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Stifler WC Thread
We finally reached the point where i am starting to post my picks. Thank good the world cup starts tomorrow.
I will keep a record within this thread, seeing how much i can win during this month. I will post my first picks tomorrow.
Lets hope it will be a profitable world cup for everyone.
short note: I will post the european odds.
record: 0-0-0
Units: 0
lets ride...
k there we go:
1. Uruguay - France
Most ball Possession % - Pick: France -3 % 1,95 (2u)
2. South Africa - Mexico
Pick: Mexico DNB 1,82 (1u)
Originally Posted by Stifler
not bad.
i will tail you
record: 1-0-1
units: +1,9u
early game tomorrow: South Korea - Greece
Picks:
1. Draw after 90 min 3,10 (1u)
2. Ball possession Greece +6% 1,85 (2u)
3. Under 2,5 1,52 (2u)
i will have a look @ the other 2 games tomorrow.
adding...
England - USA
Pick: England 1,50 (4u)
no play on argentina - nigeria.
u gotta love english goalies...
record: 3-2-1
units: -0,36u
plays for tomorrow:
Serbia - Ghana
1. Serbia 2,15 (1u)
2. Ball possession Serbia +1% 1,85 (2u)
Germany - Australia
1. Germany 1,50 (6u)
2. Germany -1,5 2,30 (2u)
no play on algeria - slovenia.
3-1 today, germany played like i expected. Young team with spirit and nice offensive players. Khedira is a nice replacement for ballack. Hope they will get far in this cup (not only because im german, because i do like how they are playing)
record: 6-3-1
units: +5,64u
monday games:
Netherlands - Denmark
1. Netherlands 1,50 (6u)
2. Netherlands -1,5 2,35 (1u)
3. Netherlands HT 2,00 (1u)
4. Netherlands HT/FT 2,15 (1u)
5. van Bommel will receive a card 3,20 (0,5u)
Japan - Cameroon
1. Ball Possession Japan +4% (1u)
Italy - Paraguay
1. HT Draw 2,00 (0,5u)
netherlands+robben would been a monster play, so its "only" 6u.
netherlands will win this one easily!
I love your plays for today !
BOL pal !
2-5 today, but still adding +0,35 units. Im a little bit disappointed in netherlands, but denmark wasnt that bad as i expected. Ball possesion Japan was also a close one (like 45,5 %). Paraguay scored right before half time, coming from nowhere, but i will always take it when italians lose this one
record: 8-8-1
units: +5,99u
plays for tomorrow will be up this evening.
tuesday games:
Ivory Coast - Portugal
1. Ball possession Ivory Coast +7% 1,75 (4u)
Brazil - North Korea
1. Ball possession North Korea +20% 1,95 (6u)
Feeling pretty confident with both bets. Leaning slovakia aswell, but odds are too low to risk any money on that game.
adding...
New Zealand - Slovakia
1. Slovakia 1,50 (3u)
and with drogba in this bet too
Ivory Coast - Portugal
2. Over 2,5 2,40 (1u)
just for the action.
Last edited by Stifler; 06-15-10 at 06:04 AM.
I will update my record later, cause there´s something strange going on with ball possession North korea. My bookie called it as a loser, but every statistic and live tv statistic said that Brazil had a ball possession of around 66%. I looked for other statistics and there was not a single one saying that brazil had 70%+ possession. I already emailed my bookie to solve the problem.
thats the problem with betting on possession, there is no clear decision, but as every statistic proofed im right im going to discuss this.
I already booked for tomorrow
Spain - Switzerland
1. Ball possession Swiss +18% 1,85 (15u)
I booked this early, as i noticed i lose the north korea bet im like - OK CANCEL! But already locked in, as im very confident in this one. Im looking @ the other plays now, but will stay away from ball possession bets until the case is solved.
Last edited by Stifler; 06-16-10 at 10:58 AM.
