.36 (+136) betfair


    Hungary Division One
    Mar 19 11:00
    Paksi Se v Haladas-Over 2.5@ 1.75 (-133) Victor Chandler
    Paksi Se vHaladas - Paksi Se @ 2.0 (+100) williamhil


    Barclays Premier League
    Mar 19 11:00

    West Brom v Arsenal - Over 2.5 goals @1.82 (-122) betfair




    England League Two
    Mar 19 11:00

    Accrington Stanley v Port Vale - Over 2.5 Goals @2.06 (+106) betfair
    Mar 19 11:00
    Oxford Utd v Crewe - Over 2.5 Goals @1.87 (-115) betfair




    England Blue Square Premier (England – Conference)
    Mar 19 11:00
    Hayes & Yeading v Kettering - Over 2.5 Goals @1.85 (-118) betfair
    Mar 19 11:00
    Eastbourne Borough v Barrow - Over 2.5 Goals @1.76 (-132) betfair




    Austria Bundesliga
    Mar 19 13:30

    FC Magna Wr. Neustadt v SV Mattersburg - FC Magna Wr. Neustad @1.66 (-152) betfair




    France Le Championnat
    Mar 19 14:00

    Valenciennes v Bordeaux - Over 2 @1.82 (-122) betdaq
    Valenciennes v Bordeaux - Over 2.5 Goals @2.38 (+138) betfair



    Belgium Division 2
    Mar 19 15:00
    FCV Dender EH v Lommel United - Over 2.5 Goals @1.60 (-167) bet365
    FCV Dender EH v Lommel United - Over 3 Goals @2.04 (+104) pinny


    Cheers GL.

  18. #368
    Blue_Chips
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    Good luck tomorrow!

  19. #369
    vitalyo
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    Quote Originally Posted by vitalyo View Post
    Saturday all you can eat soccer

    Germany Bundesliga 2
    Mar 19 08:00

    VfL Osnabruck v Alemania Aachen - Over 2.5 Goals @1.75(-133) betfair
    TOsnabruck1 - 3Alemannia Aachen

    Turkey Super Lig
    Mar 19 08:00

    Kasimpasa SK v Manisaspor .Manisaspor@2.54 (+154) betfair
    Kasimpasa SK v Manisaspor-Manisaspor Draw No Bet @ 1.75 (-133) betfair
    Kasimpasa SK v Manisaspor -Over 2.5 goals@ 1.86 (-116) betfair
    FTKasimpasa1 - 0Manisaspor
    Mar 19 09:00
    Gaziantepspor v Istanbul Buyuksehir BSK.Gaziantepspor @1.85(-118)betfair FTGaziantepspor4 - 1Istanbul Buyuksehir

    Germany Bundesliga I
    Mar 19 10:30

    Nurnberg v W Bremen . Nurnberg @2.36 (+136) betfair
    FTNurnberg1 - 3Werder Bremen

    Hungary Division One
    Mar 19 11:00
    Paksi Se v Haladas-Over 2.5@ 1.75 (-133) Victor Chandler
    Paksi Se vHaladas - Paksi Se @ 2.0 (+100) williamhil
    FTPaks2 - 1Haladas


    Barclays Premier League
    Mar 19 11:00

    West Brom v Arsenal - Over 2.5 goals @1.82 (-122) betfair
    FTWest Bromwich A.2 - 2Arsenal




    England League Two
    Mar 19 11:00

    Accrington Stanley v Port Vale - Over 2.5 Goals @2.06 (+106) betfair
    FTAccrington3 - 0Port Vale
    Mar 19 11:00
    Oxford Utd v Crewe - Over 2.5 Goals @1.87 (-115) betfair
    FTOxford U.2 - 1Crewe Alexandra



    England Blue Square Premier (England – Conference)
    Mar 19 11:00
    Hayes & Yeading v Kettering - Over 2.5 Goals @1.85 (-118) betfair
    FTHayes3 - 2Kettering
    Mar 19 11:00
    Eastbourne Borough v Barrow - Over 2.5 Goals @1.76 (-132) betfair
    FTEastbourne Borough0 - 2Barrow



    Austria Bundesliga
    Mar 19 13:30

    FC Magna Wr. Neustadt v SV Mattersburg - FC Magna Wr. Neustad @1.66 (-152) betfair
    FTWiener Neustadt2 - 1Mattersburg





    France Le Championnat
    Mar 19 14:00

    Valenciennes v Bordeaux - Over 2 @1.82 (-122) betdaq
    Valenciennes v Bordeaux - Over 2.5 Goals @2.38 (+138) betfair
    FTValenciennes2 - 2Bordeaux



    Belgium Division 2
    Mar 19 15:00
    FCV Dender EH v Lommel United - Over 2.5 Goals @1.60 (-167) bet365
    FCV Dender EH v Lommel United - Over 3 Goals @2.04 (+104) pinny

    FTFCV Dender EH2 - 0Lommel

    Cheers GL.
    Finally 11W-7L

    GL.
    Last edited by vitalyo; 03-19-11 at 04:18 PM.

