Germany: Bochum/Stuttgart UNDER 2.5 (+122)
The UNDER is 4-1 in the L5 meetings but that's not the reason for this pick. This game means so much to both teams. Stuttgart is fighting for a European place while Bochum is struggling to stay afloat above relegation waters. The desperation with which both teams need this game gives it the aura of a cup finale. Bochum is aware of their offensive inferiority, so they'll have to muster great defense to give themselves a chance of at least getting a point here. Also expect some defensive effort on the part of the visitors as they know a clean sheet will improve their chances of winning.
To help us in this cause, all of Stuttgart's road games against the bottom 3 (Freiburg, Hannover and Hertha) have gone UNDER 2.5. Bochum is one of the bottom 4 teams, so we should expect a low-scoring game.