Honduras - Chile
1. Under 2,5 1,65 (2u)
South Africa - Uruguay
1. Uruguay ml 2,45 (1u)
2. Most shots on goal Uruguay-1,5 1,85 (2u)
and as already posted
Spain - Switzerland
1. Ball possession Swiss +18% 1,85 (15u)
LOL i totally misunderstood the ball possession betting. The bookie count the differnce of ball possession between both teams. So Brazil 63% to North Korea 37% is a loser. I always thought u have the 50% ball possession and the handicap goes on that line. I guessed that wrong, which means, North Korea and Switzerland (big play) ball possession are both losers. Im down a bit (like 15-20 units after that, update this evening). But knowing the ball possession rule will make me some big units later in this cup.
record: 12-12-1
units: -11,56 u
My predicition on both big plays on ball possession were right, just didnt know the differnce between both teams counts as handicap (for me it was the handicap on 50%). Oh well, we be up after the WC anyway. Plays for tomorrow up in a few hours.
getting more green lines but the red ones r really dark ones..
hope yr luck turns around m8
Argentina- South Korea
1. Ball possession Argentina -10% 1,85 (1u)
Greece - Nigeria
1. Ball possession Greece +6% 1,85 (2u)
2. Shots on goal Greece +2,5 1,85 (2u)
3. Over 2,5 2,75 (1u)
France - Mexico
1. Ball possession France 2,05 (3u)
2. Over 1,5 1,55 (2u)
today 6-0.
record: 18-12-1
units: -1,31 u
Plays for tomorrow soon.
there is nothing i like very much, but some small plays.
Germany - Serbia
1. Germany ml 1,65 (2u)
2. Germany -1,5 2,70 (0,5u)
Slovenia - USA
1. Shots on goal USA -1 1,85 (1u)
2. HT(Draw)/FT(USA) 4,70 (0,5u)
England - Algeria
1. Over 2,5 (1u)
2. Most Offsides England 1,60 (2u)
1-5 today, -5,15u
overall
record: 19-17-1
units: -6,46 u
again only small plays
Netherlands - Japan
1. Handicap NL-1 to draw the game 3,40 (1u) - I expect NL to win this game with a 1 goal lead
2. Ball possession Japan +14% 1,85 (1u)
Ghana - Australia
1. Australia ml 4,00 (1u)
2. Ball possession Australia +6% 1,85 (1u)
no play on denmark - cameroon.
2-2 yesterday, +1,25u
record: 21-19-1
units: -5,21 u
sunday games:
Slovakia -Paraguay
1. Paraguay ml 2,15 (1u)
2. Shots on goal Paraguay -1 1,85 (2u)
Italy - New Zealand
1. Ball possession Italy -10% 1,72 (5u)
Brazil - Ivory Coast
1. Brazil ml 1,75 (2u)
2. Over 2,5 2,15 (1u)
3. Shots on goal Ivory Coast +4,5 1,50 (2u)
6-0 today, +10,25u
record: 27-19-1
units: +5,04 u
monday:
Portugal - North Korea
1. Under 2,5 1,70 (2u)
Chile - Switzerland
1. Ball possession Swiss +8% 1,85 (2u)
2. Shots on goal Chile -1 1,85 (1u)
Spain - Honduras
1. Spain -2,5 2,40 (1u)
2. Ball possession Spain -22% 1,72 (5u)
hey, where do you bet ball possession and shots on goal at?
expekt offers such bets.
1-4 today, -9,15 units
record: 28-23-1
units: -4,11 u
Mexiko - uruguay
1. Ball possession Uruguay +6% 1,85 (1u)
Greece - Argentina
1. Argentina ml 1,63 (3u)
...maybe more tomorrow, thats it for now
adding...
Mexiko - uruguay
2. Over 2,5 3,20 (1u) - just like the odds here, as i cant see them playing slow to hold 0-0
3. Offsides Under 4,5 1,85 (2u)
4. Shots on goal Uruguay +1 1,85 (2u)
Greece - Argentina
2. Shots on goal Greece +5 1,75 (2u)
France - South Africa
1. Under 2,5 1,75 (2u)
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