  20. #370
    vitalyo
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    Mar 20

    Spain Primera Liga

    Mar 20 12:00 Sporting Gijon v Almeria - Sporting Gijon @1.96 betfair

    Mar 20 12:00 Malaga v Espanyol over 2,5 goals @ 2.14 betfair

    Mar 20 16:00 Valencia v Sevilla - Valencia @1.95 betfair


    Greece Super League

    Mar 20 13:00 Larissa v Ergotelis - Larissa @1.94 betfair

    Mar 20 13:00 Olympiakos v AEK Athens - Olympiakos @1.66 betfair


    Turkey Super Lig
    Mar 20 13:00 Bucaspor v Sivasspor- Bucaspor @2.30 betfair



    I'll post more games in about half an hour .


    Cheers GL.

  21. #371
    PickApprentice
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    Mar 20 16:00 Valencia v Sevilla - Valencia @1.95 betfair

    Mar 20 13:00 Larissa v Ergotelis - Larissa @1.94 betfair

    Mar 20 13:00 Bucaspor v Sivasspor- Bucaspor @2.30 betfair

    Really like these 3 picks!
    Good luck

  22. #372
    vitalyo
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    Belgian Jupiler League
    Mar 20 13:00 Lierse v Club Brugge - Club Brugge @2.04 betfair
    Mar 20 13:00 Lierse v Club Brugge - Over 2.5 goals @1.80 betfair


    Mar 20 13:00 Cercle Brugge v Genk- Over 2.5 goals @1.86 betfair

    Mar 20 13:00 Anderlecht v Gent- Over 2.5 goals @1.90 betfair

    Spain Primera Liga

    Mar 20 14:00 Athletic Bilbao v Villarreal - Over 2,5 goals @1.98 betfair


    Italy Serie A
    Mar 20 15:45 Napoli v Cagliari -Napoli -1.0 @1.94 betfair
    Mar 20 15:45 Napoli v Cagliari -Napoli @1.57 betfair betfair

    France Le Championnat
    Mar 20 16:00 Marseille v PSG Over 2.5 goals @2.20 betfair


    GL.

  23. #373
    PickApprentice
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    Really unlucky with Larissa, equaliser in the 90 min. Relegation for them now!

  24. #374
    PickApprentice
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    Quote Originally Posted by PickApprentice View Post
    Mar 20 16:00 Valencia v Sevilla - Valencia @1.95 betfair

    Mar 20 13:00 Larissa v Ergotelis - Larissa @1.94 betfair

    Mar 20 13:00 Bucaspor v Sivasspor- Bucaspor @2.30 betfair

    Really like these 3 picks!
    Good luck

  25. #375
    vitalyo
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    Monday March 21 .


    Bulgarian Premier
    Mar 21 12:00

    Lokomotiv Sofia v Minior Pernik - Lokomotiv Sofia -1.0 @1.95 (-105) bet365

    France Ligue 2
    Mar 21 15:30
    Tours v Nantes - Under 2.5 goals @1.61 (-164) betfair

    Portugal Superliga
    Mar 21 14:45

    Braga v Rio Ave - Braga @1.67 (-149) betfair

    Germany Bundesliga II
    Mar 21 15:15

    Bochum v Cottbus - Over 2.5 goals @1.87 (-115) betfair

    Holland Jupiler League
    Mar 21 15:45

    Veendam v Sparta Rotterdam - Veendam @2.26 (+126) betfair


    Switzerland - Challenge League
    Mar 21 15:10
    Winterthur v Lausanne - Winterthur @2.94 (+194) betfair


    Italy Serie B
    Mar 21 15:45
    Empoli v Reggina - Reggina -0 (PK) @2.44 (+144) betfair



    GL.

  26. #376
    nyplayer33
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    your games became fades...why

  27. #377
    Blue_Chips
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    Hopefully, you will bounce back. Good luck!


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